Duke at UConn - 2023 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Duke -22 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 41 - UConn: 7

 
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
CONN 2nd straight Home Game
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -17   (SP+ DUKE -25.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 33 - CONN: 16 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
DUKE Travel: 523 miles
Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23UN
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19OY
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
UConn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs NC State+14.547.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 UConn at Georgia State+3.054.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/16 UConn vs Florida International-7.043.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 UConn vs Duke+22.045.0L 7 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn vs Utah State+4.050.5L 33 - 34OY
Sat 10/7 UConn at Rice+10.047.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UConn vs South Florida-1.057.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 UConn at Boston College+14.549.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/4 UConn at Tennessee+35.055.5L 3 - 59ON
Sat 11/11 UConn at James Madison+24.547.5L 6 - 44ON
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Sacred Heart-25.540.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 UConn at Massachusetts+2.551.0W 31 - 18UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
CONN.1138%31.943%3.0319132%1123.67.1947%23.149%46%3.6960.81.62.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.444.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24
CONN Defense1323.116.347.2%3.692.3 - - - - - 52%47%49%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52644%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
CONN Offense1331.936.938.2%3.671.6163031911124.762%36%43%32%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
UConn1330:1716.237%39%7.160.81.62.34.21.8029.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06
CONN Defense1352%49% - - - - .213.2683%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
CONN Offense1362%43%40.4190.94.720.213.0364%13%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3
CONN Defense1347%46% - - - - - - 13.211.327%31%.216%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
CONN Offense1336%32%12.121.21125.39.31010.11.635%26%.165%2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 4.24   UConn: -10.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5   UConn: -16.0




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.125 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 33
UConn 16

Projected Total Points: 53
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Duke26UConn21DukeDuke -17.5UConn46.5Over
202309/23UConn7Duke41DukeDuke -22Duke45.0Over
200709/01Duke14UConn45UConn
200409/11UConn22Duke20UConn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn212 Overs
Duke210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#40) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Team Profile






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Duke     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #40
#115
Off #48
#102
Def #59
#109
Talent #48
#111
SP+ #29
#122
SP+ Off #53
#118
SP+ Def #25
#97

Rematch from Week 4
Duke 22.0 (45.0)
Duke won at UConn this year (41-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat UConn last year (26-21)
Duke beat UConn in 2023 (41-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 63° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.024


Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | CONN
Depth Chart: DUKE | CONN
Rosters: DUKE | CONN
(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.125 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Duke's OC Kevin Johns
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard26940367%28612187.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Riley Leonard184906174.950
Jordan Waters9547044.994
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Malik Bowen-Sims20203010.242
Jordan Waters15167111.124

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Jaylen Stinson674238
Michael Reese445300
Brandon Johnson425115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Ryan Smith228422
Michael Reese445300
Aeneas Peebles296333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Stinson674238
Joshua Pickett384007
Brandon Johnson425115

UConn's OC Nick Charlton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Fagnano (Tr)12020758%16312047.9
Ta'Quan Roberson3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devontae Houston11964835.480
Joe Fagnano (Tr)306012.019
Cameron Ross456014.041
Ta'Quan Roberson1707.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell50860517.270
Justin Joly43661415.440
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Brett Buckman791013.032

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Lou Spanos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Dixon671003
Chris Shearin582024
Jelani Stafford396071
Dalmont Gourdine274146
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalmont Gourdine274146
Malik Dixon671003
Chris Shearin582024
Jelani Stafford396071
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalmont Gourdine274146
Chris Shearin582024
Malik Dixon671003