Cal Poly at Fresno State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo Cal Poly Mustangs at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -32.5 (59.5)
Fresno State 63 - Cal Poly: 10

 
Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 63 (10 - 63 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -8  (SP+ FRES -11)
FRES Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cal Poly's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/11 Cal Poly at Fresno State+32.559.5L 10 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Fresno State vs UConn-28.063.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/4 Fresno State at Oregon+18.062.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/11 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-32.559.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Fresno State at UCLA+11.064.0W 40 - 37OY
Fri 9/24 Fresno State vs UNLV-30.059.0W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.564.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Fresno State at Wyoming-3.053.5W 17 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-3.564.5W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/30 Fresno State at San Diego State-2.043.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Fresno State vs Boise State-4.061.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 11/13 Fresno State vs New Mexico-24.051.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25 Fresno State at San José State-7.052.5W 40 - 9UY
Sat 12/18 Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%100%000%000%630%0%0000
FRES.2648%33.446%2.8613749%3273.86.1138%20.541%36%3.5471.21.72.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FRES Defense1320.519.838.5%3.542.2 - - - - - 49%51%41%36%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FRES Offense1333.43847.6%3.861.7244641373274.140%60%46%49%14%.26

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Fresno State1331:2624.343%53%7.671.21.72.26.92.3030.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
FRES Defense1349%41% - - - - .062.8168%13%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FRES Offense1340%46%33.8137.24.117.062.8664%9%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
FRES Defense1351%36% - - - - - - 12.171.834%28%.297%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FRES Offense1360%49%26.339.5326.78.312.43510.391.528%35%.345%1.9

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #169
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Fresno State: 7.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Fresno State: 10.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 7.9 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2021 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 43
Cal Poly 15

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 38
Cal Poly 15

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 49
Cal Poly 15

Total Points: 64
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/01Fresno State35Cal Poly7Fresno State -42.5Cal Poly63.0Under
202109/11Fresno State63Cal Poly10Fresno State -32.5Fresno State59.5Over
201309/07Fresno State41Cal Poly25Fresno State -27Cal Poly0
201010/02Fresno State38Cal Poly17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State411 Overs
Cal Poly021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#) CP at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCPFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #32
Perf GradeGradeNR #38
OffenseOffNR #67
DefenseDefNR #17
Spec TeamsSTNR #104
TalentTal #169 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Cal Poly on Offense
CategoryCat
CP OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cal Poly Run Game
CategoryCat
CP OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNR #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #18
Cal Poly Pass Game
CategoryCat
CP OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNR #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffCP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffCP Def
Run GameRun #51NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffCP Def
Pass GamePass #32NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Fresno State -32.5 (59.5)
Fresno State won vs Cal Poly this year (63-10)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Cal Poly in 2022 (35-7)

  
CP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD