Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes(#4)
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Miami -21 (55.5) (-1650) Open: -19.5
Miami 53 - Duke: 31 (ACC)
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
MIAMI 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Miami -18.5 (SP+ MIAMI -16)
Projected Score: DUKE: 19 - MIAMI: 38 (57)
MIAMI Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
DUKE Travel: 698 miles
Our Line: Miami -18.5 (SP+ MIAMI -16)
Projected Score: DUKE: 19 - MIAMI: 38 (57)
MIAMI Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
DUKE Travel: 698 miles
Hurricanes (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mario Cristobal (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| Duke's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Duke vs Elon | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 26 - 3 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/6 | Duke vs Northwestern | +2.5 | 37.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Duke vs UConn | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 26 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Duke at Middle Tennessee | -14.5 | 51.0 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Duke vs North Carolina | +1.0 | 55.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Duke at Georgia Tech | +10.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/18 | Duke vs Florida State | -2.5 | 43.0 | W 23 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Duke vs SMU | +11.5 | 49.5 | L 27 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Duke at Miami | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 31 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Duke at NC State | +3.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Duke vs Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 45.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Duke at Wake Forest | -3.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/2 | Duke vs Ole Miss | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Miami's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Miami at Florida | -2.5 | 54.5 | W 41 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Miami vs Florida A&M | -46.5 | 55.5 | W 56 - 9 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Miami vs Ball State | -36.5 | 55.5 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Miami at South Florida | -17.0 | 64.5 | W 50 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/27 | Miami vs Virginia Tech | -17.5 | 55.5 | W 38 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Miami at California | -10.0 | 54.0 | W 39 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Miami at Louisville | -4.5 | 61.5 | W 52 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Miami vs Florida State | -22.5 | 55.0 | W 36 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Miami vs Duke | -21.0 | 55.5 | W 53 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Miami at Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 64.5 | L 23 - 28 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Miami vs Wake Forest | -23.5 | 67.0 | W 42 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Miami at Syracuse | -12.5 | 65.5 | L 38 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Miami vs Iowa State | -5.0 | 62.0 | L 41 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 26.3 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 24.5 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| MIAMI | #2 (.4) | 52% (1) | 43.9 | 56% (1) | 3.59 (4) | 165 | 50% (7) | 332 | 4.96 (2) | #69 (.16) | 38% (26) | 25.3 | 38% (16) | 38% (40) | 4.02 (91) | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | ||
| MIAMI | #2 (.4) | 52% (1) | 56% (1) | 3.59 (4) | 165 | 50% (7) | 332 | 4.96 (2) | #69 (.16) | 38% (26) | 38% (16) | 38% (40) | 4.02 (91) | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 26.3 | 28.4 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 25.3 | 17 | 38.1% | 4.02 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 18% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 26 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 43.9 | 47.8 | 52.5% | 4.96 | 1 | 25 | 497 | 165 | 332 | 5.5 | 43% | 57% | 56% | 50% | 10% | .4 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
| Miami | 13 | 30:13 | 25.2 | 56% | 65% | 6.2 | 63.1 | 1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 29.7 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 45% (11) | 38% (16) | - | - | - | - | .08 (49) | 2.6 (16) | 57% (4) | 11% (43) | 1.15 (125) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 43% (114) | 56% (1) | 30.1 | 165.5 | 5.5 | 28 (25) | .32 (5) | 3.59 (4) | 90% (1) | 6% (3) | 0.95 (73) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
| MIAMI Defense | 13 | 55% (125) | 38% (40) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .23 (66) | 1.7 (113) | 36% (9) | 36% (123) | .45 (115) | 7% (34) | 2.1 (84) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| MIAMI Offense | 13 | 57% (20) | 50% (7) | 23.9 | 35.1 | 331.6 | 9.5 | 13.9 | 38 (1) | 7 (26) | .47 (6) | 1.7 (26) | 27% (5) | 42% (1) | .69 (1) | 4% (15) | 2.3 (6) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68 Miami: 22.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Miami: 21.6
Duke: 2.68 Miami: 22.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Miami: 21.6
Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 22.865 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Miami's Power Rating: 22.865 #8
Miami's Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Miami's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Miami's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 38
Duke 19
Total Points: 57
Miami 38
Duke 19
Total Points: 57
Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17
Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17
Miami's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | Miami | 53 | Duke | 31 | Miami | