Oregon State at Fresno State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo   Oregon State Beavers at Fresno State Bulldogs  Fresno State logo
Friday, October 30th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bulldog Stadium - Fresno, CA  ([{"type":"event","headline":"Will be played Oct. 30 or Oct. 31"}])

 
Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 8.1 (#76)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
ORST coming off BYE
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Fresno State -13.5  (SP+ FRES -18)

Projected Score: ORST: 16 - FRES: 29 (45)
FRES Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ORST Travel: 566 miles
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oregon State at Houston+23.5
Sat 9/12 Oregon State vs Texas Tech+39.5
Sat 9/19 Oregon State vs Montana-8.5
Sat 9/26 Oregon State at UTEP+4
Sat 10/3 Oregon State at Colorado State+4.5
Sat 10/10 Oregon State vs San Diego State+13
Sat 10/17 Oregon State vs Washington State+12
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Oregon State at Fresno State+13.5
Sat 11/7 Oregon State vs Texas State+12.5
Sat 11/14 Oregon State at Boise State+20.5
Sat 11/21 Oregon State vs Utah State+5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Fresno State at USC+28
Sat 9/12 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-5.5
Sat 9/19 Fresno State at San José State-8.5
Sat 9/26 Fresno State vs Rice-13
Fri 10/2 Fresno State at Washington State+6
Sat 10/10 Fresno State vs Boise State+4.5
Sat 10/17 Fresno State at San Diego State+7
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Fresno State vs Oregon State-13.5
Sat 11/7 Fresno State at Utah State-0.5
Sat 11/14 Fresno State at Texas State+7
Sat 11/21 Fresno State vs Colorado State-11.5
Sat 11/28 Fresno State vs TBD-19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#124 (.05)42% (68)17.644% (67)2.82 (89)12742% (68)2252.89 (128)#77 (.18)38% (25)29.441% (51)36% (18)3.41 (46)49.91.70.8
FRES#106 (.11)39% (111)25.838% (120)2.79 (102)17141% (78)1833.29 (111)#41 (.11)39% (32)18.843% (78)35% (13)3.26 (33)60.61.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1217.611.842.3%2.891.7203531272253.846%52%44%42%16%.05
FRES Defense1318.815.338.9%3.262 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1229.435.238.3%3.410.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%17%.18
FRES Offense1325.826.538.6%3.291.5193541711834.653%45%38%41%15%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1231:5220.436%40%5.949.91.70.85.31.3028.3
Fresno State1332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.8333.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1246% (98)44% (67)33.9127.33.815 (60).01 (120)2.82 (89)77% (30)9% (61)0.73 (135)
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1249% (59)41% (51) - - - - .07 (52)2.6 (17)68% (43)10% (57)0.94 (57)
FRES Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1252% (36)42% (68)21.735.9225.46.310.414 (61)13 (127).11 (123)1.3 (133)31% (68)28% (96).05 (131)7% (110)1.7 (134)
FRES Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1249% (81)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (55).31 (98)2 (136)33% (44)29% (69).44 (126)7% (15)2.5 (136)
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.33  #118
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 0.53  #130
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 19.86  #89
2026 Talent Rating: 566.00  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #66
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.9 - 8.1
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.33   Fresno State: -1.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -15.9   Fresno State: 1.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -1.865  #99
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 1.37  #126
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 16.90  #70
2026 Talent Rating: 658.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Fresno State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Fresno State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #66
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 29
Oregon State 16


Projected Total Points: 45
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Oregon State27Fresno State36Oregon State -1.0Fresno State45.5Over
202209/10Fresno State32Oregon State35Fresno State -1Oregon State59.0Over
200309/05Fresno State16Oregon State14
200209/21Oregon State59Fresno State19
200109/02Fresno State44Oregon State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State312 Overs
Oregon State210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 32 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#118) ORST at (#99) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #118 #99
SP+SP+ #126 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #96 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #66 #99
Oregon State Notes
(2/2) Reset w/ Shephard in new P12 after Brey fired
(2/2) Special Teams were a disaster in '25, must fix
Oregon State Injury Report
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #68 #32
ExplosiveExp #135 #25
PPAPPA #124 #41
PowerPwr #130 #70
SP+SP+ #125 #37
Pts POPPO #128 #33
HavocHav #89 #30
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #67 #78
Run ExplRExp #135 #8
PPAExp #120 #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #89 #92
Stuff RateStuff #24 #50
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #13
Pass ExplPExl #133 #94
PPAExp #123 #25
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #70
DB HavocDB #110 #13
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFRES OffORST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #111 #25
ExplosiveExp #54 #133
PPAPPA #106 #77
PowerPwr #126 #89
SP+SP+ #100 #96
Pts POPPO #111 #46
HavocHav #64 #36
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffORST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #51
Run ExplRExp #50 #57
PPAExp #114 #52
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #102 #17
Stuff RateStuff #90 #22
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFRES OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #18
Pass ExplPExl #77 #136
PPAExp #64 #98
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #57
DB HavocDB #45 #15
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Oregon State last year (36-27)

  
ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy16027658%1802986.5
Brady Jones (Tr)194048%136133.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
AJ Newberry (Tr)185733.216
Kourdey Glass2703.57
Jake Reichle3612.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
D.C. Temple1714328.419
Eddie Freauff12139111.630
Karson Boschma489122.328
Malachi Durant32719.011

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Sullivan727151
Takari Hickle385250
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Tyree Blake292001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Takari Hickle385250
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaylen Hill21101
Malachi Durant10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Trey Glasper232005
Mason White281002

FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Khristian Martin (Tr)111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke11069966.469
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Josiah Freeman31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Ezekiel Avit2825509.141
Rayshon Luke3622826.323
Jahlil McClain13169113.043

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Camryn Bracha523004
Finn Claypool4111741
Tytus Khajavi373110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool4111741
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Simeon Harris537105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Camryn Bracha523004