Wyoming at Fresno State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -3 (40.5) (-148)  Open: -4.5
Fresno State 24 - Wyoming: 3  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Rain Predicted
WYO coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Fresno State -5.5  (SP+ FRES -12)

Projected Score: WYO: 17 - FRES: 23 (40)
FRES Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WYO Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.040.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-6.039.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+8.545.0L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Fresno State at Kansas+14.051.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 8/30 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-2.554.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+1.045.5W 36 - 27OY
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-37.551.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.547.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 20 - 17UN
Fri 10/10 Fresno State at Colorado State-5.547.5L 21 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State+3.046.5L 0 - 23UN
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+17.547.5W 30 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-3.040.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-1.550.5L 17 - 28UN
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State-3.546.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 12/27 Fresno State vs Miami (OH)-5.041.0W 18 - 3UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#122 (.05)38% (116)1638% (117)2.74 (109)13239% (100)1832.9 (127)#26 (.07)38% (25)20.540% (46)37% (22)2.77 (12)56.31.51.3
FRES#105 (.11)39% (110)25.838% (120)2.79 (101)15741% (78)1673.29 (111)#40 (.1)39% (32)18.843% (77)35% (14)3.26 (34)55.21.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense121611.338.1%2.91.5183151321834.147%51%38%39%19%.05
FRES Defense1318.815.338.8%3.261.8 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%18%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1220.522.738%2.771.3 - - - - - 55%44%40%37%13%.07
FRES Offense1325.826.538.6%3.291.5183241571674.753%45%38%41%15%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1228:3117.734%52%6.656.31.51.34.41.3325.5
Fresno State1329:2017.536%40%655.21.51.84.91.6333.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1247% (94)38% (117)32.4131.84.19 (107).02 (119)2.74 (109)56% (135)10% (89)0.96 (68)
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (77) - - - - .09 (62)3 (93)74% (92)10% (66)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1255% (120)40% (46) - - - - .09 (60)3 (94)74% (94)8% (122)0.93 (53)
FRES Offense1353% (41)38% (120)33.3157.14.722 (49).02 (114)2.79 (101)73% (59)10% (86)1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1251% (50)39% (100)17.9321835.710.213 (86)12 (108).12 (122)1.4 (131)35% (122)25% (116).16 (118)9% (132)1.8 (123)
FRES Defense1349% (75)35% (14) - - - - - - 19 (12).14 (24)1.6 (91)33% (43)27% (30).17 (24)8% (12)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1244% (17)37% (22) - - - - - - 10 (75).13 (21)1.6 (93)34% (27)27% (25).17 (22)6% (87)1.9 (43)
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)17.227166.56.29.713 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (78)33% (97)30% (73).31 (70)5% (48)2 (86)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.63  #80
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 1.98  #115
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.61  #43
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #131
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.63   Fresno State: -1.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -10.5   Fresno State: 1.1




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -1.295  #102
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 0.27  #127
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 8.96  #73
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #67
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #96
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #43

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 23
Wyoming 17


Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 20
Fresno State 18

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 24
Wyoming 15

Total Points: 39
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Fresno State24Wyoming3Fresno State -3Fresno State40.5Under
202310/07Wyoming24Fresno State19Fresno State -5.5Wyoming43.0Push
202211/25Fresno State30Wyoming0Fresno State -15Fresno State50.5Under
202110/16Wyoming0Fresno State17Fresno State -3Fresno State53.5Under
201810/13Fresno State27Wyoming3Fresno State -17.5Fresno State44.0Under
201711/18Wyoming7Fresno State13Fresno State -2.5Fresno State39.0Under
201411/01Fresno State17Wyoming45Fresno State -10.5Wyoming0
201311/09Wyoming10Fresno State48Fresno State -10.5Fresno State0
201210/20Fresno State42Wyoming14
200912/19Wyoming35Fresno State28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State760 Overs
Wyoming325 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 44 - 43 - 11 - 3
Road Teams4 - 64 - 43 - 11 - 3

(#80) WYO at (#102) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWYOFRES
Power RatePwr #80 #102
SP+SP+ #107 #67
Perf GradeGrade #117 #65
OffenseOff #130 #72
DefenseDef #52 #66
Spec TeamsST #132 #31
TalentTal #103 #80
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
Fresno State Notes
(10/28) QB Warner benched, Conklin was bad vs SDSU
(10/28) Entz says Conklin QB1 at least for now
(10/9) Off started out hot but cooled lately. QB Warner JAG
(9/23) LB Tim Thomas no longer with team
(9/23) OL has improved, run game good. Pass Off poor
(9/23) Def #'s really poor despite 4-1 start. On watch
(9/9) QB Warner brutal start, 0 TD - 5 INT
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
Fresno State Injury Report
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffFRES Def
Perf GradePerf #130 #66
SuccessSuc #116 #32
ExplosiveExp #115 #20
PPAPPA #122 #40
PowerPwr #115 #73
SP+SP+ #131 #43
Pts POPPO #127 #34
HavocHav #124 #32
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #98 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #117 #77
Run ExplRExp #68 #8
PPAExp #119 #62
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #93
Stuff RateStuff #115 #50
TackleTak -  #98
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
WYO OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #133 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #100 #14
Pass ExplPExl #131 #91
PPAExp #122 #24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #101 #62
F7 HavocF7 #89 #66
DB HavocDB #132 #12
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFRES OffWYO Def
Perf GradePerf #72 #52
SuccessSuc #110 #25
ExplosiveExp #55 #48
PPAPPA #105 #26
PowerPwr #127 #43
SP+SP+ #96 #55
Pts POPPO #111 #12
HavocHav #65 #119
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #34 #55
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #46
Run ExplRExp #51 #53
PPAExp #114 #60
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #101 #94
Stuff RateStuff #91 #105
TackleTak -  #56
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFRES OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #91 #45
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #22
Pass ExplPExl #78 #93
PPAExp #64 #21
Pass Block/RushP Blk #21 #112
F7 HavocF7 #86 #122
DB HavocDB #48 #87
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 55° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Fresno State -3.0 (40.5)
Fresno State won vs Wyoming this year (24-3)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Fresno State in 2023 (24-19)
Fresno State beat Wyoming in 2022 (30-0)

  
WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson18933656%197112105.9
Mason Drube203853%187014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris10055215.550
Sam Scott8940824.637
Terron Kellman (Tr)6533145.133
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.46513411.249
Jaylen Sargent20240012.029
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)16228314.335
Johnmichael Gyllenborg2421719.024

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)745013
Evan Eller627221
Jones Thomas461004
Tyce Westland438242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine336413
Brayden Wilson (Tr)224210
Tyce Westland438242
Evan Eller627221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrese Boss360005
Dainsus Miller253005
Desman Hearns (Tr)283005

FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)19327869%202513117.3
Carson Conklin (Tr)479649%354123.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke (Tr)11069966.469
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Johnathan Arceneaux4026726.758
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Richie Anderson32321310.025
Ezekiel Avit (Tr)2825509.141
Rayshon Luke (Tr)3622826.323

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Pearson (Tr)966013
Simeon Harris (Tr)537105
Camryn Bracha523004
Finn Claypool (Tr)4111741
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool (Tr)4111741
Korey Foreman196422
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakari Embry260007
Simeon Harris (Tr)537105
Alzillion Hamilton342015