Duke Team Profile

Duke Blue Devils (@DukeFootball)
Manny Diaz (3rd year) (18-9) #52
Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0) | Proj: 7 - 5 (#51) | SOS: (#46)
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Overview
Schedule
Stats
Roster
Notes
Records
Recruiting
Bowls

Duke's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Duke vs Tulane	-8
Sat 9/12	Duke at Illinois	+8.5
Sat 9/19	Duke vs Stanford	-14
Sat 9/26	Duke vs William & Mary	-30.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Duke at Georgia Tech	+4.5
Sat 10/17	Duke vs North Carolina	-10.5
Fri 10/23	Duke at Virginia	+7.5
Sat 10/31	Duke vs Boston College	-12.5
Fri 11/6	Duke at NC State	+4.5
Sat 11/14	Duke at Miami	+20
Sat 11/21	Duke vs Clemson	+2
Sat 11/28	Duke at Wake Forest	+4

Record Prediction: 7 - 5 #51
Schedule Rating: #46
Future 2027 Schedule

Duke's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Duke vs Elon	-36.5	51.5	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/6	Duke vs Illinois	+2.5	49.0	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/13	Duke at Tulane	+1.5	52.5	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/20	Duke vs NC State	-3.0	57.5	W 45 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Duke at Syracuse	-4.0	59.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Duke at California	-3.5	54.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Duke vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	60.5	L 18 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Duke at Clemson	+4.5	55.5	W 46 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Duke at UConn	-7.5	63.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/15	Duke vs Virginia	-5.5	59.5	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/22	Duke at North Carolina	-6.5	50.5	W 32 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Duke vs Wake Forest	-2.5	54.0	W 49 - 32	O	Y
Sat 12/6	Duke vs Virginia	+3.5	58.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Wed 12/31	Duke vs Arizona State	-4.0	49.5	W 42 - 39	O	N

2025 Schedule Rating: #46
2025 Record: 9 - 5 (ACC: 7 - 2)
Spread Record 7 - 7 - 0 | O/U 10 - 4

Opponents: 1 Elite, 6 Good, 0 Avg, 4 Bad, 0 Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 4 Good, 4 Avg, 2 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules

Duke's 2024 Schedule
Fri 8/30	Duke vs Elon	-24.5	47.5	W 26 - 3	U	N
Fri 9/6	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	37.5	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Duke vs UConn	-17.5	46.5	W 26 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Duke at Middle Tennessee	-14.5	51.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Duke vs North Carolina	+1.0	55.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Duke at Georgia Tech	+10.0	52.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Duke vs Florida State	-2.5	43.0	W 23 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Duke vs SMU	+11.5	49.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Duke at Miami	+21.0	55.5	L 31 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/9	Duke at NC State	+3.5	51.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Duke vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	45.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Duke at Wake Forest	-3.5	53.5	W 23 - 17	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Duke vs Ole Miss	+17.5	50.5	L 20 - 52	O	N

Duke's 2023 Schedule
Mon 9/4	Duke vs Clemson	+12.5	54.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Duke vs Lafayette	-42.5	49.0	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Duke vs Northwestern	-17.0	48.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Duke at UConn	-22.0	45.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Duke vs Notre Dame	+5.5	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Duke vs NC State	-3.5	44.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Duke at Florida State	+14.0	49.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Duke at Louisville	+5.0	47.0	L 0 - 23	U	N
Thu 11/2	Duke vs Wake Forest	-6.5	41.0	W 24 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/11	Duke at North Carolina	+9.5	52.5	L 45 - 47	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Duke at Virginia	-4.0	48.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/25	Duke vs Pittsburgh	-4.5	40.5	W 30 - 19	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Duke vs Troy	+7.0	44.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y

Duke's 2022 Schedule
Fri 9/2	Duke vs Temple	-9.5	51.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Duke at Northwestern	+10.0	56.5	W 31 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-30.5	53.0	W 49 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/24	Duke at Kansas	+7.5	66.0	L 27 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/1	Duke vs Virginia	-2.0	55.0	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Duke at Georgia Tech	-3.5	54.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/15	Duke vs North Carolina	+7.0	70.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Duke at Miami	+10.0	59.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4	Duke at Boston College	-11.5	47.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Duke vs Virginia Tech	-10.0	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Duke at Pittsburgh	+6.5	49.0	L 26 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Duke vs Wake Forest	+3.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Wed 12/28	Duke vs UCF	-3.5	63.0	W 30 - 13	U	Y

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

2026 class: 189 points   #67
2025 class: 221 points   #27
2024 class: 184 points   #64
2023 class: 192 points   #60
2022 class: 187 points   #55

Average Class Ranking:   #55
Average Recruiting Points: 195

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average P4
4 Year Class: #53 - Best: #27 Worst: #67

CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 221  #40
Power 4 Class: 229  #40
FBS Class: 198  #70

2021 class: 180 points   #48
2020 class: 176 points   #63
2019 class: 196 points   #47
2018 class: 177 points   #65
2017 class: 184 points   #42

Average Class Ranking:   #53
Average Recruiting Points: 183

Transfer Portal Classes
2026 Portal Class #57 - 17 players, 86 Avg
2025 Portal Class #63 - 9 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class #43 - 22 players, 86 Avg
2023 Portal Class #58 - 9 players, 86 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes

Transfer Portal Classes
2022 Portal Class #87 - 8 players, 85 Avg
2021 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg

Offensive Coordinator Jonathan Brewer (been OC for 3 years) #49

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Walker Eget (Tr)	232	393	59%	3058	17	9	7.8
Ari Patu (Tr)	48	95	51%	517	5	4	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Sheppard	200	1132	11	5.7	60
Ari Patu (Tr)	44	133	1	3.0	25
CJ Campbell	22	119	0	5.4	22
Walker Eget (Tr)	33	96	0	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jared Richardson (Tr)	80	1033	12	12.9	76
Javen Nicholas (Tr)	60	740	5	12.3	64
Jeremiah Hasley	40	454	6	11.4	56
Nate Sheppard	37	286	1	7.7	20

(Tr) - new transfer in 2026

Defensive Coordinator Jonathan Patke (been DC for 3 years) #112

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
DaShawn Stone	86	2	0	1	3
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)	70	1	0	0	3
Landan Callahan	42	0	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elliott Schaper	16	2	2	0	0
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
Kendall Johnson	37	3	1	4	2
Tyshon Reed	23	3	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Flowers (Tr)	33	1	0	0	4
Luke Mergott	91	8	2	9	3
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)	70	1	0	0	3

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 57% #96
Offense Returning Production: 59% #88
Defense Returning Production: 55% #87
Duke's Official Roster

Transfer Portal
2026 Portal Class #57
17 Commits, 85.6 Avg Rating
22% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 20% TY

Team Talent
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00 #56
Offense Talent #65 | Defense Talent #43
2025 #48 | 2024 #58 | 2023 #67 | 2022 #62

2026 - 2023 Records
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2025 Record: 9 - 5
2025 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 7 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 10 - 4

2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 4 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

Four Year Record: 26 - 14
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 22 - 17 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 16 - 9

2022 - 2019 Records
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2021 Record: 3 - 9
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2020 Record: 2 - 9
2020 Conf Record: 1 - 9
Spread: 4 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 5

2019 Record: 5 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

Eight Year Record: 45 - 43
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 44 - 43 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 34

Duke Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2025	Sun Bowl	Duke vs Arizona State	-4.0	49.5	W 42 - 39
2024	Gator Bowl	Duke vs Ole Miss	+17.5	50.5	L 20 - 52
2023	Birmingham Bowl	Duke vs Troy	+7.0	44.0	W 17 - 10
2022	Military Bowl	Duke vs UCF	-3.5	63.0	W 30 - 13
2018	Independence Bowl	Duke vs Temple	+3.5	56.5	W 56 - 27
2017	Lane Bowl	Duke vs Northern Illinois	-4.5	48.0	W 36 - 14

Power Ranking Stats (2025)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2025	.25 (25)	1.33 (30)	46% (30)	4.32 (26)	31.3 (20)	39%	74%	.23 (116)	1.35 (120)	44% (98)	4.39 (129)	27.7 (43)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.12 (109)	1.26 (84)	39% (116)	3.7 (90)	31.2 (24)	29%	38%	.06 (10)	1.17 (22)	38% (16)	3.19 (17)	28.6 (58)

More Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2025	14	29:43	22.5	39%	74%	6.4	62.7	1	1.7	6.7	1.9	3

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	13	25:05	16.3	29%	38%	5.1	48.9	1.4	2	8.5	3.2	1

Overall Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2025 Offense	14	34.6	32.2	37	46% (30)	4.32 (26)	1	23	424	138	285	4.3	44% (112)	55% (21)	45% (51)	47% (20)	15% (67)	.25 (25)
2025 Defense	14	29.4	31.3	27.5	43.8% (98)	4.39 (129)	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48% (49)	50% (86)	43% (73)	46% (119)	17% (36)	.23 (116)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	13	26.3	25.7	28.4	38.6% (116)	3.7 (90)	1.4	16	315	89	226	3.3	44% (110)	56% (24)	35% (129)	42% (69)	19% (115)	.12 (109)
2024 Defense	13	24.5	19.3	26	37.6% (16)	3.19 (17)	2	-	-	-	-	-	52% (81)	48% (53)	41% (51)	34% (5)	23% (2)	.06 (10)

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2025 Offense	14	44% (112)	45% (51)	32.4	138.2	4.3	26 (60)	.08 (85)	2.8 (99)	69% (85)	10% (79)	0.97 (65)
2025 Defense	14	48% (49)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.1 (68)	2.62 (19)	73% (85)	12% (14)	1.03 (101)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	13	44% (110)	35% (129)	27.5	89.2	3.3	13 (105)	-.07 (133)	2.47 (131)	78% (32)	10% (78)	0.74 (131)
2024 Defense	13	52% (81)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.06 (35)	2.74 (28)	59% (6)	15% (2)	0.91 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2025 Offense	14	55% (21)	47% (20)	24	36.1	285.4	7.9	11.9	34 (14)	6 (7)	.39 (24)	1.6 (44)	30% (39)	33% (37)	.4 (30)	6% (55)	2.2 (13)
2025 Defense	14	50% (86)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (22)	.41 (125)	1.6 (107)	32% (56)	34% (123)	.44 (128)	6% (86)	2 (77)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	13	56% (24)	42% (69)	19.6	32.5	226.1	7	11.5	26 (26)	12 (85)	.28 (55)	1.6 (56)	32% (73)	29% (98)	.3 (82)	9% (129)	2 (78)
2024 Defense	13	48% (53)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.06 (7)	1.5 (39)	34% (35)	29% (41)	.27 (53)	7% (28)	2.1 (69)

Overall

Team Info

Power #49SP+ #44

Record Prediction: 7 - 5 #51

Coaching staff Rank #65

Record

0 - 0
ACC 0 - 0

Vs Spread0 - 0 - 0Totals0 - 0

One Score Games '25: (4-2)(10-3 under M.D.)

5 Year Profile

Consistent Below Avg P4

'26 Profile

Remains Below Avg P4

Performance #37

Special Teams #40

Returning Production

From 2025

57% #104

QB Walker Eget (SJSU Portal) likely starter

Offense 59% #88

Defense 55% #87

Returning Starters: 7 (Off: 4) - (Def: 3)

Proj Portal Starters: 2 (Off: 1) - (Def: 1)

Exp'd Depth: 10 (Off: 1) - (Def: 9)

OL Prod: 57% #652 starters, 1 exp'd depth

OL Snaps: 3,347 #50From Portal: 1165 #57

Rush Prod: 72% #56

Rec Prod: 56% #77

Front Seven: 53% #92

Secondary: 58% #67

Roster

Talent Info

Talent #56

Blue Chips (3%) #65

Offense Talent #65

Defense Talent #43

Portal Class #5717 players (86 Avg)

Crootin '26 Class #674 YR Class Rating #53

Talent Profile

Declining Average P4

22% of Roster from Portal, 20% TY

62% of '26 Roster are New (Fr + Portals)

(OC) Jonathan Brewer 3

#49

(DC) Jonathan Patke 3

#112

2026 Schedule

Information

SOS #46

Duke plays 3 opps off a byeSTAN & W&M & GT

OppsElite: 1, Good: 6, Avg: 0, Bad: 4, Poor: 0

2025 Record: 9 - 5 (7 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 7 - 2)

2024 Record: 9 - 4 (8 - 4 - 1) (ACC: 5 - 3)

Win History

Past 5 years 7

Avg under Manny D 9

4 Yr Record (26 - 14)

8 Yr Record (45 - 43)

Notes

Live Team Notes

Vibes: Solid, Diaz won ACC, Mensah loss a blow

DC Patke? Def has gotten worse each year

QB Eget (SJSU) still needs waiver to play in '26

RB Sheppard back, one of ACC's best in '25

WR lots of ? Two G5/FCS adds only w real exp

TE Hasley a good weapon and really good blocker

OL has 2 back, added 2 starters. Looks decent

DL has ?, lots of limited exp, nothing obvious

LBs good unit w Mergott. Have some depth

DBs torched in '25, added 5 portals, lots of exp

Roster Experience

Snaps & Starter Info

Snaps Returning

15,419 (57%) #35

76%of Snaps by Upperclass

Offense: 7,897 #36

Defense: 7,522 #43

Players with Starting Exp (25) 11 on Off, 14 on Def

Upperclass

Starters 6 of 22 (27.3%)2-Deep 11 of 44 (25%)

Senior/Gr starters: 3 (13.6%) (Off: 3, Def: 0)

Upperclass Two-Deep: 11 of 44 (25%)

Upperclass on Roster: 36.8%(35 of 95)

Portals

Top '26 Incoming Portals

Braden Miller (OT)3★ (.88)

Dylan Flowers (CB)3★ (.87)

Javen Nicholas (WR)3★ (.87)

Kyon Loud (CB)3★ (.86)

Jared Richardson (WR)3★ (.86)

Evan Smith (CB)3★ (.86)

Che Ojarikre (S)3★ (.86)

Walker Eget (QB)3★ (.86)

Top Players

Top Performers on Roster

Matt Craycraft (C)(C+ Block Grade)

Jeremiah Hasley (TE)(454 Yds, 6 TD)

Jared Richardson (WR)(1033 Yds, 12 TD)

Nick Del Grande (T)(B Block Grade)

Luke Mergott (LB)(91 Tac, 8 TFL)

Nate Sheppard (RB)(1132 Yds, 11 TD)

Patrick Smith-Young (S)(0 Int, 3 Pd)

Javen Nicholas (WR)(740 Yds, 5 TD)

Recruits

Top '26 Incoming Recruits

Sean Stover (IOL)4★ (.90)

CJ Givers (RB)3★ (.89)

Terry Walker III (QB)3★ (.88)

Lyrik Pettis (S)3★ (.88)

Obinna Umeh (EDGE)3★ (.88)

Ayden Cain (DL)3★ (.88)

Kavon Conciauro (WR)3★ (.88)

Chadwicke Cannon (DL)3★ (.87)

Overall

Four Year Ratings Profile

Offense

Four Year Ratings Profile

Defense

Four Year Ratings Profile