Duke Blue Devils Team Profile
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Duke Blue Devils (@DukeFootball)
Manny Diaz (2nd year) (9-3)
Record: 0 - 0  |  Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#50)  |  SOS: (#56)
Power (#43)  | Off (#68)  | Def (#26)  |  Roster  |  Portals  |  Croots
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Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Duke vs Elon-30
Fri 9/5 Duke vs Illinois+3
Fri 9/12 Duke at Tulane-0.5
Fri 9/19 Duke vs NC State-3.5
Fri 9/26 Duke at Syracuse+1
Fri 10/3 Duke at California-6
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Duke vs Georgia Tech-2
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/31 Duke at Clemson+19
Fri 11/7 Duke at UConn-8.5
Fri 11/14 Duke vs Virginia-10
Fri 11/21 Duke at North Carolina-1
Fri 11/28 Duke vs Wake Forest-16.5

Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 #50
Schedule Rating: #56
Future 2026 Schedule
Duke's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Duke vs Elon-24.547.5W 26 - 3UN
Fri 9/6 Duke vs Northwestern+2.537.5W 26 - 20OY
Sat 9/14 Duke vs UConn-17.546.5W 26 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Duke at Middle Tennessee-14.551.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 Duke vs North Carolina+1.055.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Duke at Georgia Tech+10.052.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Duke vs Florida State-2.543.0W 23 - 16UY
Sat 10/26 Duke vs SMU+11.549.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 11/2 Duke at Miami+21.055.5L 31 - 53ON
Sat 11/9 Duke at NC State+3.551.5W 29 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Duke vs Virginia Tech+2.545.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Duke at Wake Forest-3.553.5W 23 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52ON

2024 Schedule Rating: #62
2024 Record: 9 - 4 (ACC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 8 - 4 - 1 | O/U 7 - 6

Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 6 Avg, 3 Bad, 1 Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 2 Elite, 2 Good, 2 Avg, 4 Bad, 2 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 221 points  #31
2024 class: 184 points  #62
2023 class: 192 points  #55
2022 class: 187 points  #52
2021 class: 176 points  #58

Average Class Ranking:  #52
Average Recruiting Points: 192
Class Averages
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 172 points  #61
2019 class: 191 points  #49
2018 class: 177 points  #63
2017 class: 184 points  #47
2016 class: 205 points  #33

Average Class Ranking:  #51
Average Recruiting Points: 186
 
Offensive Coordinator Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle (Tr)5024614.921
Darian Mensah (Tr)509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle (Tr)138806.820
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
DaShawn Stone540011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
Tyshon Reed52110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 58% #55
Offense Returning Production: 60% #57
Defense Returning Production: 56% #59
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #91
8 Commits, 86 Avg Rating
8% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 9% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #43
Offense Talent #74 | Defense Talent #20
2024 #56 | 2023 #48 | 2022 #62 | 2021 #60
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 9 - 4
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 4 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

Four Year Record: 26 - 13
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 24 - 14 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 14 - 10
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 3 - 9
2021 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2020 Record: 2 - 9
2020 Conf Record: 1 - 9
Spread: 4 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 5

2019 Record: 5 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

Eight Year Record: 44 - 43
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 44 - 42 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 26 - 37

Duke Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024Gator Bowl Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52
2023Birmingham Bowl Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
2022Military Bowl Duke vs UCF-3.563.0W 30 - 13
2018Independence Bowl Duke vs Temple+3.556.5W 56 - 27
2017Lane Bowl Duke vs Northern Illinois-4.548.0W 36 - 14
2015Pinstripe Bowl Duke vs Indiana+2.0W 44 - 41
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.12 (109)39% (116)3.7 (90)31.2 (24)29%38%.06 (10)38% (16)3.19 (17)28.6 (58)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2023.2 (64)42% (69)4.27 (31)31.2 (18)36%60%.16 (52)43% (86)3.47 (43)26.9 (23)



More Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241325:05 (127)16.3 (118)29%38%5.1 (42)48.9 (74)1.4 (70)28.5 (2)3.2 (5)1
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20231328:59 (73)18.7 (79)36%60%5.6 (60)46 (50)1.2 (35)1.25.5 (48)2.1 (51)1



Overall Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1326.325.728.438.6% (116)3.7 (90)1.416315892263.344% (110)56% (24)35% (129)42% (69)19% (115).12 (109)
2024 Defense1324.519.32637.6% (16)3.19 (17)2 - - - - - 52% (81)48% (53)41% (51)34% (5)23% (2).06 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2023 Offense1326.928.626.642% (69)4.27 (31)1.2193481671814.852% (47)47% (84)42% (77)42% (66)13% (22).2 (64)
2023 Defense131913.12943.3% (86)3.47 (43)1.2 - - - - - 49% (53)50% (83)43% (69)44% (101)16% (71).16 (52)



Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)
2024 Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2023 Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (114)8% (20)1.08 (30)
2023 Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (39)10% (82)0.96 (43)



Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)
2024 Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2023 Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)
2023 Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)




Power Ratings Overall: 6.91 #47
Offense: 12.74 #76
Defense: 5.83 #21
SP+ Overall: 6.5 #39
SP+ Offense: 27.8 #60
SP+ Defense: 21.3 #30
Returning Prod DUKE lost their '24 starting QB (61%) #80
Returning Production: 58% #55
Offense: 60% #57 | Defense: 56% #59
OL Prod: 84% #15, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3589 #40 | From Portal: 0 #98
Rush Prod: 54% #62 | Rec Prod: 36% #88
Def Front Seven: 50% - Secondary: 81%
Roster Team Talent #43 Blue Chips: 5% #51
Offense Talent #74 Defense Talent #20
Crootin Class #31 - 4 YR Rank #52
Portal Class #91 - 8 players, 86 Avg
8% of Roster from Portal, 9% TY
37 New Players, 38% of '25 Roster #66

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 #50
Vegas Win Total Record: 6.5 - 5.5
Schedule Rating: 41 #56
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 6, Bad: 3, Poor: 1
Scoring Scoring: 26.3 - 24.5 (27 - 19) in '24
Scoring at Home: 26 - 19 | Road: 28 - 26
OC: Jonathan Brewer - in his second season
DC: Jonathan Patke - in his second season
Records 2024 Record: 9 - 4 (8 - 4 - 1) (ACC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (7 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 4 - 4)
2022 Record: 9 - 4 (9 - 4 - 0) (ACC: 5 - 3)
4 Yr Record: (26 - 13) | 8 Yr Record: (44 - 43)
 
'24 OffensePass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Poor when off Schedule 29%
'24 DefenseGood DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 66%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Team NotesPushed out LY QB Murphy (Oreg St) for Mensah
CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
DEs Williams/Anthony 12 sacks & 23 TFL.
Diaz a good coach, great job LY w/ 9 Ws
NIL getting Mensah, keeping others. Bravo