Fresno State at Nevada - 2022 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -22.5 (54.0)
Fresno State 41 - Nevada: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Bulldogs (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (26 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 27.3°
FRES 2nd straight Road Game
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
FRES is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ FRES -25.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 34 - NEV: 18 (52)
FRES Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
FRES Travel: 189 miles
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-42.563.0W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Fresno State vs Oregon State-1.059.0L 32 - 35ON
Sat 9/17 Fresno State at USC+11.071.0L 17 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Fresno State at UConn-23.551.0L 14 - 19UN
Sat 10/8 Fresno State at Boise State+9.045.0L 20 - 40ON
Sat 10/15 Fresno State vs San José State+7.047.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Fresno State at New Mexico-9.540.0W 41 - 9OY
Sat 10/29 Fresno State vs San Diego State-10.043.5W 32 - 28ON
Sat 11/5 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-27.062.0W 55 - 13OY
Fri 11/11 Fresno State at UNLV-9.061.5W 37 - 30ON
Sat 11/19 Fresno State at Nevada-22.554.0W 41 - 14OY
Fri 11/25 Fresno State vs Wyoming-15.050.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 12/3 Fresno State at Boise State+3.054.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 12/17 Fresno State vs Washington State-5.554.0W 29 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Nevada's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Nevada at New Mexico State-7.048.0W 23 - 12UY
Sat 9/3 Nevada vs Texas State+2.051.5W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 Nevada vs Incarnate Word-4.061.5L 41 - 55ON
Sat 9/17 Nevada at Iowa+24.039.0L 0 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 Nevada at Air Force+24.047.0L 20 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7 Nevada vs Colorado State-3.544.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 Nevada at Hawai'i-6.551.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Nevada vs San Diego State+7.536.0L 7 - 23UN
Sat 10/29 Nevada at San José State+24.544.5L 28 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Nevada vs Boise State+21.047.0L 3 - 41UN
Sat 11/19 Nevada vs Fresno State+22.554.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 11/26 Nevada at UNLV+12.549.0L 22 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2447%30.647%3.0713348%2704.22.1539%19.442%37%3.2941.111.6
NEV.0435%18.837%2.8911933%1862.85.2643%30.944%42%3.9755.11.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1430.628.347.1%4.22122403133270442%57%47%48%11%.24
NEV Defense1230.931.842.9%3.971.7 - - - - - 53%47%44%42%19%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1419.424.739%3.291.6 - - - - - 51%48%42%37%18%.15
NEV Offense1218.819.534.8%2.851.4173051191863.347%52%37%33%23%.04

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1431:1621.946%50%4.541.111.65.11.6330.7
Nevada1228:2916.935%50%655.11.41.76.32.2127.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1442%47%33.2133428.173.0777%8%0.86
NEV Defense1253%44% - - - - .193.4690%13%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1451%42% - - - - .173.1569%9%1.04
NEV Offense1247%37%35.6118.93.319.012.8973%15%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1457%48%23.833.7269.6811.3229.351.328%32%.363%1.8
NEV Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.351.833%30%.446%2.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1448%37% - - - - - - 12.161.635%32%.329%1.9
NEV Offense1252%33%18.133.2185.65.610.378.11.638%27%.198%2.2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3  #59
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #64
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    Nevada: -8.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 3.3   Nevada: -22.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -8.7 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4  #127
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #121
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8  #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Fresno State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 34
Nevada 18

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 36
Nevada 15

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 31
Nevada 21

Total Points: 52
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.8

Nevada's 2022 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Fresno State20Nevada17Fresno State -12.5Nevada45.5Under
202410/18Nevada21Fresno State24Fresno State -3NA50.0Under
202309/30Fresno State27Nevada9Fresno State -25.5Nevada50.5Under
202211/19Nevada14Fresno State41Fresno State -22.5Fresno State54.0Over
202110/23Fresno State34Nevada32Fresno State -3.5Nevada64.5Over
202012/05Nevada37Fresno State26Nevada -6.5Nevada59.0Over
201911/23Fresno State28Nevada35Fresno State -13.5Nevada51.5Over
201810/06Nevada3Fresno State21Fresno State -15Fresno State59.0Under
201709/30Fresno State41Nevada21Fresno State -7.5Fresno State59.5Over
201610/08Nevada27Fresno State22Nevada -11.5Fresno State54.0Under
201511/05Fresno State16Nevada30Nevada -3.5Nevada54.0Under
201411/22Nevada20Fresno State40Nevada -6.5Fresno State0
201311/02Fresno State41Nevada23Fresno State -23Nevada0
201211/10Nevada36Fresno State52
201110/22Nevada45Fresno State38
201011/13Fresno State34Nevada35
200911/14Nevada52Fresno State14
200811/07Fresno State28Nevada41
200710/06Nevada41Fresno State49
200609/01Fresno State28Nevada19
200511/26Nevada38Fresno State35
200411/20Fresno State54Nevada17
200311/08Nevada10Fresno State27
200111/17Nevada14Fresno State61
200010/13Fresno State58Nevada21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada975 Overs
Fresno State1656 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 122 - 102 - 70 - 3
Road Teams12 - 1310 - 23 - 07 - 2

(#) FRES at (#) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESNEV
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #59 #127
Perf GradeGrade #44 #130
OffenseOff #22 #127
DefenseDef #85 #110
Spec TeamsST #28 #84
TalentTal #79 #106
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #110
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #64 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
Run GameRun #25 #119
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffNEV Def
Pass GamePass #15 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #92 #118
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #121 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #133 #120
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #105 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #106 #13
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 27°
Rematch from Week 12
Fresno State 22.5 (54.0)
Fresno State won at Nevada this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Nevada last year (24-21)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2023 (27-9)
Fresno State beat Nevada in 2022 (41-14)

  
FRES's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD