Fresno State Bulldogs at Air Force Falcons
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (9:45 PM EST)
Fresno State -9.5 (40.5) (-430) Open: -10.5 | 41.0
Air Force 36 - Fresno State: 28 (Mountain West)
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
FRES is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -9.5 (SP+ FRES -8)
Projected Score: FRES: 26 - AFA: 17 (43)
FRES Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FRES Travel: 826 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Fresno State -9.5 (SP+ FRES -8)
Projected Score: FRES: 26 - AFA: 17 (43)
FRES Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FRES Travel: 826 miles, 1 hrs behind
Falcons (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Coach Troy Calhoun (130 - 82)
Avg Score : 19 - 23 (19 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
| Fresno State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Fresno State at Michigan | +21.0 | 48.0 | L 10 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Fresno State vs Sacramento State | -18.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Fresno State vs New Mexico State | -19.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Fresno State at New Mexico | -12.0 | 61.0 | W 38 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Fresno State at UNLV | +2.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 59 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Fresno State vs Washington State | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 17 - 25 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/18 | Fresno State at Nevada | -3.0 | 50.0 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Fresno State vs San José State | -6.5 | 55.0 | W 33 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Fresno State vs Hawai'i | -12.0 | 45.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Fresno State at Air Force | -9.5 | 40.5 | L 28 - 36 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Fresno State vs Colorado State | -3.5 | 43.5 | W 28 - 22 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Fresno State at UCLA | +7.5 | 46.5 | L 13 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Mon 12/23 | Fresno State vs Northern Illinois | +2.0 | 41.0 | L 20 - 28 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Air Force's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Air Force vs Merrimack | -30.5 | 47.5 | W 21 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Air Force vs San José State | -1.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Air Force at Baylor | +17.5 | 40.5 | L 3 - 31 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Air Force at Wyoming | -4.0 | 33.5 | L 19 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Air Force vs Navy | +10.0 | 37.0 | L 7 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Air Force at New Mexico | +7.0 | 56.0 | L 37 - 52 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Air Force vs Colorado State | +6.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Air Force at Army | +18.0 | 38.5 | L 3 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Air Force vs Fresno State | +9.5 | 40.5 | W 36 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Air Force vs Oregon State | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 28 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Air Force at Nevada | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 22 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Air Force at San Diego State | -6.5 | 43.5 | W 31 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 26.1 | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 24.8 | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 18.9 | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 23.3 | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ||
| AFA | #103 (.13) | 42% (77) | 45% (60) | 3.03 (68) | 225 | 31% (131) | 90 | 4.02 (56) | #88 (.2) | 42% (68) | 41% (47) | 43% (89) | 3.97 (84) | 28 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 13 | 26.1 | 21.2 | 39.2% | 3.68 | 1.3 | 19 | 343 | 101 | 242 | 3.4 | 42% | 57% | 38% | 41% | 14% | .11 |
| AFA Defense | 12 | 23.3 | 17.7 | 41.7% | 3.97 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 41% | 43% | 15% | .2 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 13 | 24.8 | 31.2 | 40.3% | 3.63 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 43% | 38% | 14% | .08 |
| AFA Offense | 12 | 18.9 | 18.7 | 42.1% | 4.02 | 1.3 | 18 | 314 | 225 | 90 | 4 | 82% | 18% | 45% | 31% | 12% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 13 | 27:29 | 18.9 | 39% | 42% | 6.2 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 30.7 |
| Air Force | 12 | 33:58 | 17.9 | 42% | 64% | 3 | 28 | 1.3 | 1 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 28.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 13 | 42% (115) | 38% (121) | 29.2 | 100.7 | 3.4 | 21 (59) | .04 (111) | 2.73 (115) | 69% (96) | 8% (34) | 0.95 (76) |
| AFA Defense | 12 | 56% (120) | 41% (47) | - | - | - | - | .1 (56) | 3.02 (73) | 66% (28) | 10% (63) | 1.07 (101) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 13 | 49% (49) | 43% (74) | - | - | - | - | .08 (48) | 2.94 (56) | 71% (56) | 8% (121) | 0.81 (7) |
| AFA Offense | 12 | 82% (2) | 45% (60) | 55.7 | 224.7 | 4 | 24 (45) | .15 (60) | 3.03 (68) | 83% (11) | 9% (55) | 0.88 (112) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 13 | 57% (21) | 41% (76) | 23 | 33.1 | 242.1 | 7.3 | 10.5 | 20 (58) | 14 (115) | .21 (89) | 1.6 (65) | 33% (95) | 28% (103) | .24 (100) | 6% (64) | 2.1 (63) |
| AFA Defense | 12 | 44% (16) | 43% (89) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (125) | .33 (107) | 1.6 (63) | 31% (79) | 30% (54) | .3 (63) | 5% (120) | 2 (60) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 13 | 51% (86) | 38% (33) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (18) | .09 (14) | 1.5 (34) | 30% (94) | 29% (37) | .2 (28) | 6% (65) | 2 (52) |
| AFA Offense | 12 | 18% (133) | 31% (131) | 5.2 | 11.5 | 89.8 | 7.8 | 17.4 | 5 (134) | 10 (63) | .09 (124) | 2.1 (1) | 27% (14) | 25% (124) | .18 (111) | 3% (2) | 2.1 (66) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Fresno State's Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -6.40 Air Force: -14.77
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -3.8 Air Force: -11.7
Fresno State: -6.40 Air Force: -14.77
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -3.8 Air Force: -11.7
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Air Force's Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Air Force's Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Air Force's Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Air Force's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Air Force's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2
Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2
Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 26
Air Force 17
Total Points: 43
Fresno State 26
Air Force 17
Total Points: 43
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 18.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7
Air Force's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Air Force | 36 | Fresno State | 28 | Air Force | Fresno State -9.5 | Air Force | 40.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Air Force | 43 | Fresno State | 24 | Air Force | Air Force -2.5 | Air Force | 50.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/28 | Fresno State | 21 | Air Force | 31 | Air Force | Air Force -13.5 | Fresno State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/24 | Air Force | 42 | Fresno State | 14 | Air Force | Air Force -17 | Air Force | 54.0 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Fresno State | 48 | Air Force | 15 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2000 | 12/30 | Air Force | 37 | Fresno State | 34 | Air Force |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 5 | 3 | 4 Overs |
| Fresno State | 1 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 1 | 4 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 5 | 0 - 4 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 |
(#87) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 1 straight
Fresno State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State defense does not give up big plays (#67)
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State Can Not Run the Ball (#5)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State offense is really bad (#64)
Fresno State run game is really bad (#70)
Power Rating: -6.40 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has lost 1 straight
Fresno State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State defense does not give up big plays (#67)
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State Can Not Run the Ball (#5)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State offense is really bad (#64)
Fresno State run game is really bad (#70)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | AFA | FRES |
| OverallOver | #69 | #61 |
| OffenseOff | #59 | #60 |
| DefenseDef | #93 | #68 |
| Special TeamsST | #106 | #107 |
| PassingPass | #99 | #43 |
| RushingRush | #78 | #85 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #15 | #31 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #116 | #65 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #93 | #52 |
| TacklingTkl | #54 | #69 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #86 | #70 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #82 | #89 |
| Coverage DefCov | #93 | #45 |
(#125) Air Force Info
Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force has lost 7 straight
Air Force has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force has a really bad Offense
Air Force has a really bad Offense at Home
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force pass game is really bad (#83)
Air Force does not Sack the QB (#13)
Power Rating: -14.77 #125
Offense Rating: 14.34 #112
Defense Rating: 16.43 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #76
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Option Offense 82%, Pass: 18%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Air Force has lost 7 straight
Air Force has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Air Force Notes
(11/14) Have found their QB in So. Quentin Hayes
(11/3) QBs Hayes/Johnson vs Army, both bad, Rgame bad
(10/20) QB Busha started, 10-25. Rgame 3.2 ypc in CSU L
(10/18) QBs now 3 co-starters, Busha (orig #1) out of mix
(10/12) Killed by N Mex, Rgame 325 yds but Def torched
(10/8) Market hasn't caught up to how awful AFA is TY
(9/14) 10 pts in 2 losses. 3.2 ypc avg. Bad AFA team TY
(8/11) AF fell apart late LY losing 4 straight
(8/1) Restock year TY, Def rebuild, 6-6 type
(7/30) Calhoun & staff win 9+ games every year since '19
Air Force Highlights
Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#52)
Air Force does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#9)
Air Force commits very few Penalties (#6)
Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force has a really bad Offense
Air Force has a really bad Offense at Home
Air Force offense is not Explosive (#117)
Air Force pass game is really bad (#83)
Air Force does not Sack the QB (#13)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Keene | 276 | 392 | 70% | 2887 | 18 | 11 | 7.4 |
| Joshua Wood | 18 | 28 | 64% | 195 | 1 | 1 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 78 | 472 | 3 | 6.1 | 43 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 121 | 466 | 8 | 3.9 | 24 |
| Malik Sherrod | 60 | 196 | 4 | 3.3 | 48 |
| Joshua Wood | 37 | 118 | 6 | 3.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Dalena | 60 | 998 | 8 | 16.6 | 75 |
| Jalen Moss | 49 | 582 | 4 | 11.9 | 49 |
| Raylen Sharpe (Tr) | 51 | 523 | 3 | 10.3 | 38 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 32 | 204 | 0 | 6.4 | 71 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuasivi Nomura | 102 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Malachi Langley | 73 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Dean Clark | 56 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 50 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Langley | 73 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Dean Clark | 56 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Phoenix Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Korey Foreman (Tr) | 23 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alzillion Hamilton | 50 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| Cameron Lockridge | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Phoenix Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Busha | 29 | 79 | 37% | 415 | 1 | 5 | 5.3 |
| Quentin Hayes | 25 | 43 | 58% | 455 | 3 | 2 | 10.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carson | 138 | 600 | 5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Quentin Hayes | 126 | 466 | 7 | 3.7 | 30 |
| Owen Allen | 77 | 335 | 2 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Cade Harris | 48 | 279 | 4 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Harris | 23 | 368 | 2 | 16.0 | 76 |
| Quin Smith | 10 | 207 | 1 | 20.7 | 39 |
| Jared Roznos | 5 | 109 | 0 | 21.8 | 52 |
| Bruin Fleischmann | 5 | 104 | 0 | 20.8 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camby Goff | 67 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jamari Bellamy | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Osaro Aihie | 58 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Santiago | 37 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Peyton Zdroik | 18 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Osaro Aihie | 58 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamari Bellamy | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Trey Williams | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Camby Goff | 67 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |