San José State at Fresno State Game Matchup
San José State logo San José State Spartans at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -6.5 (55.0) (-200)  Open: -6.0 | 54.5
Fresno State 33 - San José State: 10  (Mountain West)

 
Spartans (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -4.5   (SP+ FRES -2)

Projected Score: SJSU: 25 - FRES: 29 (54)
FRES Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
SJSU Travel: 121 miles
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
San José State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 San José State vs Sacramento State-2.562.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/7 San José State at Air Force+1.543.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 9/14 San José State vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 31 - 10UY
Fri 9/20 San José State at Washington State+13.055.5L 52 - 54OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 San José State vs Nevada-7.051.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 San José State at Colorado State+2.555.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 10/19 San José State vs Wyoming-13.053.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/26 San José State at Fresno State+6.555.0L 10 - 33UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 San José State at Oregon State+3.058.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 San José State vs Boise State+14.562.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/22 San José State vs UNLV+7.559.5L 16 - 27UN
Fri 11/29 San José State vs Stanford-2.554.5W 34 - 31OY
Tue 12/24 San José State vs South Florida+1.566.5L 39 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25UN
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20UY
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#22 (.29)45% (29)28.448% (23)3.21 (48)18443% (51)2193.73 (81)#104 (.24)43% (79)27.545% (91)41% (60)3.86 (74)49.10.81.6
FRES#51 (.22)44% (48)26.140% (103)2.97 (95)10647% (24)2814.21 (36)#66 (.18)41% (60)24.842% (62)41% (64)3.31 (20)39.81.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense1328.425.445.5%3.730.8214041842195.650%50%48%43%15%.29
FRES Defense1324.81841.5%3.311.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%41%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1327.527.642.8%3.861.6 - - - - - 56%43%45%41%15%.24
FRES Offense1326.13243.8%4.211.1213881062813.837%62%40%47%15%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1330:3520.845%37%5.749.10.81.64.81.6334.5
Fresno State1329:2120.948%64%4.439.81.11.85.52.2131.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1350% (71)48% (23)33184.15.631 (17).24 (22)3.21 (48)72% (85)10% (61)1.11 (21)
FRES Defense1353% (105)42% (62) - - - - .13 (61)3.16 (84)68% (42)9% (95)0.91 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1356% (120)45% (91) - - - - .25 (121)3.47 (126)75% (81)9% (104)1.03 (88)
FRES Offense1337% (129)40% (103)28.4106.53.816 (89).14 (77)2.97 (95)74% (70)8% (28)1.01 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1350% (61)43% (51)17.728.9219.57.612.421 (65)4 (2).34 (44)1.7 (28)33% (91)38% (9).48 (22)6% (59)2 (79)
FRES Defense1346% (28)41% (64) - - - - - - 17 (3).3 (90)1.7 (93)32% (60)33% (106).34 (84)7% (44)2 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1343% (10)41% (60) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (80)1.6 (80)31% (91)33% (108).44 (119)6% (80)2 (62)
FRES Offense1362% (5)47% (24)25.839.6281.37.110.929 (18)12 (85).3 (65)1.5 (118)31% (49)38% (10).43 (37)7% (93)1.8 (125)

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -8.63 #94
San José State's Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
San José State's Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
2024 Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
San José State's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
San José State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -8.63   Fresno State: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -5.5   Fresno State: -3.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -2.6 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

San José State's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 29
San José State 25


Projected Total Points: 54
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Fresno State33San José State10Fresno StateFresno State -6.5Fresno State55.0Under
202311/11San José State42Fresno State18San José StateSan José State -2.5San José State51.5Over
202210/15Fresno State17San José State10Fresno StateSan José State -7Fresno State47.0Under
202111/25San José State9Fresno State40Fresno StateFresno State -7Fresno State52.5Under
201911/30San José State17Fresno State16San José StateFresno State -1San José State60.5Under
201811/24Fresno State31San José State13Fresno StateFresno State -31.5San José State51.0Under
201710/07San José State10Fresno State27Fresno StateFresno State -17NA59.5Under
201611/26Fresno State14San José State16San José StateSan José State -4Fresno State51.5Under
201509/26San José State49Fresno State23San José StateSan José State -4San José State52.0Over
201411/08Fresno State38San José State24Fresno StateFresno State -4Fresno State0
201311/29San José State62Fresno State52San José StateFresno State -10San José State0
201111/26Fresno State24San José State27San José State
201010/23San José State18Fresno State33Fresno State
200910/17Fresno State41San José State21Fresno State
200811/21San José State10Fresno State24Fresno State
200710/20Fresno State30San José State0Fresno State
200612/02San José State24Fresno State14San José State
200511/05Fresno State45San José State7Fresno State
200411/27San José State28Fresno State62Fresno State
200311/15Fresno State41San José State7Fresno State
200111/23Fresno State40San José State21Fresno State
200011/24San José State6Fresno State37Fresno State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State1552 Overs
San José State757 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 88 - 24 - 14 - 1
Road Teams8 - 142 - 81 - 41 - 4

(#94) San José State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.63 #94
Offense Rating: 16.16 #102
Defense Rating: 9.66 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 370.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


San José State Notes
(11/25) Eget 4/22, Rgame 33 yds vs UNLV. R D mauled
(11/18) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Boise. Eget fun, Rgame awful
(10/27) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Fresno. Def awful on 3rd down
(10/20) Sloppy, 4 TOs vs Wy. Eget 318 yds, Rgame good
(10/17) Top 20 in tempo, Pass great. Run Off/Def awful
(10/17) QB Eget replaced Brown vs Col St. Played well
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/13) Penalties and Bad Def are a theme in L (Col St)
(9/20) QB Brown is v good. Leads MWC in YDS/TDS
(9/19) WR Nash leads CFB in yds through 1st 3 weeks
San José State     Ratings Matchup     Fresno State
Power #94
#87
Off #102
#95
Def #71
#33
Talent #123
#88
SP+ #92
#85
SP+ Off #73
#85
SP+ Def #90
#77

Rematch from Week 9
Fresno State -6.5 (55.0)
Fresno State won vs San José State this year (33-10)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat San José State last year (33-10)
San José State beat Fresno State in 2023 (42-18)
Fresno State beat San José State in 2022 (17-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 76° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: SJSU | FRES
Depth Chart: SJSU | FRES
Rosters: SJSU | FRES
(#87) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.6 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best


  
San José State's OC Craig Stutzmann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget18832857%250413107.6
Emmett Brown (Tr)12521758%16211657.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Floyd Chalk IV (Tr)154721104.766
Jabari Bates5925414.331
Lamar Radcliffe3314114.318
Walker Eget299903.432
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treyshun Hurry (Tr)28482217.231
Matthew Coleman34401211.833
Jackson Canaan28314211.258
Jacob Stewart3428738.437

View San José State's Full Roster
San José State's DC Derrick Odum
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Pollard11514223
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115
Taniela Latu717132
Isiah Revis716125
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Ward467341
Jordan Pollard11514223
D.J. Harvey587206
Justin Stearns284220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. Harvey587206
Michael Dansby371006
Robert Rahimi (Tr)826115

Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Joshua Wood182864%195117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Malik Sherrod6019643.348
Joshua Wood3711863.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Moss49582411.949
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)51523310.338
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
Richie Anderson1714708.618

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jayden Davis461002
Phoenix Jackson455254
Kosi Agina382001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson455254
Korey Foreman (Tr)235241
Jacob Holmes173230
Sione Noa153230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Phoenix Jackson455254
Julian Neal324104