Wyoming at Fresno State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -3.5 (40.5) (-175)  Open: -4.5
Bulldog Stadium - Fresno, CA  (Mountain West)

 
Cowboys (4 - 5) (5 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 19 - 20 (15 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#77)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Heavy Rain Predicted
WYO coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Wyoming -0  (SP+ FRES -3)

Projected Score: WYO: 20 - FRES: 20 (40)
FRES Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (6 - 3) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 22 (30 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 4.4 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Wyoming's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wyoming at Akron-8.549.5W 10 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Wyoming vs Northern Iowa-14.047.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/13 Wyoming vs Utah+24.547.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 9/20 Wyoming at Colorado+12.545.5L 20 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wyoming vs UNLV+4.550.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Wyoming vs San José State+1.550.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 10/18 Wyoming at Air Force+4.056.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/25 Wyoming vs Colorado State-5.546.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/1 Wyoming at San Diego State+10.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Wyoming at Fresno State+3.540.5
Sat 11/22 Wyoming vs Nevada-17
Sat 11/29 Wyoming at Hawai'i+2.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Fresno State at Kansas+14.051.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 8/30 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-2.554.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+1.045.5W 36 - 27OY
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-37.551.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.547.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 20 - 17UN
Fri 10/10 Fresno State at Colorado State-5.547.5L 21 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State+3.046.5L 0 - 23UN
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+17.547.5W 30 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-3.540.5
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-3
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State+2.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#111 (.09)40% (103)19.440% (107)2.86 (79)15042% (74)1963.29 (106)#23 (.07)40% (48)20.242% (71)39% (42)2.6 (7)54.71.81.6
FRES#97 (.13)43% (67)26.141% (89)2.67 (114)15445% (39)1943.47 (93)#84 (.18)41% (61)21.842% (68)40% (56)3.8 (85)60.61.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense919.414.540.2%3.291.8193461501964.449%50%40%42%18%.09
FRES Defense921.815.341%3.81.8 - - - - - 50%49%42%40%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense920.221.340%2.61.6 - - - - - 53%46%42%39%13%.07
FRES Offense926.129.542.8%3.471.8203481541944.549%49%41%45%17%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming929:0819.137%53%6.654.71.81.63.91.4225.4
Fresno State931:1519.740%27%6.760.61.81.85.61.9332.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense949% (78)40% (107)34150.24.49 (107).04 (106)2.86 (79)59% (129)9% (66)0.97 (71)
FRES Defense950% (69)42% (68) - - - - .1 (74)2.95 (88)81% (119)10% (54)0.85 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense953% (105)42% (71) - - - - .1 (76)3.08 (109)76% (96)7% (130)0.88 (35)
FRES Offense949% (76)41% (89)34154.34.516 (49)-.02 (128)2.67 (114)76% (48)11% (106)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense950% (60)42% (74)18.230.9196.16.410.812 (86)10 (108).18 (105)1.4 (110)33% (93)26% (109).2 (109)8% (129)2 (82)
FRES Defense949% (67)40% (56) - - - - - - 12 (12).26 (81)1.6 (103)33% (55)30% (74).26 (58)7% (31)1.8 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense946% (32)39% (42) - - - - - - 9 (75).11 (23)1.5 (34)34% (39)27% (31).16 (18)6% (62)1.8 (18)
FRES Offense949% (63)45% (39)19.330.1193.96.41010 (75)11 (127).33 (52)1.5 (100)32% (89)33% (47).33 (65)6% (73)2 (72)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -2.12  #78
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 2.75  #107
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 4.87  #50
2025 Talent Rating: 562.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Wyoming's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Wyoming's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8  #96
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #110
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #61

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -2.12   Fresno State: -3.985

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -5.8   Fresno State: -2.9




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -3.985  #113
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 2.11  #116
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 12.18  #94
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.6 - 4.4
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7  #99
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4  #61

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.5
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.3

Wyoming's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wyoming 20
Fresno State 20


Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 20
Fresno State 18

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 24
Wyoming 18

Total Points: 42
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Wyoming24Fresno State19Fresno State -5.5Wyoming43.0Push
202211/25Fresno State30Wyoming0Fresno State -15Fresno State50.5Under
202110/16Wyoming0Fresno State17Fresno State -3Fresno State53.5Under
201810/13Fresno State27Wyoming3Fresno State -17.5Fresno State44.0Under
201711/18Wyoming7Fresno State13Fresno State -2.5Fresno State39.0Under
201411/01Fresno State17Wyoming45Fresno State -10.5Wyoming0
201311/09Wyoming10Fresno State48Fresno State -10.5Fresno State0
201210/20Fresno State42Wyoming14
200912/19Wyoming35Fresno State28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State650 Overs
Wyoming324 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 42 - 11 - 3
Road Teams4 - 54 - 33 - 11 - 2

(#78) WYO at (#113) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWYOFRES
Power RatePwr #78 #113
SP+SP+ #96 #81
Perf GradeGrade #109 #66
OffenseOff #120 #64
DefenseDef #54 #88
Spec TeamsST #104 #27
TalentTal #103 #80
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #88
Wyoming Notes
(8/1) OL was awful LY, but 4/5 back. No portals?
(8/1) Def was awful, lost a ton, added 12 portals
(8/1) Back 7 of Def has almost no exp. Pass D awful
(5/2) QB K Anderson likely. JAG- so far, depth??
(5/2) RB Scott back, Kellman (Char) added. Meh
(5/2) WR Sargent electric, Durr back as well. C+
(5/2) HC Sawvel awful 1st year. Doesn't look better TY
(5/2) TE Gyllenborg a nice target w/ 55 career rec
Wyoming Injury Report
Fresno State Notes
(10/28) QB Warner benched, Conklin was bad vs SDSU
(10/28) Entz says Conklin QB1 at least for now
(10/9) Off started out hot but cooled lately. QB Warner JAG
(9/23) LB Tim Thomas no longer with team
(9/23) OL has improved, run game good. Pass Off poor
(9/23) Def #'s really poor despite 4-1 start. On watch
(9/9) QB Warner brutal start, 0 TD - 5 INT
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
Fresno State Injury Report
Wyoming on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WYO OffFRES Def
Perf GradePerf #120 #88
SuccessSuc #103 #61
ExplosiveExp #100 #65
PPAPPA #111 #84
PowerPwr #107 #94
SP+SP+ #110 #61
Pts POPPO #106 #85
HavocHav #110 #42
Wyoming Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WYO OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #89 #104
Run SuccessRSuc #107 #68
Run ExplRExp #71 #24
PPAExp #106 #74
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLY #79 #88
Stuff RateStuff #101 #82
TackleTak -  #96
Wyoming Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WYO OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #125 #55
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #56
Pass ExplPExl #110 #103
PPAExp #105 #81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #91
F7 HavocF7 #66 #54
DB HavocDB #129 #31
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatFRES OffWYO Def
Perf GradePerf #64 #54
SuccessSuc #67 #48
ExplosiveExp #87 #14
PPAPPA #97 #23
PowerPwr #116 #50
SP+SP+ #99 #61
Pts POPPO #93 #7
HavocHav #93 #125
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWYO Def
Run GameRun #13 #62
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #71
Run ExplRExp #75 #35
PPAExp #128 #76
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #114 #109
Stuff RateStuff #100 #120
TackleTak -  #72
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatFRES OffWYO Def
Pass GamePass #97 #48
Pass SuccessPSuc #39 #42
Pass ExplPExl #100 #34
PPAExp #52 #23
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #111
F7 HavocF7 #106 #130
DB HavocDB #73 #62
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 57° - Wind: 8 mph
Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Fresno State in 2023 (24-19)
Fresno State beat Wyoming in 2022 (30-0)

  
WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaden Anderson15826959%17271196.4
Landon Sims6875%38104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Harris8545015.350
Sam Scott7335324.837
Terron Kellman (Tr)6132145.333
Landon Sims159716.537
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Durr Jr.38442411.649
Jaylen Sargent19227011.929
Samuel Harris15182012.152
Michael Fitzgerald (Tr)9146316.235

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Johnson (Tr)474012
Evan Eller372211
Tyce Westland356241
Tyrese Boss330005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Florentine235412
Tyce Westland356241
Evan Eller372211
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)163240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrese Boss330005
Dainsus Miller193005
Jones Thomas311004

FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)13920269%14861097.4
Carson Conklin (Tr)356951%259023.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke (Tr)7949056.268
Bryson Donelson10545644.357
Brandon Ramirez3416324.819
Elijah Gilliam2111535.525
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman31353411.430
Richie Anderson2423329.724
Ezekiel Avit (Tr)19197010.441
Rayshon Luke (Tr)2516726.723

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Pearson (Tr)756001
Simeon Harris (Tr)376102
Finn Claypool (Tr)347641
Camryn Bracha323000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool (Tr)347641
Korey Foreman155311
Jahzon Jacks255330
Deijon Laffitte245302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakari Embry180006
Ryan Wilson172103
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)322013