UTEP at Fresno State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 18th 2021 (2:15 PM EST)
Fresno State -11.5 (51.5) (-470) Open: -13.0 | 51.0
Fresno State 31 - UTEP: 24 (PUBG Mobile New Mexico Bowl)

Miners (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (7 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ FRES -15)
Projected Score: UTEP: 21 - FRES: 29 (50)
FRES Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
UTEP Travel: 228 miles

Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UTEP Players
FRES Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTEP's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	UTEP at New Mexico State	-9.5	59.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/4	UTEP vs Bethune-Cookman	-20.5	52.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Fri 9/10	UTEP at Boise State	+25.0	56.0	L 13 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	UTEP vs New Mexico	+2.5	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UTEP vs Old Dominion	-5.5	48.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/9	UTEP at Southern Miss	-1.0	46.5	W 26 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+6.5	55.5	W 19 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	UTEP at Florida Atlantic	+11.0	49.0	L 25 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/6	UTEP vs UTSA	+12.0	53.5	L 23 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/13	UTEP at North Texas	+1.0	55.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/20	UTEP vs Rice	-9.0	47.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/26	UTEP at UAB	+13.5	49.5	L 25 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/18	UTEP vs Fresno State	+11.5	51.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Fresno State vs UConn	-28.0	63.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Fresno State at Oregon	+18.0	62.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Fresno State vs Cal Poly	-32.5	59.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Fresno State at UCLA	+11.0	64.0	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Fresno State vs UNLV	-30.0	59.0	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.5	64.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Fresno State at Wyoming	-3.0	53.5	W 17 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-3.5	64.5	W 34 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/30	Fresno State at San Diego State	-2.0	43.5	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Fresno State vs Boise State	-4.0	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/13	Fresno State vs New Mexico	-24.0	51.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	Fresno State at San José State	-7.0	52.5	W 40 - 9	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Fresno State vs UTEP	-11.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	.24	38%	25.1	35%	2.7	140	43%	252	3.53	.14	39%	25.2	39%	40%	3.81	74.8	1.8	1.3
FRES	.26	48%	33.4	46%	2.86	137	49%	327	3.86	.11	38%	20.5	41%	36%	3.54	71.2	1.7	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	#121 (.07)	37% (124)		38% (118)	2.8 (106)	121	36% (117)	200	2.81 (132)	#46 (.13)	40% (42)		40% (42)	39% (46)	3.85 (78)	50.9	1.6	1.5
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Offense	13	25.1	22.7	38.3%	3.53	1.8	18	392	140	252	3.8	53%	46%	35%	43%	19%	.24
FRES Defense	13	20.5	19.8	38.5%	3.54	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	41%	36%	20%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Defense	13	25.2	26.7	39.1%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	40%	17%	.14
FRES Offense	13	33.4	38	47.6%	3.86	1.7	24	464	137	327	4.1	40%	60%	46%	49%	14%	.26

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTEP	13	31:53	18	32%	79%	8.5	74.8	1.8	1.3	5.5	1.9	0	27
Fresno State	13	31:26	24.3	43%	53%	7.6	71.2	1.7	2.2	6.9	2.3	0	30.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense	13	53%	35%	37	140	3.8	18	.05	2.7	65%	11%	1.02
FRES Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.81	68%	13%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense	13	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.71	63%	10%	0.97
FRES Offense	13	40%	46%	33.8	137.2	4.1	17	.06	2.86	64%	9%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense	13	46%	43%	15.4	28.2	252.2	9	16.4	19	14	.52	1.9	34%	29%	.39	8%	2.4
FRES Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.17	1.8	34%	28%	.29	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.6	33%	25%	.24	7%	2.1
FRES Offense	13	60%	49%	26.3	39.5	326.7	8.3	12.4	35	10	.39	1.5	28%	35%	.34	5%	1.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: NR
UTEP's Offense Rating: NR
UTEP's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UTEP's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTEP's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.2 #91
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #83

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: Fresno State: 5.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -4.2 Fresno State: 10.8

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 5.4 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.7

UTEP's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 29
UTEP 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 28
UTEP 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 31
UTEP 22

Total Points: 53

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/18	Fresno State	31	UTEP	24	Fresno State -11.5	UTEP	51.5	Over
2004	10/09	Fresno State	21	UTEP	24
2003	11/29	UTEP	20	Fresno State	23
2000	10/20	UTEP	23	Fresno State	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Fresno State	2	0	1 Overs
UTEP	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

UTEP Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Mexico Bowl	UTEP vs Fresno State	+11.5	51.5	L 24 - 31

Fresno State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Mexico Bowl	Fresno State vs UTEP	-11.5	51.5	W 31 - 24
2018	Vegas Bowl	Fresno State vs Arizona State	-6.0	54.0	W 31 - 20
2017	I Bowl	Fresno State vs Houston	+2.5	52.0	W 33 - 27

(#) UTEP at (#) FRES

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTEP	FRES
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#38
OffenseOff	#63	#67
DefenseDef	#59	#17
Spec TeamsST	#84	#104
TalentTal	#121	#81
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UTEP Injury Report

Fresno State Injury Report

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	FRES Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#121	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#18

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UTEP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#51	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#10

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#32	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#102	#66
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 44°

Rematch from Week 1
Fresno State -11.5 (51.5)
Fresno State won vs UTEP this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UTEP's OC Dave Warner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD