Fresno State at UConn - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Fresno State -23.5 (51.0)
UConn 19 - Fresno State: 14

Bulldogs (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (26 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
FRES coming off BYE
CONN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ FRES -18)
Projected Score: FRES: 30 - CONN: 22 (52)
FRES Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
FRES Travel: 2512 miles, 3 hrs behind

Huskies (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (23 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
CONN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Fresno State vs Cal Poly	-42.5	63.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Fresno State vs Oregon State	-1.0	59.0	L 32 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/17	Fresno State at USC	+11.0	71.0	L 17 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Fresno State at UConn	-23.5	51.0	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/8	Fresno State at Boise State	+9.0	45.0	L 20 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/15	Fresno State vs San José State	+7.0	47.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Fresno State at New Mexico	-9.5	40.0	W 41 - 9	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Fresno State vs San Diego State	-10.0	43.5	W 32 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/5	Fresno State vs Hawai'i	-27.0	62.0	W 55 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/11	Fresno State at UNLV	-9.0	61.5	W 37 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/19	Fresno State at Nevada	-22.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Fresno State vs Wyoming	-15.0	50.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Fresno State at Boise State	+3.0	54.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/17	Fresno State vs Washington State	-5.5	54.0	W 29 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

UConn's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	UConn at Utah State	+24.0	59.0	L 20 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/3	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-20.5	51.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/10	UConn vs Syracuse	+23.5	49.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/17	UConn at Michigan	+47.5	59.0	L 0 - 59	U	N
Sat 9/24	UConn at NC State	+38.5	48.0	L 10 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/1	UConn vs Fresno State	+23.5	51.0	W 19 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	UConn at Florida International	-5.5	46.5	W 33 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/15	UConn at Ball State	+9.5	47.5	L 21 - 25	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	UConn vs Boston College	+8.0	44.0	W 13 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/4	UConn vs Massachusetts	-15.0	39.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	UConn vs Liberty	+13.5	45.0	W 36 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/19	UConn at Army	+10.5	45.0	L 17 - 34	O	N
Mon 12/19	UConn vs Marshall	+11.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.24	47%	30.6	47%	3.07	133	48%	270	4.22	.15	39%	19.4	42%	37%	3.29	41.1	1	1.6
CONN	.11	38%	19.4	43%	3.03	191	32%	112	3.67	.19	47%	26.2	49%	46%	3.69	60.8	1.6	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	30.6	28.3	47.1%	4.22	1	22	403	133	270	4	42%	57%	47%	48%	11%	.24
CONN Defense	13	26.2	18.5	47.2%	3.69	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	46%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	19.4	24.7	39%	3.29	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	42%	37%	18%	.15
CONN Offense	13	19.4	22.8	38.2%	3.67	1.6	16	303	191	112	4.7	62%	36%	43%	32%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	31:16	21.9	46%	50%	4.5	41.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.6	3	30.7
UConn	13	30:17	16.2	37%	39%	7.1	60.8	1.6	2.3	4.2	1.8	0	29.4

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	42%	47%	33.2	133	4	28	.17	3.07	77%	8%	0.86
CONN Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.26	83%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.15	69%	9%	1.04
CONN Offense	13	62%	43%	40.4	190.9	4.7	20	.21	3.03	64%	13%	1.17

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	57%	48%	23.8	33.7	269.6	8	11.3	22	9	.35	1.3	28%	32%	.36	3%	1.8
CONN Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.3	27%	31%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.6	35%	32%	.32	9%	1.9
CONN Offense	13	36%	32%	12.1	21.2	112	5.3	9.3	10	10	.1	1.6	35%	26%	.16	5%	2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3 #59
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #64
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: UConn: -4.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 3.3 UConn: -14.6

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -4.8 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2022 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6 #113
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #126
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #69

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Fresno State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 30
UConn 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 34
UConn 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 26
UConn 21

Total Points: 47

UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

UConn's 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	UConn	19	Fresno State	14	Fresno State -23.5	UConn	51.0	Under
2021	08/28	Fresno State	45	UConn	0	Fresno State -28	Fresno State	63.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	1	1	0 Overs
Fresno State	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) FRES at (#) CONN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	CONN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#113
Perf GradeGrade	#44	#93
OffenseOff	#22	#89
DefenseDef	#85	#76
Spec TeamsST	#28	#129
TalentTal	#79	#129
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

UConn Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CONN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#64	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#25	#91
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#92	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#70	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#13
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Fresno State 23.5 (51.0)
UConn won vs Fresno State this year (19-14)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Fresno State in 2022 (19-14)

FRES's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CONN's OC Nick Charlton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Lou Spanos (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD