Fresno State at San José State Game Matchup
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Spartan Stadium - San Jose, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#65)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
SJSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: San José State -4   (SP+ SJSU -1)

Projected Score: FRES: 25 - SJSU: 29 (54)
SJSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 121 miles
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (29 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Fresno State at Kansas+14.50.0
Fri 8/29 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+5.5
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-17
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.5
Sat 10/11 Fresno State at Colorado State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State-8.5
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-9.5
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-12
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
San José State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 San José State vs Central Michigan-10.50.0
Sat 9/6 San José State at Texas+36
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 San José State vs Idaho-18.5
Sat 9/27 San José State at Stanford+1.5
Sat 10/4 San José State vs New Mexico-14
Sat 10/11 San José State at Wyoming-6
Sat 10/18 San José State at Utah State-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 San José State vs Hawai'i-9
Sat 11/8 San José State vs Air Force-9.5
Sat 11/15 San José State at Nevada-10
Sat 11/22 San José State at San Diego State-5
Sat 11/29 San José State vs Fresno State-4

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)26.138% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)24.843% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1326.121.239.2%3.681.3193431012423.442%57%38%41%14%.11
SJSU Defense1327.525.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1324.831.240.3%3.631.5 - - - - - 49%51%43%38%14%.08
SJSU Offense1328.42943.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1327:2918.939%42%6.2551.31.54.41.5230.7
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1342% (115)38% (121)29.2100.73.421 (59).04 (111)2.73 (115)69% (96)8% (34)0.95 (76)
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1349% (49)43% (74) - - - - .08 (48)2.94 (56)71% (56)8% (121)0.81 (7)
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1357% (21)41% (76)2333.1242.17.310.520 (58)14 (115).21 (89)1.6 (65)33% (95)28% (103).24 (100)6% (64)2.1 (63)
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1351% (86)38% (33) - - - - - - 15 (18).09 (14)1.5 (34)30% (94)29% (37).2 (28)6% (65)2 (52)
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -6.32 #85
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 8.21 #102
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 14.53 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 708.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.32   San José State: -2.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.2   San José State: -5.2




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -2.4 #80
San José State's Offense Rating: 11.40 #83
San José State's Defense Rating: 16.00 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 492.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
San José State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
San José State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #81
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #92

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 506.67
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 29
Fresno State 25


Projected Total Points: 54
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

San José State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Fresno State33San José State10Fresno StateFresno State -6.5Fresno State55.0Under
202311/11San José State42Fresno State18San José StateSan José State -2.5San José State51.5Over
202210/15Fresno State17San José State10Fresno StateSan José State -7Fresno State47.0Under
202111/25San José State9Fresno State40Fresno StateFresno State -7Fresno State52.5Under
201911/30San José State17Fresno State16San José StateFresno State -1San José State60.5Under
201811/24Fresno State31San José State13Fresno StateFresno State -31.5San José State51.0Under
201710/07San José State10Fresno State27Fresno StateFresno State -17NA59.5Under
201611/26Fresno State14San José State16San José StateSan José State -4Fresno State51.5Under
201509/26San José State49Fresno State23San José StateSan José State -4San José State52.0Over
201411/08Fresno State38San José State24Fresno StateFresno State -4Fresno State0
201311/29San José State62Fresno State52San José StateFresno State -10San José State0
201111/26Fresno State24San José State27San José State
201010/23San José State18Fresno State33Fresno State
200910/17Fresno State41San José State21Fresno State
200811/21San José State10Fresno State24Fresno State
200710/20Fresno State30San José State0Fresno State
200612/02San José State24Fresno State14San José State
200511/05Fresno State45San José State7Fresno State
200411/27San José State28Fresno State62Fresno State
200311/15Fresno State41San José State7Fresno State
200111/23Fresno State40San José State21Fresno State
200011/24San José State6Fresno State37Fresno State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State752 Overs
Fresno State1557 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 88 - 24 - 14 - 1
Road Teams8 - 142 - 81 - 41 - 4

(#85) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.32 #85
Offense Rating: 8.21 #102
Defense Rating: 14.53 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #77
Talent Rating: 708.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Fresno State Notes
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
(5/11) HC Entz was great at N Dak St (60-11)
(5/11) OC Davis runs combo spread & RPO, QB run
(5/11) Pass D good LY & DBs return some good parts
(5/11) QB1 Warner out of spring, Conklin signed after
(5/11) Final MWC season, join new Pac 12 in '26
(4/30) Portal QB Conklin (Sac St) big portal add
(4/30) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 9 portals, 4 DL help
(4/30) OL returns 4/5, meh LY but could grow up big
(4/7) RB staff high on Donelson. Ramirez can play
Fresno State     Ratings Matchup     San José State
Power #85
#80
Off #102
#83
Def #65
#77
Talent #71
#107
SP+ #88
#83
SP+ Off #98
#81
SP+ Def #77
#92

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat San José State last year (33-10)
San José State beat Fresno State in 2023 (42-18)
Fresno State beat San José State in 2022 (17-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | SJSU
Depth Chart: FRES | SJSU
Rosters: FRES | SJSU
(#80) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.4 #80
Offense Rating: 11.40 #83
Defense Rating: 16.00 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #92
Talent Rating: 492.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San José State Notes
(5/4) QB Eget back, gunslinger fun, depth?
(5/4) RB Chalk back, some depth. Better TY?
(5/4) WR rebuild, Coleman good. 4 portals added
(5/4) TE Jackson Canaan undersized but productive
(5/4) OL 4/5 back, grades are rough. No portals?
(5/4) Def bad LY, 5 portals, LB Pollard a machine
(5/4) Great job by Niumatalolo & staff with 8 W's
(5/4) One of CFB's most pass heavy teams @ 63%


  
Fresno State's OC Josh Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Carson Conklin (Tr)25540663%27592786.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Johnathan Arceneaux2210404.720
Nathan Acevedo21809.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
Richie Anderson1714708.618
Josiah Freeman895211.934
Bryson Donelson219414.514

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jayden Davis461002
Jadon Pearson (Tr)423012
Kosi Agina382001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Foreman235241
Sione Noa153230
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jadon Pearson (Tr)423012
Jayden Davis461002

San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Xavier Ward1333%16015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Coleman34401211.833
Jackson Canaan28314211.258
Cooper Hoch107607.617
Leland Smith (Tr)672212.031

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
Noah McNeal-Franklin534120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Jordan Pollard11514223
Justin Stearns284220
Taniela Latu717132
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isiah Revis716125
Jordan Pollard11514223
Ethan Powell446133