Fresno State Bulldogs at Colorado State Rams
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Canvas Stadium - Fort Collins, CO (Mountain West)
Bulldogs (3 - 1) (3 - 1 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -1.5 (SP+ FRES -12)
Projected Score: FRES: 23 - CSU: 25 (48)
CSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Colorado State -1.5 (SP+ FRES -12)
Projected Score: FRES: 23 - CSU: 25 (48)
CSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rams (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (21 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
Coach Jay Norvell (16 - 20)
Avg Score : 21 - 28 (21 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Fresno State at Colorado State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Colorado State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Colorado State at Washington | +20.5 | 52.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -35.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 17 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Colorado State vs UTSA | +4.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Colorado State vs Washington State | -3 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Colorado State at San Diego State | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Colorado State vs Fresno State | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Colorado State vs Hawai'i | -4 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Colorado State at Wyoming | +4 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Colorado State vs UNLV | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Colorado State at New Mexico | -5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Colorado State at Boise State | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Colorado State vs Air Force | -8 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #51 (.25) | 44% (64) | 35.3 | 44% (70) | 2.7 (97) | 203 | 47% (47) | 190 | 3.58 (90) | #126 (.36) | 50% (125) | 19.8 | 46% (100) | 53% (129) | 4.75 (115) | 45 | 2 | 0.8 |
| CSU | #87 (.15) | 47% (47) | 21 | 57% (15) | 3.14 (51) | 158 | 36% (110) | 161 | 4.2 (57) | #70 (.14) | 43% (94) | 27.5 | 43% (88) | 44% (97) | 3.93 (86) | 57 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ||
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 35.3 | 21.5 | 43.9% | 3.58 | 2 | 22 | 393 | 203 | 190 | 5.8 | 55% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 17% | .25 |
| CSU Defense | 2 | 27.5 | 17 | 43.1% | 3.93 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 40% | 43% | 44% | 16% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 19.8 | 29 | 49.7% | 4.75 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 13% | .36 |
| CSU Offense | 2 | 21 | 21 | 46.6% | 4.2 | 3 | 22 | 318 | 158 | 161 | 4.3 | 53% | 45% | 57% | 36% | 18% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 4 | 30:33 | 22 | 51% | 67% | 4.5 | 45 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 29.8 |
| Colorado State | 2 | 26:56 | 22 | 35% | 50% | 7.5 | 57 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 29.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 55% (45) | 44% (70) | 35.3 | 203 | 5.8 | 12 (3) | .13 (70) | 2.7 (97) | 75% (52) | 11% (107) | 1.25 (22) |
| CSU Defense | 2 | 60% (124) | 43% (88) | - | - | - | - | .05 (65) | 2.45 (40) | 73% (77) | 10% (78) | 0.98 (77) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 46% (43) | 46% (100) | - | - | - | - | .13 (95) | 3.28 (120) | 100% (127) | 7% (118) | 0.74 (22) |
| CSU Offense | 2 | 53% (51) | 57% (15) | 36.5 | 157.5 | 4.3 | 5 (62) | .12 (78) | 3.14 (51) | 75% (52) | 12% (111) | 0.73 (122) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 42% (109) | 47% (47) | 19 | 26 | 189.5 | 7.3 | 10 | 4 (72) | 5 (129) | .55 (19) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (63) | 45% (15) | .77 (12) | 6% (92) | 2.3 (22) |
| CSU Defense | 2 | 40% (13) | 44% (97) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .26 (87) | 1.6 (92) | 29% (106) | 28% (58) | .17 (46) | 7% (53) | 2.4 (123) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 53% (89) | 53% (129) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .55 (126) | 1.5 (71) | 32% (78) | 38% (120) | .45 (108) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (50) |
| CSU Offense | 2 | 45% (89) | 36% (110) | 15.5 | 29.5 | 160.5 | 5.4 | 10.4 | 1 (123) | 2 (60) | .27 (73) | 1.7 (31) | 33% (94) | 28% (94) | .36 (60) | 7% (111) | 2.6 (7) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -11.82 Colorado State: -4.74
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Colorado State: -12.3
Fresno State: -11.82 Colorado State: -4.74
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Colorado State: -12.3
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Colorado State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Colorado State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 25
Fresno State 23
Total Points: 48
Colorado State 25
Fresno State 23
Total Points: 48
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17
Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17
Colorado State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Fresno State | 28 | Colorado State | 22 | Fresno State | Fresno State -3.5 | Fresno State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/29 | Fresno State | 38 | Colorado State | 17 | Fresno State | Colorado State -2.5 | Fresno State | 58.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Fresno State | 31 | Colorado State | 41 | Colorado State | Fresno State -13.5 | Colorado State | 57.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/05 | Colorado State | 37 | Fresno State | 0 | Colorado State | Colorado State -13 | Colorado State | 58.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Fresno State | 31 | Colorado State | 34 | Colorado State | Colorado State -8.5 | Fresno State | 60.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Colorado State | 7 | Fresno State | 28 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2008 | 12/20 | Fresno State | 35 | Colorado State | 40 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | Fresno State | 23 | Colorado State | 35 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | Colorado State | 34 | Fresno State | 10 | Colorado State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/04 | Fresno State | 32 | Colorado State | 30 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Colorado State | 22 | Fresno State | 25 | Fresno State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 6 | 2 | 3 Overs |
| Fresno State | 5 | 3 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 6 | 4 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 6 - 5 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 2 |
(#109) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 2 straight
Fresno State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 2 straight
Fresno State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CSU | FRES |
| OverallOver | #101 | #64 |
| OffenseOff | #63 | #30 |
| DefenseDef | #107 | #105 |
| Special TeamsST | #110 | #26 |
| PassingPass | #106 | #58 |
| RushingRush | #30 | #11 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #10 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #42 | #24 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #97 | #54 |
| TacklingTkl | #16 | #71 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #107 | #99 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #101 | #98 |
| Coverage DefCov | #97 | #109 |
(#84) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Colorado State has lost 3 straight
Colorado State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Colorado State Notes
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
(8/1) RB Marshall OK LY, passed by L Avant in spring
(8/1) WR returns #2, 3 portal adds, TE big ?
(8/1) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 10 portal adds
(8/1) New DC Summers (WKU), Takeaway king
(8/1) Direction of Offense a big ? under OC Mumme
(8/1) Too many ?s for me, lack identity w/o big WR
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State is Undefeated at Home
Colorado State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Colorado State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Colorado State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Colorado State Can Not Run the Ball (#120)
Colorado State offense is not Explosive (#116)
Colorado State pass game is really bad (#110)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Power Rating: -4.74 #84
Offense Rating: 9.58 #83
Defense Rating: 11.77 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Great Run Success 57%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Colorado State has lost 3 straight
Colorado State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Colorado State Notes
(9/8) 10 flags and 5 TOs nearly cost vs FCS N. Col
(8/31) #'s vs Wash were bad, but hung in. No change
(8/1) QB F-Nicolosi exp'd, JAG. Depth is a mystery
(8/1) RB Marshall OK LY, passed by L Avant in spring
(8/1) WR returns #2, 3 portal adds, TE big ?
(8/1) Def bad LY, replacing a ton. 10 portal adds
(8/1) New DC Summers (WKU), Takeaway king
(8/1) Direction of Offense a big ? under OC Mumme
(8/1) Too many ?s for me, lack identity w/o big WR
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, decent LY. No portal adds
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State is Undefeated at Home
Colorado State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)
Colorado State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#20)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Colorado State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Colorado State Can Not Run the Ball (#120)
Colorado State offense is not Explosive (#116)
Colorado State pass game is really bad (#110)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 71 | 98 | 72% | 716 | 4 | 5 | 7.3 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 5 | 6 | 83% | 42 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 50 | 325 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 224 | 5 | 6.2 | 44 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 17 | 101 | 2 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 10 | 54 | 1 | 5.4 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 11 | 149 | 0 | 13.5 | 30 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 13 | 110 | 0 | 8.5 | 17 |
| Bryson Donelson | 8 | 87 | 0 | 10.9 | 39 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 12 | 80 | 1 | 6.7 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Camryn Bracha | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Davis | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi | 30 | 57 | 53% | 312 | 1 | 2 | 5.5 |
| Tay Lanier | 1 | 1 | 100% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Dupree | 28 | 150 | 1 | 5.4 | 20 |
| Lloyd Avant (Tr) | 15 | 80 | 2 | 5.3 | 20 |
| Justin Marshall | 8 | 37 | 0 | 4.6 | 7 |
| Javion Kinnard | 2 | 22 | 0 | 11.0 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxxon Warren | 7 | 95 | 1 | 13.6 | 27 |
| Armani Winfield | 4 | 49 | 0 | 12.3 | 17 |
| Tommy Maher | 5 | 38 | 0 | 7.6 | 15 |
| Lavon Brown | 3 | 36 | 0 | 12.0 | 16 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Long | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jake Jarmolowich (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lemondre Joe (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Robert Edmonson | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemondre Joe (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Robert Edmonson | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabe Jones (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Owen Long | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lemondre Joe (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Jahari Rogers (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Drew Rodriguez | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |