Duke at Syracuse - 2025 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
SYR is playing their 5th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -3.5   (SP+ SYR -3)

Projected Score: DUKE: 31 - SYR: 34 (65)
SYR Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 509 miles
Orange (2 - 1) (1 - 1 - 1)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 40 - 30 (47 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#90)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Duke vs Elon-36.551.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+2.549.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+1.552.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-3.559.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/4 Duke at California+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+13
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn+1
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia+1
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Syracuse vs Tennessee+13.553.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/6 Syracuse vs UConn-7.057.5W 27 - 20UN
Fri 9/12 Syracuse vs Colgate-37.564.5W 66 - 24OY
Sat 9/20 Syracuse at Clemson+17.555.5
Sat 9/27 Syracuse vs Duke-3.5
Sat 10/4 Syracuse at SMU+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh+2
Sat 10/25 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+8.5
Fri 10/31 Syracuse vs North Carolina-7
Sat 11/8 Syracuse at Miami+22
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Syracuse at Notre Dame+15
Sat 11/29 Syracuse vs Boston College-1.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#40 (.31)47% (43)30.343% (79)3.15 (50)12749% (37)3533.54 (95)#112 (.25)38% (64)3233% (25)45% (102)5.33 (128)56.32.30.3
SYR#54 (.24)49% (35)39.754% (28)2.43 (114)10746% (54)3794.76 (39)#111 (.25)45% (110)29.749% (112)43% (90)3.81 (82)41.721
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)45% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)42% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense330.32747.1%3.542.3244791273535.237%63%43%49%13%.31
SYR Defense329.72245.4%3.811 - - - - - 45%55%49%43%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense3323438.4%5.330.3 - - - - - 57%43%33%45%17%.25
SYR Offense339.746.549%4.76227486107379342%58%54%46%17%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke325:5223.745%40%656.32.30.392.7127.2
Syracuse329:1226.744%57%4.741.72141028.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense337% (130)43% (79)24.3126.75.22 (109).03 (101)3.15 (50)83% (28)9% (71)0.83 (99)
SYR Defense345% (38)49% (112) - - - - .21 (112)2.73 (64)64% (50)6% (127)1.05 (90)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense357% (115)33% (25) - - - - .08 (73)2.26 (25)50% (19)15% (19)1.39 (128)
SYR Offense342% (119)54% (28)36106.737 (38).04 (100)2.43 (114)74% (62)8% (51)0.61 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense363% (5)49% (37)27.341.3352.78.512.98 (18)2 (60).47 (30)1.6 (52)31% (76)42% (23).51 (38)4% (44)1.9 (86)
SYR Defense355% (102)43% (90) - - - - - - 2 (56).28 (90)1.5 (53)33% (69)30% (72).47 (111)9% (15)2.4 (121)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense343% (24)45% (102) - - - - - - 0.47 (117)1.7 (108)35% (51)30% (79).41 (100)3% (128)2.1 (87)
SYR Offense358% (17)46% (54)27.743.3379.38.813.79 (13)3 (92).39 (50)1.6 (63)25% (20)31% (73).55 (32)9% (133)2.5 (11)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.28   Syracuse: 8.825

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 1.4   Syracuse: 4.6




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 8.825 #60
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 20.16 #32
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 12.11 #91
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #34
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #80

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Duke Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 34
Duke 31


Total Points: 65

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/10Syracuse24Duke38DukeDuke -2.5Duke53.5Over
201911/16Duke6Syracuse49SyracuseDuke -9Syracuse49.5Over
201411/08Syracuse10Duke27DukeDuke -4Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse112 Overs
Duke220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 03 - 02 - 01 - 0

(#55) Duke Info
Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Duke has lost 3 straight
Duke has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY

Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSYRDUKE
OverallOver#35#28
OffenseOff#17#21
DefenseDef#80#53
Special TeamsST#60#21
PassingPass#22#5
RushingRush#71#28
Run BlockRBLK#27#29
Pass BlockPBLK#50#43
Route RunningWR Rt#16#40
TacklingTkl#13#80
Run DefenseR Def#95#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#57#38
Coverage DefCov#74#105

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | SYR
Depth Chart: DUKE | SYR
Rosters: DUKE | SYR
(#60) Syracuse Info
Power Rating: 8.825 #60
Offense Rating: 20.16 #32
Defense Rating: 12.11 #91
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #80
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.76 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Syracuse has lost 1 straight
Syracuse has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)

Syracuse Notes
(8/18) QB1 Steve Angeli (ND) wins starting job
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
(4/8) QB Rickie Collins (So, LSU) named starter
(3/21) RB rebuild. Any ballers? On paper, not obv
(3/21) Def bad LY, returns a lot. DE/CB big needs
(3/21) HC Brown/staff great job in year 1
(3/21) Yr 2 much harder sched, less proven options

Syracuse Highlights
Syracuse is Undefeated at Home
Syracuse is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Syracuse does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#28)

Syracuse Secondary is very good (#15)

Syracuse Deficiencies
Syracuse has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Syracuse Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Syracuse Can Not Run the Ball (#119)
Syracuse offense is not Explosive (#109)
Syracuse does not Sack the QB (#112)
Syracuse has a bad defense (#110)


  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)8011967%1036828.7
Henry Belin IV2540%22004.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard1512708.535
Jaquez Moore2411514.832
Anderson Castle (Tr)10101010.163
Peyton Jones103413.48
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cooper Barkate (Tr)14272019.446
Que'Sean Brown13191014.744
Andrel Anthony Jr.10121312.135
Sahmir Hagans9116312.929

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DaShawn Stone201000
Caleb Weaver (Tr)191001
Jaiden Francois (Tr)181100
Nick Morris Jr.174020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vincent Anthony126511
Josiah Green (Tr)32100
Kendall Johnson163110
Tre Freeman133110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers102012
Vincent Anthony126511
Luke Mergott41001

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Steven Angeli7912464%1073828.7
Rickie Collins (Tr)4667%651110.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3413944.118
Will Nixon3012914.328
Jaden Hart62804.79
Tylik Hill220010.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrell Gill Jr.12269222.443
Dan Villari16199012.426
Justus Ross-Simmons9159317.753
Johntay Cook II (Tr)12121110.129

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gary Bryant III (Tr)161000
Darian Chestnut150002
Demetres Samuel Jr.130004
Chris Peal (Tr)111001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Jobity Jr.52100
Braheem Long Jr.61101
Jamie Tremble11100
Gary Bryant III (Tr)161000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetres Samuel Jr.130004
Antoine Deslauriers80002
Darian Chestnut150002