UNLV at Fresno State - 2021 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Fresno State BulldogsFresno State logo
Friday, September 24th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -30 (59.0)
Fresno State 38 - UNLV: 30  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (0 - 9)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (20 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FRES is playing their 4th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -15  (SP+ FRES -25)
Projected Score: UNLV: 19 - FRES: 40 (59)
FRES Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
UNLV Travel: 260 miles
Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UNLV vs Eastern Washington+2.066.0L 33 - 35OY
Sat 9/11 UNLV at Arizona State+34.555.5L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/18 UNLV vs Iowa State+32.053.0L 3 - 48UN
Fri 9/24 UNLV at Fresno State+30.059.0L 30 - 38OY
Sat 10/2 UNLV at UTSA+21.555.5L 17 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 UNLV vs Utah State+7.564.0L 24 - 28UY
Thu 10/21 UNLV vs San José State+6.044.0L 20 - 27ON
Fri 10/29 UNLV at Nevada+19.058.0L 20 - 51ON
Sat 11/6 UNLV at New Mexico+1.545.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/13 UNLV vs Hawai'i+3.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Fri 11/19 UNLV vs San Diego State+11.041.0L 20 - 28OY
Fri 11/26 UNLV at Air Force+18.549.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Fresno State vs UConn-28.063.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/4 Fresno State at Oregon+18.062.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/11 Fresno State vs Cal Poly-32.559.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Fresno State at UCLA+11.064.0W 40 - 37OY
Fri 9/24 Fresno State vs UNLV-30.059.0W 38 - 30ON
Sat 10/2 Fresno State at Hawai'i-10.564.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Fresno State at Wyoming-3.053.5W 17 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Fresno State vs Nevada-3.564.5W 34 - 32ON
Sat 10/30 Fresno State at San Diego State-2.043.5W 30 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Fresno State vs Boise State-4.061.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 11/13 Fresno State vs New Mexico-24.051.0W 34 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25 Fresno State at San José State-7.052.5W 40 - 9UY
Sat 12/18 Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.1436%20.836%2.6311036%2034.14.2544%32.840%49%4.2637.91.81.4
FRES.2648%33.446%2.8613749%3273.86.1138%20.541%36%3.5471.21.72.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1220.820.336.1%4.141.8163121102033.346%54%36%36%31%.14
FRES Defense1320.519.838.5%3.542.2 - - - - - 49%51%41%36%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1232.835.844%4.261.4 - - - - - 53%46%40%49%18%.25
FRES Offense1333.43847.6%3.861.7244641373274.140%60%46%49%14%.26

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1229:3915.535%25%4.537.91.81.451.8027.5
Fresno State1331:2624.343%53%7.671.21.72.26.92.3030.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1246%36%32.9109.83.318.072.6386%20%0.99
FRES Defense1349%41% - - - - .062.8168%13%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1253%40% - - - - .143.0862%13%1.12
FRES Offense1340%46%33.8137.24.117.062.8664%9%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1254%36%16.127.6202.57.312.61114.221.837%27%.2411%2
FRES Defense1351%36% - - - - - - 12.171.834%28%.297%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 9.411.531%35%.525%2.1
FRES Offense1360%49%26.339.5326.78.312.43510.391.528%35%.345%1.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2021 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8  #116
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #117
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV:    Fresno State: 7.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -13.8   Fresno State: 10.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 7.9 NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7  #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 20.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

UNLV's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 40
UNLV 19

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 45
UNLV 17

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 35
UNLV 21

Total Points: 56
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28UNLV59Fresno State14UNLV -2.5UNLV51.0Over
202310/28Fresno State31UNLV24Fresno State -10.5UNLV56.0Under
202211/11UNLV30Fresno State37Fresno State -9UNLV61.5Over
202109/24Fresno State38UNLV30Fresno State -30UNLV59.0Over
202011/07UNLV27Fresno State40Fresno State -11Fresno State57.5Over
201910/18Fresno State56UNLV27Fresno State -14.5Fresno State52.0Over
201811/03UNLV3Fresno State48Fresno State -27Fresno State58.5Under
201710/28Fresno State16UNLV26Fresno State -21.5UNLV59.0Under
201610/01UNLV45Fresno State20UNLV -11.5UNLV56.5Over
201510/16Fresno State31UNLV28UNLV -5.5Fresno State49.0Over
201410/10UNLV30Fresno State27Fresno State -9UNLV0
201310/19Fresno State38UNLV14Fresno State -21Fresno State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State857 Overs
UNLV473 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 47 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams4 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) UNLV at (#) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNLVFRES
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #32
Perf GradeGrade #107 #38
OffenseOff #109 #67
DefenseDef #93 #17
Spec TeamsST #34 #104
TalentTal #108 #81
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #17
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Run GameRun #110 #32
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #18
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffFRES Def
Pass GamePass #112 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #123 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Fresno State on Offense
CategoryCatFRES OffUNLV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #67 #93
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #27 #104
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Fresno State Run Game
CategoryCat
FRES OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #51 #70
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #107
Fresno State Pass Game
CategoryCatFRES OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #32 #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102 #94
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84°
Rematch from Week 4
Fresno State -30.0 (59.0)
Fresno State won vs UNLV this year (38-30)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Fresno State last year (59-14)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2023 (31-24)
Fresno State beat UNLV in 2022 (37-30)

  
UNLV's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Peter Hansen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD