Duke at Syracuse Game Matchup
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Syracuse OrangeSyracuse logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 4)
SYR is playing their 5th straight game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -2   (SP+ DUKE -3.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 28 - SYR: 30 (57)
SYR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
DUKE Travel: 509 miles
Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Duke vs Elon-29.5
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+5.5
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+0
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-2.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+2
Sat 10/4 Duke at California-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+22
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn-7.5
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia-8.5
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1.5
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-15.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Syracuse vs Tennessee+12.555.5
Sat 9/6 Syracuse vs UConn-12
Fri 9/12 Syracuse vs Colgate-29
Sat 9/20 Syracuse at Clemson+22.5
Sat 9/27 Syracuse vs Duke-2
Sat 10/4 Syracuse at SMU+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Syracuse vs Pittsburgh-3.5
Sat 10/25 Syracuse at Georgia Tech+4.5
Fri 10/31 Syracuse vs North Carolina-6
Sat 11/8 Syracuse at Miami+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Syracuse at Notre Dame+23
Sat 11/29 Syracuse vs Boston College-5.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)24.541% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
SYR#28 (.25)48% (14)34.145% (57)2.88 (98)8750% (5)3354.23 (38)#107 (.23)43% (91)29.242% (58)45% (114)4.29 (112)55.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SYR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.438.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12
SYR Defense1329.226.143.5%4.291.1 - - - - - 46%53%42%45%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52637.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
SYR Offense1334.135.148.1%4.231.224422873353.137%62%45%50%16%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Syracuse1331:0623.850%67%6.555.31.21.152129
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)
SYR Defense1346% (23)42% (58) - - - - .12 (71)3.05 (77)82% (119)10% (54)1.1 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
SYR Offense1337% (130)45% (57)28.387.13.120 (67).07 (98)2.88 (98)78% (30)8% (30)0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)
SYR Defense1353% (111)45% (114) - - - - - - 9 (76).35 (113)1.5 (26)31% (87)33% (101).43 (113)7% (44)2.1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
SYR Offense1362% (5)50% (5)28.443.4335.27.711.829 (12)12 (85).37 (18)1.5 (89)31% (58)38% (4).34 (70)8% (117)2 (83)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.91 #47
Duke's Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.91   Syracuse: 7.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 4.9   Syracuse: 1.6




Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 7.965 #40
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 21.14 #31
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 11.81 #51
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #56
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Syracuse 30
Duke 28

Projected Total Points: 57
Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202010/10Syracuse24Duke38DukeDuke -2.5Duke53.5Over
201911/16Duke6Syracuse49SyracuseDuke -9Syracuse49.5Over
201411/08Syracuse10Duke27DukeDuke -4Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Syracuse112 Overs
Duke220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 03 - 02 - 01 - 0

(#47) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.91 #47
Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33
Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #51
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Duke Notes
(5/10) Pushed out LY QB Murphy (Oreg St) for Mensah
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
(3/21) DEs Williams/Anthony 12 sacks & 23 TFL.
(3/21) Diaz a good coach, great job LY w/ 9 Ws
Duke     Ratings Matchup     Syracuse
Power #47
#40
Off #77
#31
Def #21
#51
Talent #44
#32
SP+ #41
#56
SP+ Off #65
#41
SP+ Def #33
#76

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | SYR
Depth Chart: DUKE | SYR
Rosters: DUKE | SYR
(#40) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.965 #40
Offense Rating: 21.14 #31
Defense Rating: 11.81 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.6 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #76
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.29 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Syracuse Notes
(5/25) QB1? Angeli (ND) signed after spring vs Collins
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
(4/8) QB Rickie Collins (So, LSU) named starter
(3/21) RB rebuild. Any ballers? On paper, not obv
(3/21) Def bad LY, returns a lot. DE/CB big needs
(3/21) HC Brown/staff great job in year 1
(3/21) Yr 2 much harder sched, less proven options


  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle (Tr)5024614.921
Darian Mensah (Tr)509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle (Tr)138806.820

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
Chandler Rivers548138
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
David Anderson132110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105

Syracuse's OC Jeff Nixon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Steven Angeli243667%268307.4
Rickie Collins (Tr)55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Yasin Willis3613013.626
Will Nixon197604.012
Dan Villari122912.47
Rickie Collins (Tr)41804.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrell Gill Jr.31562218.153
Umari Hatcher17273316.167
Justus Ross-Simmons9202222.455
Chris Long11163114.858

View Syracuse's Full Roster
Syracuse's DC Elijah Robinson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant518223
Derek Mcdonald501020
Chris Thomas Jr. (Tr)444242
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)228512
KingJoseph Edwards73310
Denis Jaquez Jr.223310
Devin Grant518223
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darian Chestnut604115
Devin Grant518223
Chris Thomas Jr. (Tr)444242