San José State at Fresno State - 2024 Matchup Preview
San José State logo San José State Spartans at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -6.5 (55.0) (-200)  Open: -6.0 | 54.5
Fresno State 33 - San José State: 10  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -4.5  (SP+ FRES -2)
Projected Score: SJSU: 26 - FRES: 30 (56)
FRES Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
SJSU Travel: 121 miles
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Tedford (45 - 22)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25UN
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20UY
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)28.441% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)27.542% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)26.138% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)24.843% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1328.425.443.9%3.62.222410883223.637%63%41%46%18%.18
FRES Defense1324.81840.3%3.631.5 - - - - - 49%51%43%38%14%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1327.527.640.8%3.582.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%17%.1
FRES Offense1326.13239.2%3.681.3193431012423.442%57%38%41%14%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1326:2321.740%53%761.52.22.27.21.9228.5
Fresno State1327:2918.939%42%6.2551.31.54.41.5230.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1337% (131)41% (98)24.687.93.613 (105)-.06 (131)2.27 (133)70% (91)9% (57)0.81 (127)
FRES Defense1349% (49)43% (74) - - - - .08 (48)2.94 (56)71% (56)8% (121)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1353% (94)42% (66) - - - - .03 (21)2.71 (23)77% (96)11% (41)0.86 (16)
FRES Offense1342% (115)38% (121)29.2100.73.421 (59).04 (111)2.73 (115)69% (96)8% (34)0.95 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1363% (3)46% (28)24.342.3321.87.613.231 (6)16 (124).33 (39)1.6 (74)30% (53)34% (46).38 (49)9% (131)2.1 (65)
FRES Defense1351% (86)38% (33) - - - - - - 15 (18).09 (14)1.5 (34)30% (94)29% (37).2 (28)6% (65)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1347% (43)39% (47) - - - - - - 21 (1).19 (48)1.7 (105)34% (36)29% (45).24 (38)6% (56)2.1 (87)
FRES Offense1357% (21)41% (76)2333.1242.17.310.520 (58)14 (115).21 (89)1.6 (65)33% (95)28% (103).24 (100)6% (64)2.1 (63)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.63  #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16  #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66  #71
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5  #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.63   Fresno State: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -5.5   Fresno State: -3.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -2.6  #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89  #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00  #33
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8  #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6  #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 30
San José State 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
San José State 32
Fresno State 29

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 28
San José State 24

Total Points: 52
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29San José State14Fresno State41Fresno State -3.5Fresno State46.0Over
202410/26Fresno State33San José State10Fresno State -6.5Fresno State55.0Under
202311/11San José State42Fresno State18San José State -2.5San José State51.5Over
202210/15Fresno State17San José State10San José State -7Fresno State47.0Under
202111/25San José State9Fresno State40Fresno State -7Fresno State52.5Under
201911/30San José State17Fresno State16Fresno State -1San José State60.5Under
201811/24Fresno State31San José State13Fresno State -31.5San José State51.0Under
201710/07San José State10Fresno State27Fresno State -17NA59.5Under
201611/26Fresno State14San José State16San José State -4Fresno State51.5Under
201509/26San José State49Fresno State23San José State -4San José State52.0Over
201411/08Fresno State38San José State24Fresno State -4Fresno State0
201311/29San José State62Fresno State52Fresno State -10San José State0
201111/26Fresno State24San José State27
201010/23San José State18Fresno State33
200910/17Fresno State41San José State21
200811/21San José State10Fresno State24
200710/20Fresno State30San José State0
200612/02San José State24Fresno State14
200511/05Fresno State45San José State7
200411/27San José State28Fresno State62
200311/15Fresno State41San José State7
200111/23Fresno State40San José State21
200011/24San José State6Fresno State37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State1663 Overs
San José State757 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 98 - 34 - 14 - 2
Road Teams9 - 143 - 82 - 41 - 4

(#94) SJSU at (#87) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #94 #87
SP+SP+ #92 #85
Perf GradeGrade #91 #87
OffenseOff #86 #74
DefenseDef #84 #88
Spec TeamsST #103 #130
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #82
San José State Notes
(11/29) Eget torches Stanford, Def forced 3 TOs, big W
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
(9/17) 3 awful opps, zero run game. Pass game good #'s
San José State Injury Report
Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best
Fresno State Injury Report
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #88
SuccessSuc #56 #51
ExplosiveExp #54 #13
PPAPPA #71 #17
PowerPwr #102 #33
SP+SP+ #73 #77
Pts POPPO #96 #47
HavocHav #110 #113
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #90 #87
Run SuccessRSuc #98 #74
Run ExplRExp #127 #7
PPAExp #131 #48
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLY #133 #56
Stuff RateStuff #134 #65
TackleTak -  #79
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #27 #57
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #33
Pass ExplPExl #74 #34
PPAExp #39 #14
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #130 #105
F7 HavocF7 #57 #121
DB HavocDB #131 #65
Fresno State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatFRES OffSJSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #84
SuccessSuc #110 #57
ExplosiveExp #38 #48
PPAPPA #110 #27
PowerPwr #95 #71
SP+SP+ #85 #90
Pts POPPO #91 #44
HavocHav #34 #47
Fresno State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
FRES OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #117 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #121 #66
Run ExplRExp #76 #16
PPAExp #111 #21
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #23
Stuff RateStuff #85 #30
TackleTak -  #117
Fresno State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatFRES OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #47
Pass ExplPExl #65 #105
PPAExp #89 #48
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #121
F7 HavocF7 #34 #41
DB HavocDB #64 #56
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Fresno State -6.5 (55.0)
Fresno State won vs San José State this year (33-10)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat San José State last year (33-10)
San José State beat Fresno State in 2023 (42-18)
Fresno State beat San José State in 2022 (17-10)

  
SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash10413821613.345
Justin Lockhart53983518.557
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Isiah Revis716125
Taniela Latu717132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Soane Toia5510540
John Ward467341
Jordan Cobbs698311
Jordan Pollard11514223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Dansby371006
D.J. Harvey587206
Isiah Revis716125

FRES's OC Pat McCann (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Joshua Wood182864%195117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Malik Sherrod6019643.348
Joshua Wood3711863.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mac Dalena60998816.675
Jalen Moss49582411.949
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)51523310.338
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tuasivi Nomura1027003
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark563224
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark563224
Phoenix Jackson455254
Korey Foreman (Tr)235241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Cameron Lockridge372006
Phoenix Jackson455254