Miami at Duke - 2021 Matchup Preview

(#13)Miami Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (12:30 PM EST)
Miami -20.5 (67.0)
Miami 47 - Duke: 10 (ACC)

Hurricanes (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (39 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ MIAMI -24.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 41 - DUKE: 27 (68)
MIAMI Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MIAMI Travel: 698 miles

Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 23 - 40 (31 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIAMI Players
DUKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Miami vs Alabama	+19.5	61.5	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/11	Miami vs App State	-7.5	55.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Miami vs Michigan State	-7.0	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/25	Miami vs Central Connecticut	-46.0	55.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Thu 9/30	Miami vs Virginia	-3.5	63.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Miami at North Carolina	+7.5	63.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Miami vs NC State	+3.5	54.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Miami at Pittsburgh	+9.5	61.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-10.0	63.0	W 33 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Miami at Florida State	-2.5	61.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	Miami vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	55.5	W 38 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Miami at Duke	-20.5	67.0	W 47 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	.23	42%	34.1	40%	2.54	128	43%	321	4.14	.22	41%	28.4	44%	38%	4.41	63.6	1.4	0.9
DUKE	.18	43%	22.8	43%	3.15	180	43%	238	3.07	.38	47%	39.8	48%	47%	4.77	61.7	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4
DUKE	#109 (.12)	39% (116)		35% (129)	2.47 (131)	89	42% (69)	226	3.7 (90)	#10 (.06)	38% (16)		41% (51)	34% (5)	3.19 (17)	48.9	1.4	2

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Offense	12	34.1	38.8	41.8%	4.14	1.4	24	449	128	321	3.7	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.23
DUKE Defense	12	39.8	38.1	46.7%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	47%	16%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIAMI Defense	12	28.4	30	40.7%	4.41	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	44%	38%	18%	.22
DUKE Offense	12	22.8	30.7	42.8%	3.07	1.8	22	418	180	238	4.1	53%	46%	43%	43%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami	12	27:24	24.3	42%	71%	7.3	63.6	1.4	0.9	7.8	2.8	1	27.7
Duke	12	29:18	21.8	42%	38%	6.5	61.7	1.8	1.2	5	1.8	2	28.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense	12	41%	40%	34.6	127.7	3.7	20	.01	2.54	62%	12%	0.93
DUKE Defense	12	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.28	78%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense	12	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.95	80%	13%	1.08
DUKE Offense	12	53%	43%	43.7	180.3	4.1	22	.13	3.15	76%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense	12	58%	43%	24.6	38.7	321.2	8.3	13.1	30	10	.41	1.7	34%	36%	.53	8%	2.2
DUKE Defense	12	49%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.56	1.9	33%	40%	.64	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense	12	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.27	1.7	35%	29%	.37	5%	2.3
DUKE Offense	12	46%	43%	22.1	34.2	237.9	7	10.8	9	9	.28	1.5	32%	29%	.25	5%	1.8

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #32
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #25
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami: Duke: -4.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 10.8 Duke: -13.5

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -4.25 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Miami Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Miami's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 41
Duke 27

Total Points: 68

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 44
Duke 27

Total Points: 71

Based on Entire Season
Miami 38
Duke 28

Total Points: 66

Duke Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 39.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.1

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Miami	53	Duke	31	Miami -21	Miami	55.5	Over
2022	10/22	Miami	21	Duke	45	Miami -10	Duke	59.0	Over
2021	11/27	Duke	10	Miami	47	Miami -20.5	Miami	67.0	Under
2020	12/05	Duke	0	Miami	48	Miami -14.5	Miami	62.0	Under
2019	11/30	Duke	27	Miami	17	Miami -9.5	Duke	44.0	Push
2018	11/03	Miami	12	Duke	20	Miami -9.5	Duke	51.0	Under
2017	09/29	Duke	6	Miami	31	Miami -5.5	Miami	55.5	Under
2016	11/26	Miami	40	Duke	21	Miami -14	Miami	55.0	Over
2015	10/31	Duke	27	Miami	30	Duke -8	Miami	51.5	Over
2014	09/27	Miami	22	Duke	10	Miami -5.5	Miami	0
2013	11/16	Duke	48	Miami	30	Miami -3	Duke	0
2012	11/24	Duke	45	Miami	52
2011	11/05	Miami	49	Duke	14
2010	10/16	Duke	13	Miami	28
2009	11/21	Miami	34	Duke	16
2008	10/18	Duke	31	Miami	49
2007	09/29	Miami	24	Duke	14
2006	10/21	Duke	15	Miami	20
2005	10/08	Miami	52	Duke	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Duke	4	4	4 Overs
Miami	15	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 10	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 9	6 - 5	3 - 2	3 - 3

(#) MIAMI at (#) DUKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIAMI	DUKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#32	#114
Perf GradeGrade	#91	#117
OffenseOff	#65	#96
DefenseDef	#102	#124
Spec TeamsST	#120	#24
TalentTal	#13	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami Injury Report

Duke Injury Report

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	DUKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#97	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#7	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	MIAMI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#115	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#134

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#74	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 50°

Rematch from Week 13
Miami 20.5 (67.0)
Miami won at Duke this year (47-10)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Duke last year (53-31)
Duke beat Miami in 2022 (45-21)

MIAMI's OC Rhett Lashlee (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD