Stanford at Duke - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Stanford Cardinal at Duke Blue Devils

Duke logo
Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tavita Pritchard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (13 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#88)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
STAN coming off BYE
Our Line: Duke -14.5  (SP+ DUKE -18)
Projected Score: STAN: 20 - DUKE: 35 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
STAN Travel: 2375 miles, 3 hrs behind
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Stanford's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Stanford vs Hawai'i+1
Fri 9/4 Stanford vs Miami+26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Stanford at Duke+14.5
Sat 9/26 Stanford vs Georgia Tech+11
Sat 10/3 Stanford at Wake Forest+15
Sat 10/10 Stanford at Notre Dame+34
Sat 10/17 Stanford vs Elon-18.5
Fri 10/23 Stanford vs NC State+10.5
Sat 10/31 Stanford at Louisville+20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Stanford at Virginia Tech+7
Sat 11/21 Stanford at California+10.5
Sat 11/28 Stanford vs SMU+16.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Duke's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Duke vs Tulane-8
Sat 9/12 Duke at Illinois+8.5
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Stanford-14.5
Sat 9/26 Duke vs William & Mary-30.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Duke at Georgia Tech+4.5
Sat 10/17 Duke vs North Carolina-10
Fri 10/23 Duke at Virginia+6.5
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Boston College-12.5
Fri 11/6 Duke at NC State+4
Sat 11/14 Duke at Miami+20
Sat 11/21 Duke vs Clemson+1.5
Sat 11/28 Duke at Wake Forest+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#120 (.06)36% (127)18.837% (126)2.63 (121)8637% (117)2223.02 (122)#73 (.17)42% (80)29.242% (70)43% (84)3.46 (51)54.11.41.1
DUKE#25 (.25)46% (30)34.645% (51)2.8 (99)13847% (20)2854.32 (26)#116 (.23)44% (98)29.443% (73)46% (119)4.39 (129)62.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1218.812.536.3%3.021.417308862222.646%51%37%37%17%.06
DUKE Defense1429.431.343.8%4.391.7 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1229.232.342.5%3.461.1 - - - - - 42%57%42%43%15%.17
DUKE Offense1434.632.246%4.321234241382854.344%55%45%47%15%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1229:4917.438%58%654.11.41.14.91.9125.4
Duke1429:4322.539%74%6.462.711.76.71.9331.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1246% (99)37% (126)32.385.52.68 (119)-.03 (131)2.63 (121)82% (6)10% (84)0.75 (134)
DUKE Defense1448% (49)43% (73) - - - - .1 (68)2.62 (19)73% (85)12% (14)1.03 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1242% (2)42% (70) - - - - -.02 (11)2.88 (69)74% (89)9% (99)0.88 (25)
DUKE Offense1444% (112)45% (51)32.4138.24.326 (60).08 (85)2.8 (99)69% (85)10% (79)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1251% (46)37% (117)18.732.62226.811.914 (106)12 (60).2 (98)1.5 (65)33% (92)25% (123).19 (113)7% (117)2 (82)
DUKE Defense1450% (86)46% (119) - - - - - - 14 (22).41 (125)1.6 (107)32% (56)34% (123).44 (128)6% (86)2 (77)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1257% (135)43% (84) - - - - - - 3 (132).34 (110)1.6 (84)33% (39)34% (117).35 (95)6% (73)2 (48)
DUKE Offense1455% (21)47% (20)2436.1285.47.911.934 (14)6 (7).39 (24)1.6 (44)30% (39)33% (37).4 (30)6% (55)2.2 (13)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: 2.25  #71
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.32  #93
Stanford's Defense Rating: 12.07  #43
2026 Talent Rating: 894.00  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Stanford's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.8  #112
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4  #117
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: 2.25   Duke: 9.58

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -11.8   Duke: 6.6




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.58  #48
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.54  #29
Duke's Defense Rating: 15.98  #69
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #64
Duke's 2026 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Duke's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Stanford's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 35
Stanford 20

