Fresno State at Wyoming - 2021 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Wyoming Cowboys

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Fresno State -3 (53.5)
Fresno State 17 - Wyoming: 0 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (6 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (29 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FRES coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ FRES -10)
Projected Score: FRES: 27 - WYO: 28 (55)
FRES Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
FRES Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cowboys (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (41 - 44)
Avg Score : 25 - 24 (19 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	Fresno State vs UConn	-28.0	63.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/4	Fresno State at Oregon	+18.0	62.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Fresno State vs Cal Poly	-32.5	59.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Fresno State at UCLA	+11.0	64.0	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Fresno State vs UNLV	-30.0	59.0	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/2	Fresno State at Hawai'i	-10.5	64.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Fresno State at Wyoming	-3.0	53.5	W 17 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Fresno State vs Nevada	-3.5	64.5	W 34 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/30	Fresno State at San Diego State	-2.0	43.5	W 30 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Fresno State vs Boise State	-4.0	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/13	Fresno State vs New Mexico	-24.0	51.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	Fresno State at San José State	-7.0	52.5	W 40 - 9	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Fresno State vs UTEP	-11.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Wyoming vs Montana State	-19.0	45.0	W 19 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wyoming at Northern Illinois	-7.0	44.0	W 50 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/18	Wyoming vs Ball State	-6.5	53.5	W 45 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Wyoming at UConn	-31.5	53.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Wyoming at Air Force	+5.5	46.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+3.0	53.5	L 0 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-20.0	41.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/30	Wyoming at San José State	+3.0	40.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/6	Wyoming vs Colorado State	+3.0	41.5	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/12	Wyoming at Boise State	+14.0	49.0	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Wyoming at Utah State	+6.0	52.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.0	48.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Tue 12/21	Wyoming vs Kent State	-3.0	61.0	W 52 - 38	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.26	48%	33.4	46%	2.86	137	49%	327	3.86	.11	38%	20.5	41%	36%	3.54	71.2	1.7	2.2
WYO	.22	44%	25.4	47%	3.26	212	40%	163	3.79	.17	41%	23.7	42%	41%	3.2	44.9	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	13	33.4	29.2	47.6%	3.86	1.7	24	464	137	327	4.1	40%	60%	46%	49%	14%	.26
WYO Defense	13	23.7	19	41.2%	3.2	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	42%	41%	13%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	13	20.5	20.7	38.5%	3.54	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	41%	36%	20%	.11
WYO Offense	13	25.4	18.7	44.3%	3.79	1.4	19	374	212	163	5.1	61%	39%	47%	40%	14%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	13	31:26	24.3	43%	53%	7.6	71.2	1.7	2.2	6.9	2.3	0	30.1
Wyoming	13	29:56	18.5	43%	35%	5.1	44.9	1.4	1.4	4.4	1.8	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	13	40%	46%	33.8	137.2	4.1	17	.06	2.86	64%	9%	0.85
WYO Defense	13	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	72%	7%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.81	68%	13%	0.96
WYO Offense	13	61%	47%	41.8	211.7	5.1	24	.23	3.26	77%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	13	60%	49%	26.3	39.5	326.7	8.3	12.4	35	10	.39	1.5	28%	35%	.34	5%	1.9
WYO Defense	13	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.6	33%	31%	.3	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	13	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.17	1.8	34%	28%	.29	7%	2.2
WYO Offense	13	39%	40%	12.5	22.8	162.7	7.1	13.1	15	12	.21	1.6	30%	28%	.35	6%	2.1

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #32
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #27
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #49

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Wyoming: 2.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 10.8 Wyoming: 0.6

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 2.8 NR
Wyoming's Offense Rating: NR
Wyoming's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wyoming's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wyoming's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #76
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #87
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #41

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.2
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Fresno State's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Wyoming 28
Fresno State 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Wyoming 34
Fresno State 28

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Fresno State 27
Wyoming 21

Total Points: 48

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

Wyoming's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Fresno State	24	Wyoming	3	Fresno State -3	Fresno State	40.5	Under
2023	10/07	Wyoming	24	Fresno State	19	Fresno State -5.5	Wyoming	43.0	Push
2022	11/25	Fresno State	30	Wyoming	0	Fresno State -15	Fresno State	50.5	Under
2021	10/16	Wyoming	0	Fresno State	17	Fresno State -3	Fresno State	53.5	Under
2018	10/13	Fresno State	27	Wyoming	3	Fresno State -17.5	Fresno State	44.0	Under
2017	11/18	Wyoming	7	Fresno State	13	Fresno State -2.5	Fresno State	39.0	Under
2014	11/01	Fresno State	17	Wyoming	45	Fresno State -10.5	Wyoming	0
2013	11/09	Wyoming	10	Fresno State	48	Fresno State -10.5	Fresno State	0
2012	10/20	Fresno State	42	Wyoming	14
2009	12/19	Wyoming	35	Fresno State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	3	2	0 Overs
Fresno State	7	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	4 - 6	4 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 3

(#) FRES at (#) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#38	#32
OffenseOff	#67	#38
DefenseDef	#17	#19
Spec TeamsST	#104	#123
TalentTal	#81	#120
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#27	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#51	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#81

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#32	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#102	#55
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#49
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#29	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#27	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#18

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#118	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#37	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Fresno State 3.0 (53.5)
Fresno State won at Wyoming this year (17-0)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Fresno State in 2023 (24-19)
Fresno State beat Wyoming in 2022 (30-0)

FRES's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC William Inge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD