Northern Illinois Huskies vs Fresno State Bulldogs
Monday, December 23rd 2024 (2:30 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -2 (41.0) (-125) Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 28 - Fresno State: 20 (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl)
Huskies (8 - 5) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (24 - 33)
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (21 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Northern Illinois -2 (SP+ NIU -0.5)
Projected Score: NIU: 23 - FRES: 21 (44)
NIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
NIU Travel: 1682 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Our Line: Northern Illinois -2 (SP+ NIU -0.5)
Projected Score: NIU: 23 - FRES: 21 (44)
NIU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
NIU Travel: 1682 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Northern Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northern Illinois vs Western Illinois | -36.5 | 55.5 | W 54 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Northern Illinois at Notre Dame | +28.5 | 46.5 | W 16 - 14 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Northern Illinois vs Buffalo | -13.0 | 42.5 | L 20 - 23 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Northern Illinois at NC State | +7.0 | 46.0 | L 17 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts | -14.0 | 41.0 | W 34 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Northern Illinois at Bowling Green | +3.0 | 46.5 | W 17 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northern Illinois vs Toledo | -3.0 | 42.5 | L 6 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northern Illinois at Ball State | -13.5 | 47.5 | L 23 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 11/6 | Northern Illinois at Western Michigan | -2.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Wed 11/13 | Northern Illinois vs Akron | -14.0 | 43.5 | W 29 - 16 | O | N | |
| Tue 11/19 | Northern Illinois at Miami (OH) | +1.5 | 43.0 | L 9 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan | -16.5 | 41.5 | W 24 - 16 | U | N | |
| Mon 12/23 | Northern Illinois vs Fresno State | -2.0 | 41.0 | W 28 - 20 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Fresno State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Fresno State at Michigan | +21.0 | 48.0 | L 10 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Fresno State vs Sacramento State | -18.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Fresno State vs New Mexico State | -19.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Fresno State at New Mexico | -12.0 | 61.0 | W 38 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Fresno State at UNLV | +2.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 59 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Fresno State vs Washington State | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 17 - 25 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/18 | Fresno State at Nevada | -3.0 | 50.0 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Fresno State vs San José State | -6.5 | 55.0 | W 33 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Fresno State vs Hawai'i | -12.0 | 45.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Fresno State at Air Force | -9.5 | 40.5 | L 28 - 36 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Fresno State vs Colorado State | -3.5 | 43.5 | W 28 - 22 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Fresno State at UCLA | +7.5 | 46.5 | L 13 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Mon 12/23 | Fresno State vs Northern Illinois | +2.0 | 41.0 | L 20 - 28 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | #86 (.16) | 42% (79) | 24.5 | 44% (72) | 3.25 (33) | 204 | 40% (86) | 179 | 3.39 (113) | #11 (.06) | 38% (19) | 18.5 | 41% (52) | 35% (9) | 3.08 (12) | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 26.1 | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 24.8 | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | #86 (.16) | 42% (79) | 44% (72) | 3.25 (33) | 204 | 40% (86) | 179 | 3.39 (113) | #11 (.06) | 38% (19) | 41% (52) | 35% (9) | 3.08 (12) | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | ||
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Offense | 13 | 24.5 | 20.7 | 42.1% | 3.39 | 1.2 | 21 | 383 | 204 | 179 | 4.8 | 59% | 41% | 44% | 40% | 15% | .16 |
| FRES Defense | 13 | 24.8 | 18 | 40.3% | 3.63 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 43% | 38% | 14% | .08 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Defense | 13 | 18.5 | 19.7 | 37.7% | 3.08 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 41% | 35% | 17% | .06 |
| FRES Offense | 13 | 26.1 | 32 | 39.2% | 3.68 | 1.3 | 19 | 343 | 101 | 242 | 3.4 | 42% | 57% | 38% | 41% | 14% | .11 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois | 13 | 33:20 | 21.5 | 42% | 45% | 4.2 | 42.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1 | 30.4 |
| Fresno State | 13 | 27:29 | 18.9 | 39% | 42% | 6.2 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Offense | 13 | 59% (11) | 44% (72) | 42.8 | 204.2 | 4.8 | 22 (55) | .14 (66) | 3.25 (33) | 72% (83) | 9% (60) | 1 (54) |
