Duke at Charlotte - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, September 3rd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Duke -6 (60.0)
Charlotte 31 - Duke: 28

Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ DUKE -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 36 - CHAR: 22 (58)
DUKE Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
DUKE Travel: 112 miles

49ers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Will Healy (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
DUKE Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Charlotte's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Charlotte vs Duke	+6.0	60.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-23.0	58.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Charlotte at Georgia State	+4.5	62.5	L 9 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/24	Charlotte vs Middle Tennessee	-2.5	55.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Charlotte at Illinois	+10.0	54.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Charlotte at Florida International	-3.5	61.0	W 45 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	58.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/30	Charlotte at Western Kentucky	+19.5	71.5	L 13 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Charlotte vs Rice	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Charlotte at Louisiana Tech	+7.0	58.0	L 32 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Charlotte vs Marshall	+14.0	62.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/27	Charlotte at Old Dominion	+8.5	55.5	L 34 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	.06	39%	34.6	39%	2.33	157	40%	222	2.68	.28	43%	29.4	45%	40%	4.55	50.4	3.5	1.8
CHAR	.15	39%	14.3	37%	2.76	155	42%	223	4.47	.23	48%	36.3	50%	47%	3.98	61.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	11	34.6	37	39.1%	2.68	3.5	22	379	157	222	3.9	47%	53%	39%	40%	20%	.06
CHAR Defense	6	36.3	35.7	48.4%	3.98	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	50%	47%	13%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	11	29.4	27.5	42.8%	4.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	40%	16%	.28
CHAR Offense	6	14.3	17.2	39.4%	4.47	1	20	378	155	223	3.9	52%	48%	37%	42%	20%	.15

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	11	28:29	21.5	39%	48%	5.6	50.4	3.5	1.8	6.1	2.8	1	29.3
Charlotte	6	34:17	19.8	41%	58%	7	61.7	1	1.3	3.3	0.8	1	27.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	11	47%	39%	39.8	156.7	3.9	19	.03	2.33	68%	13%	1.05
CHAR Defense	6	56%	50%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.19	64%	7%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	11	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.15	78%	11%	1.24
CHAR Offense	6	52%	37%	39.5	155	3.9	11	.05	2.76	70%	13%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	11	53%	40%	19.9	35.5	221.9	6.3	11.2	11	19	.12	1.5	31%	33%	.28	7%	1.9
CHAR Defense	6	44%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.33	1.5	27%	37%	.54	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	11	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.8	32%	35%	.51	5%	2.1
CHAR Offense	6	48%	42%	16.3	29.8	222.8	7.5	13.6	10	2	.25	1.7	34%	26%	.12	7%	2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: Charlotte: -4.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -13.5 Charlotte: -13.7

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -4.35 NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Charlotte's 2021 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #115
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.2 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 36
Charlotte 22

Projected Total Points: 58

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/03	Charlotte	31	Duke	28	Duke -6	Charlotte	60.0	Under
2020	10/31	Duke	53	Charlotte	19	Duke -10.5	Duke	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	1	1	0 Overs
Duke	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) DUKE at (#) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DUKE	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#119
OffenseOff	#96	#83
DefenseDef	#124	#133
Spec TeamsST	#24	#66
TalentTal	#60	#88
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Duke Injury Report

Charlotte Injury Report

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#115	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#128

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#74	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	DUKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#83	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#93	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Duke 6.0 (60.0)
Charlotte won vs Duke this year (31-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CHAR's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Brandon Cooper (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD