Wyoming at Fresno State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Bulldog Stadium - Fresno, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 13 (10 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
WYO coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Fresno State -2   (SP+ FRES -8)

Projected Score: WYO: 20 - FRES: 22 (41)
FRES Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
WYO Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (3 - 1) (3 - 1 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (49 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.544.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+1.5
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State-6
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force-4.5
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-4
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+2
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-14
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i-1

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Fresno State at Kansas+14.051.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 8/30 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-2.554.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+1.045.5W 36 - 27OY
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-37.551.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-3.047.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.5
Sat 10/11 Fresno State at Colorado State+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State-2
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-2
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-9
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State-0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#102 (.1)44% (60)15.747% (49)2.93 (74)12542% (82)1692.82 (119)#7 (-.12)36% (45)12.741% (82)33% (36)0.77 (2)53.311.3
FRES#51 (.25)44% (64)35.344% (70)2.7 (97)20347% (47)1903.58 (90)#126 (.36)50% (125)19.846% (100)53% (129)4.75 (115)4520.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense315.71044.3%2.821172951251694.151%49%47%42%15%.1
FRES Defense419.810.549.7%4.750.8 - - - - - 46%53%46%53%13%.36
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense312.712.736.1%0.771.3 - - - - - 45%53%41%33%10%-.12
FRES Offense435.34943.9%3.582223932031905.855%42%44%47%17%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming324:2416.739%33%753.311.32.72024.5
Fresno State430:332251%67%4.54520.84.81.5229.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense351% (67)47% (49)30.3125.34.12 (109).05 (96)2.93 (74)54% (122)10% (96)0.85 (96)
FRES Defense446% (43)46% (100) - - - - .13 (95)3.28 (120)100% (127)7% (118)0.74 (22)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense345% (35)41% (82) - - - - (47)3.09 (103)60% (34)5% (133)0.69 (13)
FRES Offense455% (45)44% (70)35.32035.812 (3).13 (70)2.7 (97)75% (52)11% (107)1.25 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense349% (70)42% (82)14.324.3169.3711.83 (90)1 (23).16 (99)1.3 (116)28% (50)19% (126).1 (116)5% (72)1.9 (78)
FRES Defense453% (89)53% (129) - - - - - - 3 (28).55 (126)1.5 (71)32% (78)38% (120).45 (108)7% (45)1.8 (50)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense353% (95)33% (36) - - - - - - 3 (28)-.09 (15)1 (6)35% (44)18% (21)-.12 (8)6% (73)1.4 (7)
FRES Offense442% (109)47% (47)1926189.57.3104 (72)5 (129).55 (19)1.7 (27)30% (63)45% (15).77 (12)6% (92)2.3 (22)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.94 #85
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 4.85 #105
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 7.79 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #92
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #115
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.94   Fresno State: -3.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -8.1   Fresno State: -0.3




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -3.56 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 15.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 12.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 22
Wyoming 20


Total Points: 41

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.5

Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Wyoming24Fresno State19WyomingFresno State -5.5Wyoming43.0Push
202211/25Fresno State30Wyoming0Fresno StateFresno State -15Fresno State50.5Under
202110/16Wyoming0Fresno State17Fresno StateFresno State -3Fresno State53.5Under
201810/13Fresno State27Wyoming3Fresno StateFresno State -17.5Fresno State44.0Under
201711/18Wyoming7Fresno State13Fresno StateFresno State -2.5Fresno State39.0Under
201411/01Fresno State17Wyoming45WyomingFresno State -10.5Wyoming0
201311/09Wyoming10Fresno State48Fresno StateFresno State -10.5Fresno State0
201210/20Fresno State42Wyoming14Fresno State
200912/19Wyoming35Fresno State28Wyoming
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State650 Overs
Wyoming324 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 42 - 11 - 3
Road Teams4 - 54 - 33 - 11 - 2

(#85) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -2.94 #85
Offense Rating: 4.85 #105
Defense Rating: 7.79 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 562.00 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.82 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 0.77 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wyoming has lost 7 straight
Wyoming has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming defense is really good in red zone (#2)
Wyoming defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming has a really bad Offense
Wyoming Can Not Run the Ball (#100)
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Wyoming offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#119)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)
Wyoming has a bad defensive line (#103)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFRESWYO
OverallOver#64#67
OffenseOff#30#82
DefenseDef#105#56
Special TeamsST#26#48
PassingPass#58#83
RushingRush#11#65
Run BlockRBLK#34#69
Pass BlockPBLK#24#60
Route RunningWR Rt#54#92
TacklingTkl#71#61
Run DefenseR Def#99#62
Pass Rush DefPRush#98#99
Coverage DefCov#109#23

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Fresno State in 2023 (24-19)
Fresno State beat Wyoming in 2022 (30-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | FRES
Depth Chart: WYO | FRES
Rosters: WYO | FRES
(#109) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -3.56 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Fresno State has lost 5 straight
Fresno State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway

Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State is Undefeated at Home
Fresno State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)


  
Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson488259%535326.5
Landon Sims33100%23007.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott4420314.628
Terron Kellman (Tr)1813717.633
Samuel Harris1813017.228
Max White (Tr)82202.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.17284216.749
Johnmichael Gyllenborg884110.523
Jackson Holman (Tr)43809.520
Samuel Harris43609.032

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Johnson201100
Evan Eller201010
Brayden Johnson (Tr)200011
Jones Thomas140003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine103300
Lucas Samsula52200
Andrew Johnson201100
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jones Thomas140003
Tyrese Boss130002
Dainsus Miller60001

Fresno State's OC Josh Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)719872%716457.3
Carson Conklin (Tr)5683%42007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson5032526.557
Rayshon Luke (Tr)3622456.244
Elijah Gilliam1710125.925
Johnathan Arceneaux105415.412
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman11149013.530
Ezekiel Avit (Tr)1311008.517
Bryson Donelson887010.939
Rayshon Luke (Tr)128016.720

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Pearson (Tr)341001
Camryn Bracha182000
Finn Claypool (Tr)162211
Alzillion Hamilton150001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool (Tr)162211
Korey Foreman93200
Jayden Davis152120
Jahzon Jacks52120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakari Embry60003
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)141013
Simeon Harris (Tr)122002