Projected Total Points: 55
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201209/08Stanford50Duke13
201109/10Duke14Stanford44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke000 Overs
Stanford200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#71) STAN at (#48) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #71 #48
SP+SP+ #112 #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #36 #55
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #64
Stanford Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Low, love GM Luck but no NIL/portals
(2/24) HC Pritchard was OC w Shaw when era fell off
(2/7) Def should improve, but this Offense is ass
(2/6) OC Heffernan (UVA OL) 1st time calling plays
(2/6) Who is QB? Rizk (UCF), Warren (UM) have exp
(2/6) RB Ford back, huge retain. Depth has some talent
(2/6) WR not great. Can Nico Brown (Yale) boost unit?
(2/6) OL a disaster LY. Most back, can they improve?
(2/6) Front 7 has some nice parts, LB Rose a great one
(2/6) Secondary should improve, decent CB duo
Stanford Injury Report
Duke Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Solid, Diaz won ACC, Mensah loss a blow
(2/7) DC Patke? Def has gotten worse each year
(2/6) QB Eget (SJSU) still needs waiver to play in '26
(2/6) RB Sheppard back, one of ACC's best in '25
(2/6) WR lots of ? Two G5/FCS adds only w real exp
(2/6) TE Hasley a good weapon and really good blocker
(2/6) OL has 2 back, added 2 starters. Looks decent
(2/6) DL has ?, lots of limited exp, nothing obvious
(2/6) LBs good unit w Mergott. Have some depth
(2/6) DBs torched in '25, added 5 portals, lots of exp
Duke Injury Report
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #127 #98
ExplosiveExp #103 #120
PPAPPA #120 #116
PowerPwr #93 #69
SP+SP+ #117 #86
Pts POPPO #122 #129
HavocHav #105 #36
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #73
Run ExplRExp #134 #101
PPAExp #131 #68
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #121 #19
Stuff RateStuff #63 #11
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
STAN OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #117 #119
Pass ExplPExl #65 #107
PPAExp #98 #125
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #84 #14
DB HavocDB #117 #86
Duke on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatDUKE OffSTAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #30 #80
ExplosiveExp #30 #94
PPAPPA #25 #73
PowerPwr #29 #43
SP+SP+ #19 #78
Pts POPPO #26 #51
HavocHav #67 #94
Duke Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #70
Run ExplRExp #65 #25
PPAExp #85 #11
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #99 #69
Stuff RateStuff #115 #90
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatDUKE OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #20 #84
Pass ExplPExl #44 #84
PPAExp #24 #110
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #99
DB HavocDB #55 #73
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
STAN's OC Terry Heffernan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Charlie Mirer2367%22107.3
Micah Ford010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford14564344.475
Sedrick Irvin4111812.915
Tuna Altahir155503.79
Caleb Hampton112902.68
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Brown (Tr)7110851115.364
Caden High37414111.234
Micah Ford11119010.854
Benjamin Blackburn9109112.126

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Kris Richard (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Scotty Edwards544311
Jahsiah Galvan502012
Jaivion Green383016
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matt Rose1068333
Ernest Cooper235301
Scotty Edwards544311
Zach Johnson283221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaivion Green383016
Brandon Nicholson271106
Matt Rose1068333

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget (Tr)23239359%30581797.8
Ari Patu (Tr)489551%517545.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard2001132115.760
Ari Patu (Tr)4413313.025
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Walker Eget (Tr)339602.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jared Richardson (Tr)8010331212.976
Javen Nicholas (Tr)60740512.364
Jeremiah Hasley40454611.456
Nate Sheppard3728617.720

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Mergott918293
DaShawn Stone862013
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003
Landan Callahan420002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliott Schaper162200
Luke Mergott918293
Kendall Johnson373142
Tyshon Reed233110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Flowers (Tr)331004
Luke Mergott918293
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003