Fresno State at Oregon - 2021 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Oregon Ducks(#5)Oregon logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -18 (62.5)
Oregon 31 - Fresno State: 24

 
Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (29 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2  (SP+ FRES -0.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 31 - ORE: 31 (62)
ORE Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 530 miles
Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 27 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Fresno State vs UConn-28.063.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/4 Fresno State at Oregon+18.062.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/11 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-32.559.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Fresno State at UCLA+11.064.0W 40 - 37OY
Fri 9/24 Fresno State vs UNLV-30.059.0W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.564.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Fresno State at Wyoming-3.053.5W 17 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-3.564.5W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/30 Fresno State at San Diego State-2.043.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Fresno State vs Boise State-4.061.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 11/13 Fresno State vs New Mexico-24.051.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25 Fresno State at San José State-7.052.5W 40 - 9UY
Sat 12/18 Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Oregon's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oregon vs Fresno State-18.062.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/11 Oregon at Ohio State+14.565.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 9/18 Oregon vs Stony Brook-42.054.5W 48 - 7ON
Sat 9/25 Oregon vs Arizona-29.558.5W 41 - 19ON
Sat 10/2 Oregon at Stanford-8.557.5L 24 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 Oregon vs California-13.553.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/23 Oregon at UCLA+1.062.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/30 Oregon vs Colorado-24.549.0W 52 - 29ON
Sat 11/6 Oregon at Washington-7.048.0W 26 - 16UY
Sat 11/13 Oregon vs Washington State-13.058.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 11/20 Oregon at Utah+3.058.5L 7 - 38UN
Sat 11/27 Oregon vs Oregon State-7.561.5W 38 - 29OY
Fri 12/3 Oregon vs Utah+3.057.5L 10 - 38UN
Wed 12/29 Oregon vs Oklahoma+7.064.0L 32 - 47ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2648%33.446%2.8613749%3273.86.1138%20.541%36%3.5471.21.72.2
ORE.2749%31.454%3.5120243%2214.55.245%2746%44%4.2364.611.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)51% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)42% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1333.429.247.6%3.861.7244641373274.140%60%46%49%14%.26
ORE Defense142721.345%4.231.7 - - - - - 46%53%46%44%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1320.520.738.5%3.542.2 - - - - - 49%51%41%36%20%.11
ORE Offense1431.438.948.8%4.551234242022215.354%45%54%43%13%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1331:2624.343%53%7.671.21.72.26.92.3030.1
Oregon1429:4622.751%47%7.464.611.75.11.6129.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1340%46%33.8137.24.117.062.8664%9%0.85
ORE Defense1446%46% - - - - .163.0272%9%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1349%41% - - - - .062.8168%13%0.96
ORE Offense1454%54%38.2202.45.336.293.5184%8%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1360%49%26.339.5326.78.312.43510.391.528%35%.345%1.9
ORE Defense1453%44% - - - - - - 17.251.530%34%.356%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1351%36% - - - - - - 12.171.834%28%.297%2.2
ORE Offense1445%43%18.529.3221.37.612208.281.628%34%.416%2

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State:    Oregon: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 10.8   Oregon: 10.2




Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2  #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0  #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 31
Oregon 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 34
Oregon 33

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 28
Oregon 28

Total Points: 56
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.9
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/04Oregon31Fresno State24Oregon -18Fresno State62.5Under
201209/08Oregon42Fresno State25
200709/15Oregon52Fresno State21
200609/09Fresno State24Oregon31
200509/17Oregon37Fresno State34
200209/07Oregon28Fresno State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon600 Overs
Fresno State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 51 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) FRES at (#) ORE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESORE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #38
Perf GradeGrade #38 #92
OffenseOff #67 #76
DefenseDef #17 #95
Spec TeamsST #104 #135
TalentTal #81 #8
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCat
FRES OffORE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffORE Def
Run GameRun #51 #75
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #132
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #32 #114
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #26
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCatORE OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #76 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #39 #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #18
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCatORE OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #92 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°
Rematch from Week 1
Oregon -18.0 (62.5)
Oregon won vs Fresno State this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD