Fresno State at Purdue Game Matchup
Fresno State logo Fresno State Bulldogs at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -4 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Fresno State 39 - Purdue: 35

 
Bulldogs (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Tedford (39 - 18)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (21 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Fresno State -3   (SP+ FRES -8)
Projected Score: FRES: 26 - PUR: 23 (53)
PUR Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FRES Travel: 1780 miles, 3 hrs behind
Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Fresno State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Fresno State at Purdue+4.047.0W 39 - 35OY
Sat 9/9 Fresno State vs Eastern Washington-31.563.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 Fresno State at Arizona State-4.048.0W 29 - 0UY
Sat 9/23 Fresno State vs Kent State-27.547.5W 53 - 10OY
Sat 9/30 Fresno State vs Nevada-25.550.5W 27 - 9UN
Sat 10/7 Fresno State at Wyoming-5.543.0L 19 - 24UN
Fri 10/13 Fresno State at Utah State-5.556.0W 37 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Fresno State vs UNLV-10.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/4 Fresno State vs Boise State-2.553.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Fresno State at San José State+2.551.5L 18 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Fresno State vs New Mexico-22.558.5L 17 - 25UN
Sat 11/25 Fresno State at San Diego State-5.547.0L 18 - 33ON
Sat 12/16 Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Purdue's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Purdue vs Fresno State-4.047.0L 35 - 39ON
Sat 9/9 Purdue at Virginia Tech+1.549.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Purdue vs Syracuse+1.056.5L 20 - 35UN
Fri 9/22 Purdue vs Wisconsin+5.554.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Purdue vs Illinois-1.054.0W 44 - 19OY
Sat 10/7 Purdue at Iowa+2.538.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Purdue vs Ohio State+17.553.0L 7 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Purdue at Nebraska-1.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/4 Purdue at Michigan+32.552.5L 13 - 41OY
Sat 11/11 Purdue vs Minnesota+1.548.5W 49 - 30OY
Sat 11/18 Purdue at Northwestern+2.547.5L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Purdue vs Indiana-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES.2447%26.147%3.0713348%2704.22.1539%24.842%37%3.2941.111.6
PUR.1544%15.847%312143%2783.52.1641%39.942%41%4.3853.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1426.121.247.1%4.22122403133270442%57%47%48%11%.24
PUR Defense1439.93440.8%4.381.7 - - - - - 50%49%42%41%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1424.831.239%3.291.6 - - - - - 51%48%42%37%18%.15
PUR Offense1415.81643.7%3.521.6233991212783.641%58%47%43%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1431:1621.946%50%4.541.111.65.11.6330.7
Purdue1431:512338%55%5.353.41.61.74.31.9328.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1442%47%33.2133428.173.0777%8%0.86
PUR Defense1450%42% - - - - .123.0471%9%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1451%42% - - - - .173.1569%9%1.04
PUR Offense1441%47%33.4121.13.617.09379%6%0.76

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1457%48%23.833.7269.6811.3229.351.328%32%.363%1.8
PUR Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 15.281.630%23%.097%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1448%37% - - - - - - 12.161.635%32%.329%1.9
PUR Offense1458%43%26.341.5278.26.710.62617.241.430%28%.187%1.8

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
2023 Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Fresno State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
Fresno State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.07   Purdue: -2.56

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 0.5   Purdue: -7.4




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Fresno State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 26
Purdue 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Purdue35Fresno State39Fresno StatePurdue -4Fresno State47.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue001 Overs
Fresno State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#59) Fresno State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.07 #59
Offense Rating: 18.02 #53
Defense Rating: 7.82 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #63
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 498.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile






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Fresno State     Ratings Matchup     Purdue
Power #59
#81
Off #53
#90
Def #45
#83
Talent #89
#65
SP+ #63
#90
SP+ Off #58
#89
SP+ Def #82
#72

Rematch from Week 1
Purdue -4.0 (47.0)
Fresno State won at Purdue this year (39-35)

Previous Matchups
Fresno State beat Purdue in 2023 (39-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: FRES | PUR
Depth Chart: FRES | PUR
Rosters: FRES | PUR
(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.56 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile






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Fresno State's OC Pat McCann
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Logan Fife15724664%17811327.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Logan Fife5212052.322
Mac Dalena53907.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mac Dalena60998816.675
Tre Watson21280113.333
Artis Cole12152112.730
Jake Boust43007.510

View Fresno State's Full Roster
Fresno State's DC Kevin Coyle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)1027003
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark (Tr)563224
Devo Bridges497261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Langley733370
Dean Clark (Tr)563224
Devo Bridges497261
Kemari Bailey52100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Lockridge372006
Dean Clark (Tr)563224
Tuasivi Nomura (Tr)1027003

Purdue's OC Graham Harrell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hudson Card (Tr)14424858%1641976.6
Christian Gelov1333%26008.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Downing4415213.515
Deion Burks53206.411
Christian Gelov112012.012
Ben Furtney1-50-5.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Elijah Canion25354314.250
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen21254012.151
Deion Burks3124537.920

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
O.C. Brothers473021
Nic Caraway3714442
Clyde Washington363010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kydran Jenkins8313751
Nic Caraway3714442
Khordae Sydnor147422
Prince Boyd Jr.31101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Markevious Brown (Tr)90003
Nic Caraway3714442
Braxton Myers (Tr)312002