Fresno State at Arizona State Game Matchup

Fresno State Bulldogs at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Fresno State -4 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Fresno State 29 - Arizona State: 0

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 96.6° (14% Hum)
ASU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Fresno State -7.5 (SP+ FRES -12.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 29 - ASU: 22 (53)
FRES Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 500 miles

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State at Purdue	+4.0	47.0	W 39 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Fresno State vs Eastern Washington	-31.5	63.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Arizona State	-4.0	48.0	W 29 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Fresno State vs Kent State	-27.5	47.5	W 53 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-25.5	50.5	W 27 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at Wyoming	-5.5	43.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Fresno State at Utah State	-5.5	56.0	W 37 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-10.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs Boise State	-2.5	53.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at San José State	+2.5	51.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State vs New Mexico	-22.5	58.5	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/25	Fresno State at San Diego State	-5.5	47.0	L 18 - 33	O	N
Sat 12/16	Fresno State vs New Mexico State	+3.0	52.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	47%	26.1	47%	3.07	133	48%	270	4.22	.15	39%	24.8	42%	37%	3.29	41.1	1	1.6
ASU	.23	44%	32.9	46%	3.12	135	44%	252	4.22	.27	47%	22.6	51%	45%	4.4	72.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	26.1	21.2	47.1%	4.22	1	22	403	133	270	4	42%	57%	47%	48%	11%	.24
ASU Defense	12	22.6	22.3	47.3%	4.4	1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	51%	45%	17%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	24.8	31.2	39%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	37%	18%	.15
ASU Offense	12	32.9	33.8	44.3%	4.22	1.5	21	387	135	252	4.2	44%	55%	46%	44%	19%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	21.9	46%	50%	4.5	41.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.6	3	30.7
Arizona State	12	30:44	21.2	39%	63%	7.3	72.3	1.5	1	4.2	1.4	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	42%	47%	33.2	133	4	28	.17	3.07	77%	8%	0.86
ASU Defense	12	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.53	79%	9%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.15	69%	9%	1.04
ASU Offense	12	44%	46%	32.1	135.3	4.2	21	.13	3.12	74%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	57%	48%	23.8	33.7	269.6	8	11.3	22	9	.35	1.3	28%	32%	.36	3%	1.8
ASU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.25	1.4	26%	31%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.32	9%	1.9
ASU Offense	12	55%	44%	22.5	33.6	251.9	7.5	11.2	18	10	.35	1.6	32%	34%	.43	7%	2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07 Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5 Arizona State: -11.9

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 29
Arizona State 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Arizona State	0	Fresno State	29	Fresno State	Fresno State -4	Fresno State	48.0	Under
2018	12/15	Fresno State	31	Arizona State	20	Fresno State	Fresno State -6	Fresno State	54.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	0	0	0 Overs
Fresno State	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#59) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

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Fresno State Ratings Matchup Arizona State

Power #59

#106

Off #53

#101

Def #45

#123

Talent #89

#76

SP+ #63

#108

SP+ Off #58

#102

SP+ Def #82

#94

Rematch from Week 3
Fresno State 4.0 (48.0)
Fresno State won at Arizona State this year (29-0)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Arizona State in 2023 (29-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 97° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | ASU
Depth Chart: FRES | ASU
Rosters: FRES | ASU

(#106) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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Fresno State's OC Pat McCann

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Fife	157	246	64%	1781	13	2	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Fife	52	120	5	2.3	22
Mac Dalena	5	39	0	7.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mac Dalena	60	998	8	16.6	75
Tre Watson	21	280	1	13.3	33
Artis Cole	12	152	1	12.7	30
Jake Boust	4	30	0	7.5	10

View Fresno State's Full Roster

Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)	102	7	0	0	3
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark (Tr)	56	3	2	2	4
Devo Bridges	49	7	2	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Langley	73	3	3	7	0
Dean Clark (Tr)	56	3	2	2	4
Devo Bridges	49	7	2	6	1
Kemari Bailey	5	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Lockridge	37	2	0	0	6
Dean Clark (Tr)	56	3	2	2	4
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)	102	7	0	0	3

Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8
Jacob Conover (Tr)	2	4	50%	22	0	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	293	1715	21	5.9	53
Javen Jacobs	40	277	3	6.9	50
George Hart III	44	204	2	4.6	30
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	37	148	1	4.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	39	806	4	20.7	77
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	45	605	3	13.4	66
Shawn Charles	30	553	5	18.4	86
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	22	339	5	15.4	61

View Arizona State's Full Roster

Arizona State's DC Brian Ward

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	72	9	0	4	4
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5	0
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	36	2	0	1	5
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	72	9	0	4	4
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3