Fresno State at Wyoming - 2023 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Wyoming CowboysWyoming logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Fresno State -5.5 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Wyoming 24 - Fresno State: 19  (Mountain West)

 
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WYO 3rd straight Home Game
WYO is playing their 6th straight game
FRES is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -0   (SP+ FRES -4.5)

Projected Score: FRES: 24 - WYO: 24 (48)
FRES Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FRES Travel: 821 miles, 1 hrs behind
Cowboys (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (54 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Fresno State at Purdue+4.047.0W 39 - 35OY
Sat 9/9 Fresno State vs Eastern Washington-31.563.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Arizona State-4.048.0W 29 - 0UY
Sat 9/23 Fresno State vs Kent State-27.547.5W 53 - 10OY
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-25.550.5W 27 - 9UN
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at Wyoming-5.543.0L 19 - 24UN
Fri 10/13 Fresno State at Utah State-5.556.0W 37 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-10.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs Boise State-2.553.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at San José State+2.551.5L 18 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Fresno State vs New Mexico-22.558.5L 17 - 25UN
Sat 11/25 Fresno State at San Diego State-5.547.0L 18 - 33ON
Sat 12/16 Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Wyoming's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Wyoming vs Texas Tech+13.050.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 9/9 Wyoming vs Portland State-28.051.0W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Wyoming at Texas+31.048.5L 10 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Wyoming vs App State-3.045.0W 22 - 19UN
Sat 9/30 Wyoming vs New Mexico-14.540.5W 35 - 26ON
Sat 10/7 Wyoming vs Fresno State+5.543.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/14 Wyoming at Air Force+12.542.0L 27 - 34OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Wyoming at Boise State+4.548.5L 7 - 32UN
Fri 11/3 Wyoming vs Colorado State-6.041.0W 24 - 15UY
Fri 11/10 Wyoming at UNLV+2.548.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Wyoming vs Hawai'i-13.545.5W 42 - 9OY
Sat 11/25 Wyoming at Nevada-11.042.0W 42 - 6OY
Sat 12/30 Wyoming vs Toledo-4.543.5W 16 - 15UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#51 (.22)44% (48)30.540% (103)2.97 (95)10647% (24)2814.21 (36)#66 (.18)41% (60)23.542% (62)41% (64)3.31 (20)39.81.11.8
WYO#71 (.19)43% (56)25.344% (60)3.25 (41)15843% (59)1693.97 (60)#76 (.19)43% (77)22.342% (58)44% (104)3.44 (40)33.40.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#110 (.11)39% (110)38% (121)2.73 (115)10141% (76)2423.68 (91)#17 (.08)40% (51)43% (74)38% (33)3.63 (47)551.31.5
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1330.526.743.8%4.211.1213881062813.837%62%40%47%15%.22
WYO Defense1322.319.742.6%3.441.7 - - - - - 48%51%42%44%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1323.527.741.5%3.311.8 - - - - - 53%46%42%41%16%.18
WYO Offense1325.330.443.1%3.970.8193271581694.456%44%44%43%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1329:2120.948%64%4.439.81.11.85.52.2131.4
Wyoming1330:1518.637%67%3.933.40.81.73.81.5128.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1337% (129)40% (103)28.4106.53.816 (89).14 (77)2.97 (95)74% (70)8% (28)1.01 (62)
WYO Defense1348% (47)42% (58) - - - - .13 (64)3.17 (86)71% (55)7% (130)0.94 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1353% (105)42% (62) - - - - .13 (61)3.16 (84)68% (42)9% (95)0.91 (30)
WYO Offense1356% (28)44% (60)36158.54.419 (69).17 (53)3.25 (41)82% (11)9% (53)1 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1362% (5)47% (24)25.839.6281.37.110.929 (18)12 (85).3 (65)1.5 (118)31% (49)38% (10).43 (37)7% (93)1.8 (125)
WYO Defense1351% (87)44% (104) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (79)1.5 (25)32% (74)31% (81).33 (77)6% (59)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1346% (28)41% (64) - - - - - - 17 (3).3 (90)1.7 (93)32% (60)33% (106).34 (84)7% (44)2 (44)
WYO Offense1344% (106)43% (59)14.523.4168.57.211.620 (70)6 (14).23 (86)1.5 (101)29% (23)32% (61).3 (80)5% (20)2 (85)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07   Wyoming: 0.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5   Wyoming: -3.8




Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Wyoming's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Wyoming's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.7

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 24
Wyoming 24


Total Points: 48

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Wyoming's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Wyoming24Fresno State19WyomingFresno State -5.5Wyoming43.0Push
202211/25Fresno State30Wyoming0Fresno StateFresno State -15Fresno State50.5Under
202110/16Wyoming0Fresno State17Fresno StateFresno State -3Fresno State53.5Under
201810/13Fresno State27Wyoming3Fresno StateFresno State -17.5Fresno State44.0Under
201711/18Wyoming7Fresno State13Fresno StateFresno State -2.5Fresno State39.0Under
201411/01Fresno State17Wyoming45WyomingFresno State -10.5Wyoming0
201311/09Wyoming10Fresno State48Fresno StateFresno State -10.5Fresno State0
201210/20Fresno State42Wyoming14Fresno State
200912/19Wyoming35Fresno State28Wyoming
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wyoming320 Overs
Fresno State654 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 42 - 11 - 3
Road Teams4 - 54 - 33 - 11 - 2

(#59) Fresno State Info
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50


Fresno State has won 5 straight
Fresno State has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Fresno State Highlights
Fresno State offense is good on 3rd downs
Fresno State defense is really good in red zone (#115)
Fresno State has a great TO Margin (#131)
Fresno State commits very few Penalties (#75)
Fresno State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Fresno State Deficiencies
Fresno State Can Not Run the Ball (#5)
Fresno State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#100)
Fresno State run game is really bad (#70)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWYOFRES
OverallOver#24#51
OffenseOff#37#41
DefenseDef#20#77
Special TeamsST#33#60
PassingPass#39#22
RushingRush#56#60
Run BlockRBLK#4#65
Pass BlockPBLK#84#40
Route RunningWR Rt#67#40
TacklingTkl#54#86
Run DefenseR Def#23#100
Pass Rush DefPRush#51#62
Coverage DefCov#46#44

Rematch from Week 6
Fresno State 5.5 (43.0)
Wyoming won vs Fresno State this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
Wyoming beat Fresno State in 2023 (24-19)
Fresno State beat Wyoming in 2022 (30-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FRES | WYO
Depth Chart: FRES | WYO
Rosters: FRES | WYO
(#68) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: 0.215 #68
Offense Rating: 17.46 #57
Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.8 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #65
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90


Wyoming has won 2 straight
Wyoming has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (4 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Wyoming Highlights
Wyoming is Undefeated at Home
Wyoming is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Wyoming defense does not give up big plays (#3)
Wyoming has a great TO Margin (#54)
Wyoming commits very few Penalties (#95)

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming offense is not Explosive (#122)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)
Wyoming Does Not Stuff Runs (#109)


  
Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mikey Keene (Tr)28241967%297624107.1
Logan Fife529257%630326.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Sherrod17296795.672
Elijah Gilliam9639654.124
Logan Fife285211.916
Devon Rivers124403.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Erik Brooks59771513.149
Jalen Moss55706612.860
Jaelen Gill (Tr)50525610.565
Mac Dalena46508311.039

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dean Clark (Tr)801023
Malachi Langley795110
Levelle Bailey786305
Morice Norris57104010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Holmes178510
Morice Norris57104010
Devo Bridges508471
Levelle Bailey786305
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Morice Norris57104010
Carlton Johnson521017
Alzillion Hamilton310007

Wyoming's OC Tim Polasek
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Andrew Peasley16626662%19912057.5
Evan Svoboda233861%200015.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Waylee (Tr)16494755.875
Andrew Peasley11041973.843
Sam Scott5124124.719
Jamari Ferrell5018413.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Wieland44480510.940
Ayir Asante (Tr)21372617.766
Johnmichael Gyllenborg23360315.789
Treyton Welch3130829.932

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Jay Sawvel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Gibbs1014235
Shae Suiaunoa895222
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeVonne Harris314484
Braden Siders245432
Sabastian Harsh479311
Easton Gibbs1014235
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakorey Hawkins391008
Wyett Ekeler704206
Isaac White542106