Georgia Southern at Fresno State Game Matchup
Georgia Southern logo Georgia Southern Eagles at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Friday, August 29th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -1.5 (0.0) (0)  Open: -1.5
Bulldog Stadium - Fresno, CA

 
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (25 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Georgia Southern -0   (SP+ GASO -2)
Projected Score: GASO: 27 - FRES: 27 (53)
FRES Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
GASO Travel: 2166 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#65)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Georgia Southern at Fresno State+1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Georgia Southern at USC+17
Sat 9/13 Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State-18
Sat 9/20 Georgia Southern vs Maine-20
Sat 9/27 Georgia Southern at James Madison+8
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss-7.5
Sat 10/18 Georgia Southern vs Georgia State-15.5
Sat 10/25 Georgia Southern at Arkansas State-5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 Georgia Southern at App State-8
Sat 11/15 Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina-10
Sat 11/22 Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion-9
Sat 11/29 Georgia Southern at Marshall-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule
Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/22 Fresno State at Kansas+14.50.0
Fri 8/29 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+5.5
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-17
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-13.5
Sat 10/11 Fresno State at Colorado State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State-8.5
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-9.5
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-12
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO#68 (.19)43% (65)2846% (44)2.84 (101)12840% (85)2384.57 (17)#105 (.23)45% (108)27.647% (109)44% (102)3.81 (71)48.31.71.5
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)26.138% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)24.843% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GASO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Offense13282542.9%4.571.7223661282383.846%53%46%40%17%.19
FRES Defense1324.81840.3%3.631.5 - - - - - 49%51%43%38%14%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GASO Defense1327.628.845.5%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%47%44%14%.23
FRES Offense1326.13239.2%3.681.3193431012423.442%57%38%41%14%.11

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Southern1330:0921.845%75%5.648.31.71.54.61.6127.7
Fresno State1327:2918.939%42%6.2551.31.54.41.5230.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Offense1346% (95)46% (44)33.8128.23.824 (45).15 (57)2.84 (101)78% (36)11% (94)0.99 (57)
FRES Defense1349% (49)43% (74) - - - - .08 (48)2.94 (56)71% (56)8% (121)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GASO Defense1347% (27)47% (109) - - - - .18 (99)3.1 (87)72% (60)8% (106)1 (79)
FRES Offense1342% (115)38% (121)29.2100.73.421 (59).04 (111)2.73 (115)69% (96)8% (34)0.95 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Offense1353% (39)40% (85)22.234.2237.8710.721 (51)11 (72).23 (86)1.5 (84)31% (60)33% (48).39 (43)6% (65)2 (90)
FRES Defense1351% (86)38% (33) - - - - - - 15 (18).09 (14)1.5 (34)30% (94)29% (37).2 (28)6% (65)2 (52)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GASO Defense1353% (108)44% (102) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (97)1.5 (52)31% (89)32% (94).35 (89)5% (100)2 (54)
FRES Offense1357% (21)41% (76)2333.1242.17.310.520 (58)14 (115).21 (89)1.6 (65)33% (95)28% (103).24 (100)6% (64)2.1 (63)

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -3.18 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -3.18   Fresno State: -3.76

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -4.0   Fresno State: -6.2




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -3.76 #85
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 8.21 #102
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 14.53 #65
2025 Talent Rating: 708.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 27
Fresno State 27


Projected Total Points: 53
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State000 Overs
Georgia Southern000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#76) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.18 #76
Offense Rating: 15.20 #60
Defense Rating: 18.38 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #95
Talent Rating: 586.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Georgia Southern Notes
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
(3/24) WR Cobb/Dallas back (2/3 LY). Have depth
(3/24) OL 4/5 back, T Williams also exp'd. Looks good
(3/24) Def not good LY, 6 portal adds. Could improve?
(3/24) Helton has bowled every year. Good job
Georgia Southern     Ratings Matchup     Fresno State
Power #76
#85
Off #60
#102
Def #92
#65
Talent #86
#71
SP+ #78
#88
SP+ Off #63
#98
SP+ Def #95
#77

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GASO | FRES
Depth Chart: GASO | FRES
Rosters: GASO | FRES
(#85) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.76 #85
Offense Rating: 8.21 #102
Defense Rating: 14.53 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #77
Talent Rating: 708.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Fresno State Notes
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
(5/11) HC Entz was great at N Dak St (60-11)
(5/11) OC Davis runs combo spread & RPO, QB run
(5/11) Pass D good LY & DBs return some good parts
(5/11) QB1 Warner out of spring, Conklin signed after
(5/11) Final MWC season, join new Pac 12 in '26
(4/30) Portal QB Conklin (Sac St) big portal add
(4/30) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 9 portals, 4 DL help
(4/30) OL returns 4/5, meh LY but could grow up big
(4/7) RB staff high on Donelson. Ramirez can play


  
Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dalen Cobb030%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Josh Dallas43719.314
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
River Helms (Tr)19228212.033
Marcus Sanders Jr.9158117.643

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jusfin Meyers613111
Brendan Harrington (Tr)551011
Chance Gamble482007
Davon Hicks431100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Rhodes226310
Isaac Walker234233
Jusfin Meyers613111
Jacob Ferguson194120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble482007
Tracy Hill Jr.360013
Isaac Walker234233

Fresno State's OC Josh Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)27143862%271017136.2
Carson Conklin (Tr)25540663%27592786.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Donelson7847236.143
Elijah Gilliam12146683.924
Johnathan Arceneaux2210404.720
Nathan Acevedo21809.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Gilliam3220406.471
Richie Anderson1714708.618
Josiah Freeman895211.934
Bryson Donelson219414.514

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jayden Davis461002
Jadon Pearson (Tr)423012
Kosi Agina382001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Korey Foreman235241
Sione Noa153230
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alzillion Hamilton5051112
Jadon Pearson (Tr)423012
Jayden Davis461002