Colorado State at Fresno State Game Matchup
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (10:30 PM EST)
Fresno State -3.5 (43.5) (-155)  Open: -1.0
Fresno State 28 - Colorado State: 22  (Mountain West)

 
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: Fresno State -2.5   (SP+ FRES -2)

Projected Score: CSU: 23 - FRES: 25 (51)
FRES Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Colorado State at Texas+35.559.0L 0 - 52UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-31.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/14 Colorado State vs Colorado+7.558.5L 9 - 28UN
Sat 9/21 Colorado State vs UTEP-8.549.0W 27 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Colorado State at Oregon State+10.047.0L 31 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 Colorado State vs San José State-2.555.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Colorado State at Air Force-6.043.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado State vs New Mexico-3.562.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Colorado State at Nevada-2.045.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Colorado State vs Wyoming-8.547.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/23 Colorado State at Fresno State+3.543.5L 22 - 28ON
Fri 11/29 Colorado State vs Utah State-5.556.5W 42 - 37ON
Sat 12/28 Colorado State vs Miami (OH)+1.042.5L 17 - 43ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25UN
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20UY
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#81 (.17)42% (74)24.439% (118)2.7 (124)9345% (38)3073.66 (86)#65 (.18)43% (80)25.842% (61)44% (107)3.4 (31)69.82.11.6
FRES#51 (.22)44% (48)26.140% (103)2.97 (95)10647% (24)2814.21 (36)#66 (.18)41% (60)24.842% (62)41% (64)3.31 (20)39.81.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1224.422.441.6%3.662.121399933073.439%59%39%45%16%.17
FRES Defense1324.81841.5%3.311.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%41%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1225.830.642.9%3.41.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%44%16%.18
FRES Offense1326.13243.8%4.211.1213881062813.837%62%40%47%15%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1226:3420.641%42%7.669.82.11.67.22.8226.1
Fresno State1329:2120.948%64%4.439.81.11.85.52.2131.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1239% (126)39% (118)27.792.83.410 (124)-.02 (130)2.7 (124)69% (102)7% (15)0.72 (133)
FRES Defense1353% (105)42% (62) - - - - .13 (61)3.16 (84)68% (42)9% (95)0.91 (30)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1252% (102)42% (61) - - - - .11 (47)3.05 (55)75% (82)12% (24)1.04 (90)
FRES Offense1337% (129)40% (103)28.4106.53.816 (89).14 (77)2.97 (95)74% (70)8% (28)1.01 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1259% (9)45% (38)25.941.8306.57.311.824 (41)18 (128).35 (43)1.5 (100)33% (86)29% (81).31 (74)8% (124)2 (105)
FRES Defense1346% (28)41% (64) - - - - - - 17 (3).3 (90)1.7 (93)32% (60)33% (106).34 (84)7% (44)2 (44)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1247% (31)44% (107) - - - - - - 9 (87).29 (87)1.4 (10)32% (69)30% (69).3 (60)4% (126)2.1 (79)
FRES Offense1362% (5)47% (24)25.839.6281.37.110.929 (18)12 (85).3 (65)1.5 (118)31% (49)38% (10).43 (37)7% (93)1.8 (125)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -4.04   Fresno State: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7   Fresno State: -3.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -2.6 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 25
Colorado State 23


Projected Total Points: 51
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Fresno State28Colorado State22Fresno StateFresno State -3.5Fresno State43.5Over
202010/29Fresno State38Colorado State17Fresno StateColorado State -2.5Fresno State58.0Under
201910/26Fresno State31Colorado State41Colorado StateFresno State -13.5Colorado State57.0Over
201611/05Colorado State37Fresno State0Colorado StateColorado State -13Colorado State58.5Under
201511/28Fresno State31Colorado State34Colorado StateColorado State -8.5Fresno State60.5Over
201210/06Colorado State7Fresno State28Fresno State
200812/20Fresno State35Colorado State40Colorado State
200609/30Fresno State23Colorado State35Colorado State
200310/04Colorado State34Fresno State10Colorado State
200210/04Fresno State32Colorado State30Fresno State
200110/13Colorado State22Fresno State25Fresno State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State533 Overs
Colorado State622 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 64 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams6 - 51 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#78) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State     Ratings Matchup     Fresno State
Power #78
#87
Off #74
#95
Def #69
#33
Talent #98
#88
SP+ #93
#85
SP+ Off #92
#85
SP+ Def #85
#77

Rematch from Week 13
Fresno State -3.5 (43.5)
Fresno State won vs Colorado State this year (28-22)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Colorado State last year (28-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CSU | FRES
Depth Chart: CSU | FRES
Rosters: CSU | FRES
(#87) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.6 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 540.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best


  
Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Jalen Dupree2515316.124
Keegan Holles159716.518
Caleb Goodie587017.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Jamari Person35373110.760
Armani Winfield (Tr)3834129.062
Vince Brown II24256310.730

View Colorado State's Full Roster
Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chase Wilson973061
Buom Jock973023
Owen Long441002
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
Kennedy McDowell82220
Ayden Hector405206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry (Tr)383019
Ayden Hector405206
Isaiah Essissima (Tr)141004

Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene27639270%288718117.4
Joshua Wood182864%195117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Malik Sherrod6019643.348
Joshua Wood3711863.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Moss49582411.949
Raylen Sharpe (Tr)51523310.338
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
Richie Anderson1714708.618

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jayden Davis461002
Phoenix Jackson455254
Kosi Agina382001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phoenix Jackson455254
Korey Foreman (Tr)235241
Jacob Holmes173230
Sione Noa153230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Phoenix Jackson455254
Julian Neal324104