Fresno State at Utah State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo   Fresno State Bulldogs at Utah State Aggies  Utah State logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Romney Stadium - Logan, UT  (Pac-12)

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#42)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
USU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Fresno State -0.5  (SP+ FRES -5)
Projected Score: FRES: 27 - USU: 26 (53)
FRES Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
FRES Travel: 545 miles, 1 hrs behind
Aggies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (38 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#56)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
Fresno State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Fresno State at USC+28
Sat 9/12 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-5.5
Sat 9/19 Fresno State at San José State-8.5
Sat 9/26 Fresno State vs Rice-13
Fri 10/2 Fresno State at Washington State+6
Sat 10/10 Fresno State vs Boise State+4.5
Sat 10/17 Fresno State at San Diego State+7
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/30 Fresno State vs Oregon State-13.5
Sat 11/7 Fresno State at Utah State-0.5
Sat 11/14 Fresno State at Texas State+7
Sat 11/21 Fresno State vs Colorado State-11.5
Sat 11/28 Fresno State vs TBD-19

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Utah State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Utah State vs Idaho State-16
Sat 9/12 Utah State at Washington+30.5
Sat 9/19 Utah State at Utah+26.5
Sat 9/26 Utah State vs Troy-3
Sat 10/3 Utah State at Boise State+12.5
Fri 10/9 Utah State vs Washington State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Utah State at Texas State+10
Sat 10/31 Utah State vs Colorado State-8
Sat 11/7 Utah State vs Fresno State+0.5
Sat 11/14 Utah State at San Diego State+10.5
Sat 11/21 Utah State at Oregon State-5
Sat 11/28 Utah State vs TBD-16

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#106 (.11)39% (111)25.838% (120)2.79 (102)17141% (78)1833.29 (111)#41 (.11)39% (32)18.843% (78)35% (13)3.26 (33)60.61.52
USU#47 (.2)41% (91)30.942% (89)2.87 (81)16341% (85)2474.49 (16)#112 (.22)43% (91)28.745% (99)42% (70)3.77 (76)60.20.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1325.826.338.6%3.291.5193541711834.653%45%38%41%15%.11
USU Defense1328.719.543.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%13%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1318.824.838.9%3.262 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%17%.11
USU Offense1330.938.340.9%4.490.8214101632474.847%52%42%41%16%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.8333.6
Utah State1327:1420.635%54%7.660.20.81.34.92.2128.2
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)
USU Defense1347% (28)45% (99) - - - - .21 (124)3.18 (116)70% (61)7% (127)1.04 (105)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
USU Offense1347% (95)42% (89)34.2162.94.825 (40).19 (31)2.87 (81)71% (75)11% (119)1.16 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)
USU Defense1352% (111)42% (70) - - - - - - 13 (38).24 (62)1.5 (24)29% (112)33% (114).37 (107)6% (57)1.9 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
USU Offense1352% (45)41% (85)18.631246.9813.326 (14)5 (7).24 (70)1.5 (67)33% (98)31% (56).36 (47)5% (28)2.1 (60)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: -10.53  #99
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 1.37  #126
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 16.90  #70
2026 Talent Rating: 658.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #99
Fresno State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Fresno State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #66
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: -10.53   Utah State: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.8   Utah State: -3.1




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: -4.895  #110
Utah State's Offense Rating: 7.36  #89
Utah State's Defense Rating: 24.05  #123
2026 Talent Rating: 546.00  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #99
Utah State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Utah State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.1  #79
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #53
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #98

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 627.25
Average Power Five Talent: 897.88
Average FBS Talent: 712.17


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 27
Utah State 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Utah State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Fresno State17Utah State28Fresno State -1.5Utah State50.5Under
202310/13Utah State32Fresno State37Fresno State -5.5Utah State56.0Over
202011/14Utah State16Fresno State35Fresno State -10.5Fresno State51.5Under
201911/09Fresno State35Utah State37Fresno State -5Utah State59.0Over
201610/22Utah State38Fresno State20Utah State -14Utah State51.0Over
201510/10Fresno State14Utah State56Utah State -10Utah State50.0Over
201312/07Fresno State24Utah State17Fresno State -6Fresno State0
201110/15Fresno State31Utah State21
201009/18Utah State24Fresno State41
200910/31Fresno State31Utah State27
200810/25Utah State28Fresno State30
200711/03Fresno State38Utah State27
200610/07Utah State13Fresno State12
200510/15Fresno State53Utah State21
200112/01Fresno State70Utah State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State554 Overs
Fresno State1022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 73 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams7 - 84 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#99) FRES at (#110) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #99 #110
SP+SP+ #66 #79
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #102
Blue ChipsBC% #99 #99
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #111 #91
ExplosiveExp #54 #65
PPAPPA #106 #112
PowerPwr #126 #123
SP+SP+ #100 #98
Pts POPPO #111 #76
HavocHav #64 #114
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #99
Run ExplRExp #50 #105
PPAExp #114 #124
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #102 #116
Stuff RateStuff #90 #108
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #70
Pass ExplPExl #77 #24
PPAExp #64 #62
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #127
DB HavocDB #45 #57
Utah State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUSU OffFRES Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #91 #32
ExplosiveExp #18 #25
PPAPPA #47 #41
PowerPwr #89 #70
SP+SP+ #53 #37
Pts POPPO #16 #33
HavocHav #87 #30
Utah State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
USU OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #78
Run ExplRExp #9 #8
PPAExp #31 #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #81 #92
Stuff RateStuff #91 #50
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatUSU OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #85 #13
Pass ExplPExl #67 #94
PPAExp #70 #25
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #119 #70
DB HavocDB #28 #13
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Utah State beat Fresno State last year (28-17)
Fresno State beat Utah State in 2023 (37-32)

  
FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Khristian Martin (Tr)111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke11069966.469
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Josiah Freeman31705.79
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Ezekiel Avit2825509.141
Rayshon Luke3622826.323
Jahlil McClain13169113.043

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Camryn Bracha523004
Finn Claypool4111741
Tytus Khajavi373110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool4111741
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Simeon Harris537105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Camryn Bracha523004

USU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Garcia6786%794011.3
McCae Hillstead (Tr)4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Jacobs6542956.658
Sesi Vailahi (Tr)4215223.614
Noah White259303.720
Anthony Garcia117516.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Robinson (Tr)58599410.346
Javen Jacobs4337938.830
Anthony Garcia20348217.474
Eli Wood (Tr)16205212.838

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC Nick Howell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
Carson Tujague714151
Tyree Morris466411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyree Morris466411
Chris Joe416431
Bronson Olevao888463
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brevin Hamblin1103208
Bronson Olevao888463
Noah Flores261102