| FRES Defense | 13 | 49% (49) | 43% (74) | - | - | - | - | .08 (48) | 2.94 (56) | 71% (56) | 8% (121) | 0.81 (7) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Defense | 13 | 49% (44) | 41% (52) | - | - | - | - | .08 (45) | 3.06 (79) | 74% (73) | 11% (53) | 0.9 (33) |
| FRES Offense | 13 | 42% (115) | 38% (121) | 29.2 | 100.7 | 3.4 | 21 (59) | .04 (111) | 2.73 (115) | 69% (96) | 8% (34) | 0.95 (76) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Offense | 13 | 41% (124) | 40% (86) | 16.5 | 28.5 | 179.1 | 6.3 | 10.8 | 16 (87) | 8 (40) | .23 (84) | 1.6 (58) | 31% (68) | 30% (89) | .17 (117) | 5% (39) | 1.9 (116) |
| FRES Defense | 13 | 51% (86) | 38% (33) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 (18) | .09 (14) | 1.5 (34) | 30% (94) | 29% (37) | .2 (28) | 6% (65) | 2 (52) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIU Defense | 13 | 51% (93) | 35% (9) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .04 (4) | 1.5 (55) | 36% (15) | 25% (10) | .18 (16) | 7% (37) | 2 (67) |
| FRES Offense | 13 | 57% (21) | 41% (76) | 23 | 33.1 | 242.1 | 7.3 | 10.5 | 20 (58) | 14 (115) | .21 (89) | 1.6 (65) | 33% (95) | 28% (103) | .24 (100) | 6% (64) | 2.1 (63) |
Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Northern Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Northern Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.77 Fresno State: -5.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5 Fresno State: -3.8
Northern Illinois: -2.77 Fresno State: -5.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -3.5 Fresno State: -3.8
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -5.1 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Fresno State's Power Rating: -5.1 #87
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Fresno State's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Fresno State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.7
Northern Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 23
Fresno State 21
Total Points: 44
Northern Illinois 23
Fresno State 21
Total Points: 44
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18
Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18
Fresno State's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12/23 | Fresno State | 20 | Northern Illinois | 28 | Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois -2 | Northern Illinois | 41.0 | Over |
| 2010 | 12/18 | Fresno State | 17 | Northern Illinois | 40 | Northern Illinois |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 0 | 0 | 1 Overs |
| Northern Illinois | 2 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Northern Illinois Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Potato Bowl | Northern Illinois vs Fresno State | -2.0 | 41.0 | W 28 - 20 |
| 2023 | Camellia Bowl | Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State | +2.5 | 54.0 | W 21 - 19 |
| 2021 | Cure Bowl | Northern Illinois vs Coastal Carolina | +11.0 | 63.0 | L 41 - 47 |
| 2018 | Raton Bowl | Northern Illinois vs UAB | +1.0 | 41.5 | L 13 - 37 |
| Fresno State Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Potato Bowl | Fresno State vs Northern Illinois | +2.0 | 41.0 | L 20 - 28 |
| 2023 | Mexico Bowl | Fresno State vs New Mexico State | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 37 - 10 |
| 2022 | La Bowl | Fresno State vs Washington State | -5.5 | 54.0 | W 29 - 6 |
| 2021 | Mexico Bowl | Fresno State vs UTEP | -11.5 | 51.5 | W 31 - 24 |
| 2018 | Vegas Bowl | Fresno State vs Arizona State | -6.0 | 54.0 | W 31 - 20 |
(#73) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 1)
Northern Illinois has played in 15 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 10)
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)
Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)
Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
Power Rating: -2.77 #73
Offense Rating: 16.86 #97
Defense Rating: 2.99 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northern Illinois has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 1)
Northern Illinois has played in 15 Bowls since 2000 (5 - 10)
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/8) Off healthy & improved. Rgame/QB Hampton good
(11/7) Owned WMU. Big plays, caused TO's, KR TD
(10/20) Near 400 yds and only 6 pts (Tol)? 4-19 3rd bad
(10/18) Def ranks top 25 in 13 diff stats, #4 in ypg (253)
(10/18) Great 3rd down Def 20% (#1) & Off 48% (#22)
(10/18) New QB Holst v mobile, cannot pass from pocket
(10/14) QB Hampton left BG game (concussion)
(10/13) DL mauled BGU. 5 sacks, hurt QB. Great Def
(10/4) Best Def in MAC? Off #'s awful so far, check back
(9/28) Def held NC St to 171 yds but 4 TOs killed them
Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois has Really Good Running Game (#106)
Northern Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#106)
Northern Illinois Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Northern Illinois has a really good defense (#46)
Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois has a good pass defense (#52)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)
Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home
Northern Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#12)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FRES | NIU |
| OverallOver | #61 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #60 | #65 |
| DefenseDef | #68 | #18 |
| Special TeamsST | #107 | #34 |
| PassingPass | #43 | #87 |
| RushingRush | #85 | #65 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #31 | #18 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #65 | #53 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #52 | #102 |
| TacklingTkl | #69 | #3 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #70 | #17 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #89 | #64 |
| Coverage DefCov | #45 | #22 |
Rematch from Week 1
Northern Illinois 2.0 (41.0)
Northern Illinois won at Fresno State this year (28-20)
Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Fresno State last year (28-20)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NIU | FRES
Depth Chart: NIU | FRES
Rosters: NIU | FRES
(#87) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -5.1 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 1)
Fresno State has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 10)
Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State defense does not give up big plays (#67)
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State Can Not Run the Ball (#5)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State offense is really bad (#64)
Fresno State run game is really bad (#70)
Power Rating: -5.1 #87
Offense Rating: 16.89 #95
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 1)
Fresno State has played in 19 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 10)
Fresno State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Matt Entz (USC LB, NDSU HC 19-23)
(11/3) Bad L (Haw), Keene was bad, Rgame was abysmal
(10/27) Momentum w/ 2 W's, 12-19 on 3rd vs SJSU
(10/27) QB Keene too many INTs, has WRs. Rgame awful
(10/4) Rgame bottom CFB, OL yds, success awful.
(9/28) Run O abysmal, Run D torched (UNLV). Keene good
(7/30) HC Tedford resigned, AHC Skipper Int coach in '24
(7/30) QB Keene back (Best in MW), WR should be good
(7/30) OL has 4/5 back, RB Sherrod one of G5 best
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State defense does not give up big plays (#67)
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State Can Not Run the Ball (#5)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State offense is really bad (#64)
Fresno State run game is really bad (#70)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Hampton | 143 | 245 | 58% | 1608 | 12 | 6 | 6.6 |
| Josh Holst | 65 | 111 | 59% | 593 | 2 | 2 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 139 | 749 | 4 | 5.4 | 71 |
| Antario Brown | 115 | 567 | 4 | 4.9 | 49 |
| Telly Johnson Jr. | 103 | 480 | 4 | 4.7 | 38 |
| Josh Holst | 49 | 230 | 1 | 4.7 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayvon Rudolph | 37 | 403 | 1 | 10.9 | 48 |
| Cam Thompson | 27 | 388 | 3 | 14.4 | 54 |
| Grayson Barnes | 31 | 338 | 4 | 10.9 | 60 |
| Andrew McElroy (Tr) | 26 | 264 | 0 | 10.2 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Fuhrman (Tr) | 61 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Dolphin | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Nate Valcarcel | 53 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte O'Malley | 38 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| Roy Williams | 38 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Nevaeh Sanders | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Skyler Gill-Howard | 48 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Valcarcel | 53 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Jacob Finley | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Santana Banner | 54 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Keene | 276 | 392 | 70% | 2887 | 18 | 11 | 7.4 |
| Joshua Wood | 18 | 28 | 64% | 195 | 1 | 1 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 78 | 472 | 3 | 6.1 | 43 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 121 | 466 | 8 | 3.9 | 24 |
| Malik Sherrod | 60 | 196 | 4 | 3.3 | 48 |
| Joshua Wood | 37 | 118 | 6 | 3.2 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Dalena | 60 | 998 | 8 | 16.6 | 75 |
| Jalen Moss | 49 | 582 | 4 | 11.9 | 49 |
| Raylen Sharpe (Tr) | 51 | 523 | 3 | 10.3 | 38 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 32 | 204 | 0 | 6.4 | 71 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuasivi Nomura | 102 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Malachi Langley | 73 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Dean Clark | 56 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 50 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Langley | 73 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Dean Clark | 56 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Phoenix Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Korey Foreman (Tr) | 23 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alzillion Hamilton | 50 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
| Cameron Lockridge | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Phoenix Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 |