Fresno State at San José State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo   Fresno State Bulldogs at San José State Spartans  San José State logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - San Jose, CA

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Our Line: Fresno State -8.5  (SP+ FRES -16)
Projected Score: FRES: 30 - SJSU: 21 (51)
FRES Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 121 miles
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (10 - 15)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Fresno State at USC+28
Sat 9/12 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-5.5
Sat 9/19 Fresno State at San José State-8.5
Sat 9/26 Fresno State vs Rice-13
Fri 10/2 Fresno State at Washington State+6
Sat 10/10 Fresno State vs Boise State+4.5
Sat 10/17 Fresno State at San Diego State+7
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Fresno State vs Oregon State-13.5
Sat 11/7 Fresno State at Utah State-0.5
Sat 11/14 Fresno State at Texas State+7
Sat 11/21 Fresno State vs Colorado State-11.5
Sat 11/28 Fresno State vs TBD-19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
San José State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 San José State vs Fresno State+8.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#106 (.11)39% (111)25.838% (120)2.79 (102)17141% (78)1833.29 (111)#41 (.11)39% (32)18.843% (78)35% (13)3.26 (33)60.61.52
SJSU#67 (.18)44% (54)21.447% (28)3.06 (46)12041% (72)2832.77 (130)#98 (.2)42% (77)32.542% (67)43% (81)4.04 (107)54.82.31.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1325.826.338.6%3.291.5193541711834.653%45%38%41%15%.11
SJSU Defense1232.529.542.1%4.041.2 - - - - - 54%44%42%43%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1318.824.838.9%3.262 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%17%.11
SJSU Offense1221.425.843.5%2.772.3204031202834.638%60%47%41%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.8333.6
San José State1227:4720.143%26%5.854.82.31.24.31.5127.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)
SJSU Defense1254% (117)42% (67) - - - - .11 (70)3.02 (97)80% (121)8% (123)0.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
SJSU Offense1238% (132)47% (28)26.1120.14.614 (107).12 (65)3.06 (46)71% (78)6% (2)0.94 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)
SJSU Defense1244% (21)43% (81) - - - - - - 7 (38).34 (109)1.8 (128)31% (85)28% (55).32 (84)5% (118)2.1 (114)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
SJSU Offense1260% (5)41% (72)22.840.6283.2712.517 (30)17 (34).22 (81)1.5 (106)32% (86)32% (48).29 (72)9% (135)1.8 (125)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -10.53  #99
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 1.37  #126
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 16.90  #70
2026 Talent Rating: 658.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
Fresno State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Fresno State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #66
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -10.53   San José State: -12.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.8   San José State: -14.3




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -12.665  #128
San José State's Offense Rating: 4.64  #109
San José State's Defense Rating: 25.67  #130
2026 Talent Rating: 494.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
San José State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
San José State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3  #118
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #108
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 487.2
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 30
San José State 21

Projected Total Points: 51
San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29San José State14Fresno State41Fresno State -3.5Fresno State46.0Over
202410/26Fresno State33San José State10Fresno State -6.5Fresno State55.0Under
202311/11San José State42Fresno State18San José State -2.5San José State51.5Over
202210/15Fresno State17San José State10San José State -7Fresno State47.0Under
202111/25San José State9Fresno State40Fresno State -7Fresno State52.5Under
201911/30San José State17Fresno State16Fresno State -1San José State60.5Under
201811/24Fresno State31San José State13Fresno State -31.5San José State51.0Under
201710/07San José State10Fresno State27Fresno State -17NA59.5Under
201611/26Fresno State14San José State16San José State -4Fresno State51.5Under
201509/26San José State49Fresno State23San José State -4San José State52.0Over
201411/08Fresno State38San José State24Fresno State -4Fresno State0
201311/29San José State62Fresno State52Fresno State -10San José State0
201111/26Fresno State24San José State27
201010/23San José State18Fresno State33
200910/17Fresno State41San José State21
200811/21San José State10Fresno State24
200710/20Fresno State30San José State0
200612/02San José State24Fresno State14
200511/05Fresno State45San José State7
200411/27San José State28Fresno State62
200311/15Fresno State41San José State7
200111/23Fresno State40San José State21
200011/24San José State6Fresno State37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State753 Overs
Fresno State1667 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 98 - 34 - 14 - 2
Road Teams9 - 143 - 82 - 41 - 4

(#99) FRES at (#128) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESSJSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #99 #128
SP+SP+ #66 #118
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #113
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #99
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffSJSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #111 #77
ExplosiveExp #54 #98
PPAPPA #106 #98
PowerPwr #126 #130
SP+SP+ #100 #115
Pts POPPO #111 #107
HavocHav #64 #129
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #67
Run ExplRExp #50 #37
PPAExp #114 #70
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #102 #97
Stuff RateStuff #90 #128
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #81
Pass ExplPExl #77 #128
PPAExp #64 #109
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #123
DB HavocDB #45 #118
San José State on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #54 #32
ExplosiveExp #58 #25
PPAPPA #67 #41
PowerPwr #109 #70
SP+SP+ #108 #37
Pts POPPO #130 #33
HavocHav #67 #30
San José State Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat
SJSU OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #78
Run ExplRExp #78 #8
PPAExp #65 #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #46 #92
Stuff RateStuff #85 #50
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 38%
CategoryCatSJSU OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #13
Pass ExplPExl #106 #94
PPAExp #81 #25
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #2 #70
DB HavocDB #135 #13
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat San José State last year (41-14)
Fresno State beat San José State in 2024 (33-10)
San José State beat Fresno State in 2023 (42-18)

  
FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Khristian Martin (Tr)111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke11069966.469
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Josiah Freeman31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Ezekiel Avit2825509.141
Rayshon Luke3622826.323
Jahlil McClain13169113.043

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Camryn Bracha523004
Finn Claypool4111741
Tytus Khajavi373110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool4111741
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Simeon Harris537105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Camryn Bracha523004

SJSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Weaver (Tr)6310560%628636.0
Tama Amisone265052%205034.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lamar Radcliffe6634015.230
Jabari Bates2719227.187
Tama Amisone3416014.723
Floyd Chalk IV3514124.016
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Coleman2013116.613
Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa98409.329
Cooper Hoch54308.613
Lamar Radcliffe42416.015

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Bojay Filimoeatu (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gafa Faga476350
Ethan Powell373020
Larry Turner-Gooden280001
Justin Stearns253110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gafa Faga476350
Etu Finau52111
Justin Stearns253110
Solomone Langi192110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Runye Norton00001
Larry Turner-Gooden280001
Etu Finau52111