Washington State at Fresno State Game Matchup
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Washington State -3.5 (60.5) (-166)  Open: -2.5
Washington State 25 - Fresno State: 17

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
WSU coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington State -2   (SP+ WSU -5)

Projected Score: WSU: 31 - FRES: 29 (59)
WSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WSU Travel: 698 miles
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
Washington State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington State vs Portland State-26.557.5W 70 - 30OY
Sat 9/7 Washington State vs Texas Tech+2.564.5W 37 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Washington State vs Washington+4.056.0W 24 - 19UY
Fri 9/20 Washington State vs San José State-13.055.5W 54 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Washington State at Boise State+6.566.0L 24 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Washington State at Fresno State-3.560.5W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 Washington State vs Hawai'i-18.555.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 Washington State at San Diego State-17.056.5W 29 - 26UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Washington State vs Utah State-20.569.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/16 Washington State at New Mexico-10.572.5L 35 - 38ON
Sat 11/23 Washington State at Oregon State-11.057.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Washington State vs Wyoming-18.555.5L 14 - 15UN
Fri 12/27 Washington State vs Syracuse+19.058.5L 35 - 52OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25UN
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20UY
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#65 (.2)45% (40)36.647% (24)2.85 (110)8444% (47)3364.17 (41)#62 (.17)42% (64)29.945% (95)39% (34)4.22 (108)49.81.81.3
FRES#51 (.22)44% (48)26.140% (103)2.97 (95)10647% (24)2814.21 (36)#66 (.18)41% (60)24.842% (62)41% (64)3.31 (20)39.81.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1236.630.244.9%4.171.82342084336334%65%47%44%18%.2
FRES Defense1324.81841.5%3.311.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%41%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1229.933.441.7%4.221.3 - - - - - 49%50%45%39%15%.17
FRES Offense1326.13243.8%4.211.1213881062813.837%62%40%47%15%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1229:4322.742%46%6.149.81.81.35.22329.4
Fresno State1329:2120.948%64%4.439.81.11.85.52.2131.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1234% (132)47% (24)28.484.3317 (81).09 (98)2.85 (110)72% (80)11% (96)0.98 (80)
FRES Defense1353% (105)42% (62) - - - - .13 (61)3.16 (84)68% (42)9% (95)0.91 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1249% (54)45% (95) - - - - .12 (53)3.03 (53)68% (39)9% (87)0.98 (60)
FRES Offense1337% (129)40% (103)28.4106.53.816 (89).14 (77)2.97 (95)74% (70)8% (28)1.01 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1265% (3)44% (47)28.442.6335.77.911.827 (25)9 (40).29 (69)1.5 (117)31% (58)34% (37).43 (34)6% (80)2.1 (65)
FRES Defense1346% (28)41% (64) - - - - - - 17 (3).3 (90)1.7 (93)32% (60)33% (106).34 (84)7% (44)2 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1250% (82)39% (34) - - - - - - 8 (100).24 (50)1.6 (66)32% (59)29% (54).26 (39)6% (93)2.1 (78)
FRES Offense1362% (5)47% (24)25.839.6281.37.110.929 (18)12 (85).3 (65)1.5 (118)31% (49)38% (10).43 (37)7% (93)1.8 (125)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 480.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 519
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40   Fresno State: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3   Fresno State: -3.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -2.6 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 31
Fresno State 29


Projected Total Points: 59
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Fresno State17Washington State25Washington StateWashington State -3.5Washington State60.5Under
202212/17Fresno State29Washington State6Fresno StateFresno State -5.5Fresno State54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State110 Overs
Washington State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#72) Washington State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97
Talent Rating: 480.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Washington State Notes
(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State     Ratings Matchup     Fresno State
Power #72
#87
Off #22
#95
Def #107
#33
Talent #105
#88
SP+ #68
#85
SP+ Off #21
#85
SP+ Def #97
#77

Rematch from Week 7
Washington State 3.5 (60.5)
Washington State won at Fresno State this year (25-17)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Fresno State last year (25-17)
Fresno State beat Washington State in 2022 (29-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84° - Wind: 12 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WSU | FRES
Depth Chart: WSU | FRES
Rosters: WSU | FRES
(#87) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.6 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best


  
Washington State's OC Ben Arbuckle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Mateer22434765%31392979.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)375074%424428.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Mateer178826154.668
Wayshawn Parker13773545.475
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Djouvensky Schlenbaker4314933.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Hutson (Tr)55691212.659
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Carlos Hernandez31397512.842
Cooper Mathers13196615.150

View Washington State's Full Roster
Washington State's DC Jeff Schmedding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taariq Al-Uqdah695052
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tanner Moku480001
Stephen Hall484003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh247620
Khalil Laufau154301
Raam Stevenson153270
Syrus Webster (Tr)284140
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan O'Connor301018
Kapena Gushiken483006
Tyson Durant (Tr)452026

Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Joshua Wood182864%195117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Malik Sherrod6019643.348
Joshua Wood3711863.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Moss49582411.949
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)51523310.338
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
Richie Anderson1714708.618

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jayden Davis461002
Phoenix Jackson455254
Kosi Agina382001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson455254
Korey Foreman (Tr)235241
Jacob Holmes173230
Sione Noa153230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Phoenix Jackson455254
Julian Neal324104