Fresno State Bulldogs at Oregon State Beavers
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -1.0 (45.5) (-125) Open: -2.0 | 48.5
Fresno State 36 - Oregon State: 27
Bulldogs (3 - 1) (3 - 1 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Coach Matt Entz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
ORST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Oregon State -6 (SP+ FRES -10)
Projected Score: FRES: 22 - ORST: 28 (50)
ORST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 566 miles
Our Line: Oregon State -6 (SP+ FRES -10)
Projected Score: FRES: 22 - ORST: 28 (50)
ORST Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FRES Travel: 566 miles
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
| Fresno State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Fresno State at Kansas | +14.0 | 51.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 8/30 | Fresno State vs Georgia Southern | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 42 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Fresno State at Oregon State | +1.0 | 45.5 | W 36 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Fresno State vs Southern | -37.5 | 51.5 | W 56 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Fresno State at Hawai'i | -3.0 | 47.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Fresno State vs Nevada | -13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Fresno State at Colorado State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Fresno State vs San Diego State | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Fresno State at Boise State | +13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Fresno State vs Wyoming | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Fresno State vs Utah State | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Fresno State at San José State | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Oregon State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Oregon State vs California | -3.0 | 51.5 | L 15 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Oregon State vs Fresno State | -1.0 | 45.5 | L 27 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Oregon State at Texas Tech | +24.5 | 61.5 | L 7 - 45 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Oregon State at Oregon | +35.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Oregon State vs Houston | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Oregon State at App State | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Oregon State vs Wake Forest | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Oregon State vs Lafayette | -20.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Oregon State vs Washington State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Oregon State vs Sam Houston | -18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Oregon State at Tulsa | -6 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Oregon State at Washington State | -2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #51 (.25) | 44% (64) | 35.3 | 44% (70) | 2.7 (97) | 203 | 47% (47) | 190 | 3.58 (90) | #126 (.36) | 50% (125) | 19.8 | 46% (100) | 53% (129) | 4.75 (115) | 45 | 2 | 0.8 |
| ORST | #55 (.24) | 48% (40) | 16.3 | 44% (68) | 2.25 (123) | 76 | 50% (32) | 296 | 4.23 (55) | #89 (.18) | 37% (54) | 38.3 | 34% (34) | 41% (73) | 4 (89) | 37.7 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | #110 (.11) | 39% (110) | 38% (121) | 2.73 (115) | 101 | 41% (76) | 242 | 3.68 (91) | #17 (.08) | 40% (51) | 43% (74) | 38% (33) | 3.63 (47) | 55 | 1.3 | 1.5 | ||
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 35.3 | 21.5 | 43.9% | 3.58 | 2 | 22 | 393 | 203 | 190 | 5.8 | 55% | 42% | 44% | 47% | 17% | .25 |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 38.3 | 35 | 36.9% | 4 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 34% | 41% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 19.8 | 29 | 49.7% | 4.75 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 13% | .36 |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 16.3 | 21 | 47.9% | 4.23 | 2 | 22 | 372 | 76 | 296 | 2.8 | 42% | 57% | 44% | 50% | 18% | .24 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 4 | 30:33 | 22 | 51% | 67% | 4.5 | 45 | 2 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 29.8 |
| Oregon State | 3 | 32:58 | 21.7 | 45% | 60% | 5.7 | 37.7 | 2 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0 | 29.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 55% (45) | 44% (70) | 35.3 | 203 | 5.8 | 12 (3) | .13 (70) | 2.7 (97) | 75% (52) | 11% (107) | 1.25 (22) |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 55% (104) | 34% (34) | - | - | - | - | .02 (54) | 2.17 (18) | 67% (53) | 9% (85) | 1.14 (102) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 46% (43) | 46% (100) | - | - | - | - | .13 (95) | 3.28 (120) | 100% (127) | 7% (118) | 0.74 (22) |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 42% (115) | 44% (68) | 27.3 | 76 | 2.8 | 2 (109) | -.02 (111) | 2.25 (123) | 90% (14) | 10% (86) | 0.68 (127) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Offense | 4 | 42% (109) | 47% (47) | 19 | 26 | 189.5 | 7.3 | 10 | 4 (72) | 5 (129) | .55 (19) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (63) | 45% (15) | .77 (12) | 6% (92) | 2.3 (22) |
| ORST Defense | 3 | 44% (31) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .38 (114) | 1.9 (121) | 29% (111) | 28% (65) | .55 (119) | 7% (41) | 2.9 (134) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRES Defense | 4 | 53% (89) | 53% (129) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .55 (126) | 1.5 (71) | 32% (78) | 38% (120) | .45 (108) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (50) |
| ORST Offense | 3 | 57% (26) | 50% (32) | 25.7 | 42 | 295.7 | 7 | 11.5 | 5 (54) | 5 (129) | .39 (47) | 1.4 (102) | 31% (72) | 33% (54) | .23 (94) | 8% (121) | 1.7 (112) |
Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State's Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Fresno State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Fresno State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -11.82 Oregon State: -0.275
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Oregon State: -10.5
Fresno State: -11.82 Oregon State: -0.275
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -0.3 Oregon State: -10.5
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Oregon State's Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29
Fresno State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 28
Fresno State 22
Total Points: 50
Oregon State 28
Fresno State 22
Total Points: 50
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35
Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Oregon State | 27 | Fresno State | 36 | Fresno State | Oregon State -1.0 | Fresno State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 09/10 | Fresno State | 32 | Oregon State | 35 | Oregon State | Fresno State -1 | Oregon State | 59.0 | Over |
| 2003 | 09/05 | Fresno State | 16 | Oregon State | 14 | Fresno State | ||||
| 2002 | 09/21 | Oregon State | 59 | Fresno State | 19 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2001 | 09/02 | Fresno State | 44 | Oregon State | 24 | Fresno State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 2 | 1 | 2 Overs |
| Fresno State | 3 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 2 - 3 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
(#109) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has won 1 straight
Fresno State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
Power Rating: -11.82 #109
Offense Rating: 7.37 #92
Defense Rating: 19.19 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 684.00 #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.75 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Fresno State has won 1 straight
Fresno State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Fresno State Notes
(9/1) OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
(8/1) Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
(8/1) OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
(8/1) OC Davis = slow ground combo spread & RPO
(8/1) Pass D good LY & DBs good, A Hamilton big keep
(8/1) QB1 Warner out spring, Conklin (Sac St) added
(6/8) RB Donelson 33/263/8ypc last 3, came on late
(6/3) DE Foreman good, CB Hamilton is a great one
(5/23) DC Benedetto was great at NIU past 3 years
(5/12) Fresno will be physical, biggest spring takeaway
Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State has Really Good Running Game (#5)
Fresno State offense is explosive (#18)
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Fresno State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State has a bad defense (#125)
Fresno State has a bad defensive line (#120)
Fresno State has a bad red zone defense (#115)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ORST | FRES |
| OverallOver | #79 | #64 |
| OffenseOff | #68 | #30 |
| DefenseDef | #86 | #105 |
| Special TeamsST | #113 | #26 |
| PassingPass | #51 | #58 |
| RushingRush | #94 | #11 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #68 | #34 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #70 | #24 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #54 |
| TacklingTkl | #108 | #71 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #79 | #99 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #103 | #98 |
| Coverage DefCov | #89 | #109 |
(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 1 straight
Oregon State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
Power Rating: -0.275 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Oregon State has lost 1 straight
Oregon State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 71 | 98 | 72% | 716 | 4 | 5 | 7.3 |
| Carson Conklin (Tr) | 5 | 6 | 83% | 42 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Donelson | 50 | 325 | 2 | 6.5 | 57 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 36 | 224 | 5 | 6.2 | 44 |
| Elijah Gilliam | 17 | 101 | 2 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Johnathan Arceneaux | 10 | 54 | 1 | 5.4 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Freeman | 11 | 149 | 0 | 13.5 | 30 |
| Ezekiel Avit (Tr) | 13 | 110 | 0 | 8.5 | 17 |
| Bryson Donelson | 8 | 87 | 0 | 10.9 | 39 |
| Rayshon Luke (Tr) | 12 | 80 | 1 | 6.7 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadon Pearson (Tr) | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Camryn Bracha | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Alzillion Hamilton | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Claypool (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Korey Foreman | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Davis | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jahzon Jacks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakari Embry | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| K'Vion Thunderbird (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Simeon Harris (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 76 | 124 | 61% | 893 | 6 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 2 | 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson | 51 | 190 | 1 | 3.7 | 26 |
| Salahadin Allah | 8 | 36 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Gabarri Johnson | 5 | 15 | 0 | 3.0 | 7 |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 10 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 23 | 302 | 0 | 13.1 | 31 |
| Tastean Reddicks | 15 | 213 | 0 | 14.2 | 37 |
| David Wells Jr. | 10 | 151 | 1 | 15.1 | 56 |
| Bryce Caufield | 12 | 67 | 1 | 5.6 | 10 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jaheim Patterson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahjae Mullix (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Thomas Collins | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Shamar Meikle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jalil Tucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Trey Glasper | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |