Fresno State at Washington State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo   Fresno State Bulldogs at Washington State Cougars  Washington State logo
Friday, October 2nd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Martin Stadium - Pullman, WA  ([{"type":"event","headline":"Will be played Oct. 2 or Oct. 3"}])

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
WSU 3rd straight Home Game
WSU is playing their 5th straight game
FRES is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Washington State -6  (SP+ WSU -2)
Projected Score: FRES: 20 - WSU: 26 (45)
WSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
FRES Travel: 698 miles
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirby Moore (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#35)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
Fresno State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Fresno State at USC+28
Sat 9/12 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-5.5
Sat 9/19 Fresno State at San José State-8.5
Sat 9/26 Fresno State vs Rice-13
Fri 10/2 Fresno State at Washington State+6
Sat 10/10 Fresno State vs Boise State+4.5
Sat 10/17 Fresno State at San Diego State+7
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Fresno State vs Oregon State-13.5
Sat 11/7 Fresno State at Utah State-0.5
Sat 11/14 Fresno State at Texas State+7
Sat 11/21 Fresno State vs Colorado State-11.5
Sat 11/28 Fresno State vs TBD-19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Washington State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Washington State at Washington+24
Sat 9/12 Washington State at Kansas State+9.5
Sat 9/19 Washington State vs Duquesne-23
Sat 9/26 Washington State vs Arizona+7
Fri 10/2 Washington State vs Fresno State-6
Fri 10/9 Washington State at Utah State-4.5
Sat 10/17 Washington State at Oregon State-12
Sat 10/24 Washington State vs Boise State+1
Sat 10/31 Washington State at San Diego State+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Washington State vs Colorado State-15
Sat 11/21 Washington State at Texas State+3
Sat 11/28 Washington State vs TBD-23

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#106 (.11)39% (111)25.838% (120)2.79 (102)17141% (78)1833.29 (111)#41 (.11)39% (32)18.843% (78)35% (13)3.26 (33)60.61.52
WSU#92 (.13)42% (73)22.543% (69)2.82 (92)12941% (73)2103.93 (49)#21 (.07)40% (55)20.244% (93)37% (27)3.14 (27)56.11.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1325.826.338.6%3.291.5193541711834.653%45%38%41%15%.11
WSU Defense1320.216.740.5%3.140.8 - - - - - 51%47%44%37%15%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1318.824.838.9%3.262 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%17%.11
WSU Offense1322.526.841.9%3.931.6203401292103.949%50%43%41%16%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.8333.6
Washington State1332:2319.538%71%6.756.11.60.85.22.4029
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)
WSU Defense1351% (87)44% (93) - - - - .08 (55)2.97 (80)71% (70)10% (52)0.83 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
WSU Offense1349% (76)43% (69)33.5129.53.916 (122).09 (78)2.82 (92)68% (95)9% (61)0.85 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)
WSU Defense1347% (47)37% (27) - - - - - - 6.11 (16)1.4 (18)31% (68)23% (7).06 (2)5% (118)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
WSU Offense1350% (64)41% (73)20.131.3210.46.710.519 (61)15 (108).21 (94)1.4 (122)32% (76)27% (100).15 (123)7% (92)1.9 (117)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -10.53  #99
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 1.37  #126
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 16.90  #70
2026 Talent Rating: 658.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
Fresno State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Fresno State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #66
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -10.53   Washington State: 1.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.8   Washington State: 3.8




Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.875  #80
Washington State's Offense Rating: 5.06  #105
Washington State's Defense Rating: 15.11  #56
2026 Talent Rating: 702.00  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Washington State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Washington State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #61
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Washington State 26
Fresno State 20

Projected Total Points: 45
Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Fresno State17Washington State25Washington State -3.5Washington State60.5Under
202212/17Fresno State29Washington State6Fresno State -5.5Fresno State54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington State110 Overs
Fresno State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#99) FRES at (#80) WSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESWSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #99 #80
SP+SP+ #66 #61
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #74
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #99
Washington State Notes
(2/2) Reset w/ Moore, Rogers 1 yr & out (Iowa St)
(2/2) Roster gutted by portal, 39 out, most starters
Washington State Injury Report
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #111 #55
ExplosiveExp #54 #4
PPAPPA #106 #21
PowerPwr #126 #56
SP+SP+ #100 #32
Pts POPPO #111 #27
HavocHav #64 #98
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #93
Run ExplRExp #50 #12
PPAExp #114 #55
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #102 #80
Stuff RateStuff #90 #79
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #27
Pass ExplPExl #77 #18
PPAExp #64 #16
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #52
DB HavocDB #45 #118
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #73 #32
ExplosiveExp #133 #25
PPAPPA #92 #41
PowerPwr #105 #70
SP+SP+ #86 #37
Pts POPPO #49 #33
HavocHav #73 #30
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #78
Run ExplRExp #118 #8
PPAExp #78 #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #92 #92
Stuff RateStuff #97 #50
TackleTak - NR
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #13
Pass ExplPExl #122 #94
PPAExp #94 #25
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #70
DB HavocDB #92 #13
Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Fresno State in 2024 (25-17)

  
FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Khristian Martin (Tr)111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke11069966.469
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Josiah Freeman31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Ezekiel Avit2825509.141
Rayshon Luke3622826.323
Jahlil McClain13169113.043

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Camryn Bracha523004
Finn Claypool4111741
Tytus Khajavi373110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool4111741
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Simeon Harris537105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Camryn Bracha523004

WSU's OC Matt Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Pinnick (Tr)24034570%320632109.3
Julian Dugger2633%39006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Pinnick (Tr)12543733.527
Maxwell Woods3622506.348
Leo Pulalasi3820505.445
Julian Dugger224722.134
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith57725312.748
Jeremiah Noga20221111.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632
Maxwell Woods1814808.233

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large713006
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Matthew Durrance582002
Colby Humphrey532002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti227450
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Linus Zunk (Tr)154340
DJ Warner (Tr)62231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large713006
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Jalil Tucker (Tr)251015