Fresno State at Houston - 2017 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Houston Cougars(#21)

Sunday, December 24th 2017 (8:30 PM EST)
Houston -2.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Fresno State 33 - Houston: 27 (HAWAI'I BOWL)

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 18 (20 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -5 (SP+ HOU -10)
Projected Score: FRES: 19 - HOU: 29 (48)
HOU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 2518 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cougars (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
FRES Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State vs Incarnate Word	-35.0
Sat 9/9	Fresno State at Alabama	+42.5	54.0	L 10 - 41	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Washington	+34.0	56.5	L 16 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-7.5	59.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at San José State	-17.0	59.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/14	Fresno State vs New Mexico	+2.5	54.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Fresno State at San Diego State	+6.5	49.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-21.5	59.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs BYU	-10.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.0	53.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State at Wyoming	-2.5	39.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Fresno State vs Boise State	+6.5	49.0	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.5	51.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sun 12/24	Fresno State vs Houston	+2.5	52.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Houston's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9	Houston at Arizona	-1.5	66.0	W 19 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Houston vs Rice	-23.0	53.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Texas Tech	-7.0	68.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Houston at Temple	-11.0	44.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Houston vs SMU	-10.0	60.5	W 35 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Houston at Tulsa	-13.5	63.5	L 17 - 45	U	N
Thu 10/19	Houston vs Memphis	-1.0	61.0	L 38 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Houston at South Florida	+10.0	55.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Houston vs East Carolina	-23.5	62.5	W 52 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Houston at Tulane	-9.5	48.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/24	Houston vs Navy	-6.5	55.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sun 12/24	Houston vs Fresno State	-2.5	52.0	L 27 - 33	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.16	45%	27.1	44%	2.78	155	43%	238	3.56	.05	42%	17.9	42%	40%	2.84	43.6	0.9	1.4
HOU	.18	44%	28.3	41%	2.85	167	45%	261	3.65	.11	43%	23.8	42%	43%	2.76	53.8	1.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)		35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)		40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	27.1	19.7	45.2%	3.56	0.9	19	393	155	238	4.2	51%	46%	44%	43%	12%	.16
HOU Defense	12	23.8	22.5	43.3%	2.76	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	42%	43%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	17.9	21	41.9%	2.84	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	40%	17%	.05
HOU Offense	12	28.3	35.2	43.9%	3.65	1.9	21	428	167	261	4.5	49%	49%	41%	45%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	19.2	36%	67%	5.3	43.6	0.9	1.4	6.4	2.4	2	32.7
Houston	12	28:02	21	45%	44%	6	53.8	1.9	1.8	6.8	1.9	1	31.1

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	51%	44%	36.8	155	4.2	22	.04	2.78	72%	7%	0.75
HOU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.7	66%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.81	63%	11%	0.75
HOU Offense	12	49%	41%	37.2	166.8	4.5	25	.1	2.85	71%	11%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	46%	43%	19.1	31.2	237.9	7.6	12.4	19	7	.35	1.5	29%	30%	.09	5%	1.5
HOU Defense	12	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.21	1.4	33%	33%	.13	6%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.14	1.4	32%	28%	.08	6%	1.5
HOU Offense	12	49%	45%	23.4	34.3	261.3	7.6	11.2	16	12	.28	1.5	31%	34%	.39	6%	1.9

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #81
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #105
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #53

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Houston: 3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -2.7 Houston: 7.7

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 3.85 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2017 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #43
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #41
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #56

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Fresno State's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 29
Fresno State 19

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Houston 32
Fresno State 14

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Houston 26
Fresno State 24

Total Points: 50

Houston Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Houston's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	12/24	Houston	27	Fresno State	33	Houston -2.5	Fresno State	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	0	0	1 Overs
Fresno State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Fresno State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	I Bowl	Fresno State vs Houston	+2.5	52.0	W 33 - 27
2014	I Bowl	Fresno State vs Rice	-2.0		L 6 - 30
2013	Vegas Bowl	Fresno State vs USC	+4.5	65.0	L 20 - 45
2012	Hawaii Bowl	Fresno State vs SMU			L 10 - 43

Houston Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2017	I Bowl	Houston vs Fresno State	-2.5	52.0	L 27 - 33
2016	Vegas Bowl	Houston vs San Diego State	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 34
2015	N/A	Houston vs Florida State	+6.5		W 38 - 24
2014	Forces Bowl	Houston vs Pittsburgh	+5.5	54.0	W 35 - 34
2013	Compass Bowl	Houston vs Vanderbilt	+1.5	53.0	L 24 - 41
2011	Ticketcity Bowl	Houston vs Penn State			W 30 - 14

(#) FRES at (#) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#43
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#92	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Houston Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#56
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#53
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Houston -2.5 (52.0)
Fresno State won at Houston this year (33-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD