Fresno State at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Wyoming Cowboys

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -5.5 (43.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wyoming 24 - Fresno State: 19 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WYO 3rd straight Home Game
WYO is playing their 6th straight game
FRES is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -0 (SP+ FRES -4.5)
Projected Score: FRES: 23 - WYO: 23 (46)
FRES Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs behind

Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Fresno State at Purdue	+4.0	47.0	W 39 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Fresno State vs Eastern Washington	-31.5	63.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/16	Fresno State at Arizona State	-4.0	48.0	W 29 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Fresno State vs Kent State	-27.5	47.5	W 53 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Fresno State vs Nevada	-25.5	50.5	W 27 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/7	Fresno State at Wyoming	-5.5	43.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Fresno State at Utah State	-5.5	56.0	W 37 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Fresno State vs UNLV	-10.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/4	Fresno State vs Boise State	-2.5	53.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Fresno State at San José State	+2.5	51.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Fresno State vs New Mexico	-22.5	58.5	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/25	Fresno State at San Diego State	-5.5	47.0	L 18 - 33	O	N
Sat 12/16	Fresno State vs New Mexico State	+3.0	52.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wyoming vs Texas Tech	+13.0	50.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Wyoming vs Portland State	-28.0	51.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wyoming at Texas	+31.0	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Wyoming vs App State	-3.0	45.0	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/30	Wyoming vs New Mexico	-14.5	40.5	W 35 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/7	Wyoming vs Fresno State	+5.5	43.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wyoming at Air Force	+12.5	42.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Wyoming at Boise State	+4.5	48.5	L 7 - 32	U	N
Fri 11/3	Wyoming vs Colorado State	-6.0	41.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/10	Wyoming at UNLV	+2.5	48.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wyoming vs Hawai'i	-13.5	45.5	W 42 - 9	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Wyoming at Nevada	-11.0	42.0	W 42 - 6	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Wyoming vs Toledo	-4.5	43.5	W 16 - 15	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#51 (.22)	44% (48)	30.5	40% (103)	2.97 (95)	106	47% (24)	281	4.21 (36)	#66 (.18)	41% (60)	23.5	42% (62)	41% (64)	3.31 (20)	39.8	1.1	1.8
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	25.3	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	22.3	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	#110 (.11)	39% (110)		38% (121)	2.73 (115)	101	41% (76)	242	3.68 (91)	#17 (.08)	40% (51)		43% (74)	38% (33)	3.63 (47)	55	1.3	1.5
WYO	#127 (.05)	36% (126)		39% (111)	2.64 (122)	138	34% (125)	189	3.07 (126)	#102 (.23)	44% (96)		43% (70)	45% (113)	3.97 (86)	49.6	1.3	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	13	30.5	26.7	43.8%	4.21	1.1	21	388	106	281	3.8	37%	62%	40%	47%	15%	.22
WYO Defense	13	22.3	19.7	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	13	23.5	27.7	41.5%	3.31	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	42%	41%	16%	.18
WYO Offense	13	25.3	30.4	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	13	29:21	20.9	48%	64%	4.4	39.8	1.1	1.8	5.5	2.2	1	31.4
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	13	37% (129)	40% (103)	28.4	106.5	3.8	16 (89)	.14 (77)	2.97 (95)	74% (70)	8% (28)	1.01 (62)
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	13	53% (105)	42% (62)	-	-	-	-	.13 (61)	3.16 (84)	68% (42)	9% (95)	0.91 (30)
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	13	62% (5)	47% (24)	25.8	39.6	281.3	7.1	10.9	29 (18)	12 (85)	.3 (65)	1.5 (118)	31% (49)	38% (10)	.43 (37)	7% (93)	1.8 (125)
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	13	46% (28)	41% (64)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.3 (90)	1.7 (93)	32% (60)	33% (106)	.34 (84)	7% (44)	2 (44)
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07 Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5 Wyoming: -3.8

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.7

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 23
Wyoming 23

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
Fresno State 27
Wyoming 17

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Wyoming 27
Fresno State 25

Total Points: 52

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Fresno State	24	Wyoming	3	Fresno State -3	Fresno State	40.5	Under
2023	10/07	Wyoming	24	Fresno State	19	Fresno State -5.5	Wyoming	43.0	Push
2022	11/25	Fresno State	30	Wyoming	0	Fresno State -15	Fresno State	50.5	Under
2021	10/16	Wyoming	0	Fresno State	17	Fresno State -3	Fresno State	53.5	Under
2018	10/13	Fresno State	27	Wyoming	3	Fresno State -17.5	Fresno State	44.0	Under
2017	11/18	Wyoming	7	Fresno State	13	Fresno State -2.5	Fresno State	39.0	Under
2014	11/01	Fresno State	17	Wyoming	45	Fresno State -10.5	Wyoming	0
2013	11/09	Wyoming	10	Fresno State	48	Fresno State -10.5	Fresno State	0
2012	10/20	Fresno State	42	Wyoming	14
2009	12/19	Wyoming	35	Fresno State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	3	2	0 Overs
Fresno State	7	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	4 - 6	4 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 3

(#59) FRES at (#68) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#59	#68
SP+SP+	#63	#78
Perf GradeGrade	#63	#29
OffenseOff	#44	#40
DefenseDef	#100	#24
Spec TeamsST	#74	#38
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#69

Fresno State Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#44	#24
SuccessSuc	#48	#77
ExplosiveExp	#62	#29
PPAPPA	#51	#76
PowerPwr	#53	#63
SP+SP+	#58	#65
Pts POPPO	#36	#40
HavocHav	#45	#118

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#84	#26
Run SuccessRSuc	#103	#58
Run ExplRExp	#62	#38
PPAExp	#77	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	#95	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#113	#100
TackleTak	-	#62

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#28	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#118	#25
PPAExp	#65	#79
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#64
F7 HavocF7	#28	#130
DB HavocDB	#93	#59

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#100
SuccessSuc	#56	#60
ExplosiveExp	#103	#52
PPAPPA	#71	#66
PowerPwr	#57	#45
SP+SP+	#81	#82
Pts POPPO	#60	#20
HavocHav	#30	#77

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	#80	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#62
Run ExplRExp	#66	#30
PPAExp	#53	#61
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#84
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#62
TackleTak	-	#100

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#64
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#93
PPAExp	#86	#90
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#79
F7 HavocF7	#53	#95
DB HavocDB	#20	#44

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 57° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Fresno State 5.5 (43.0)
Wyoming won vs Fresno State this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Fresno State in 2023 (24-19)
Fresno State beat Wyoming in 2022 (30-0)

FRES's OC Pat McCann (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mikey Keene (Tr)	282	419	67%	2976	24	10	7.1
Logan Fife	52	92	57%	630	3	2	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Sherrod	172	967	9	5.6	72
Elijah Gilliam	96	396	5	4.1	24
Logan Fife	28	52	1	1.9	16
Devon Rivers	12	44	0	3.7	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Erik Brooks	59	771	5	13.1	49
Jalen Moss	55	706	6	12.8	60
Jaelen Gill (Tr)	50	525	6	10.5	65
Mac Dalena	46	508	3	11.0	39

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Kevin Coyle (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dean Clark (Tr)	80	1	0	2	3
Malachi Langley	79	5	1	1	0
Levelle Bailey	78	6	3	0	5
Morice Norris	57	10	4	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Holmes	17	8	5	1	0
Morice Norris	57	10	4	0	10
Devo Bridges	50	8	4	7	1
Levelle Bailey	78	6	3	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Morice Norris	57	10	4	0	10
Carlton Johnson	52	1	0	1	7
Alzillion Hamilton	31	0	0	0	7

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Andrew Peasley	166	266	62%	1991	20	5	7.5
Evan Svoboda	23	38	61%	200	0	1	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)	164	947	5	5.8	75
Andrew Peasley	110	419	7	3.8	43
Sam Scott	51	241	2	4.7	19
Jamari Ferrell	50	184	1	3.7	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wyatt Wieland	44	480	5	10.9	40
Ayir Asante (Tr)	21	372	6	17.7	66
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	23	360	3	15.7	89
Treyton Welch	31	308	2	9.9	32

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5
Shae Suiaunoa	89	5	2	2	2
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	0	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeVonne Harris	31	4	4	8	4
Braden Siders	24	5	4	3	2
Sabastian Harsh	47	9	3	1	1
Easton Gibbs	101	4	2	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jakorey Hawkins	39	1	0	8
Wyett Ekeler	70	4	2	6
Isaac White	54	2	1	6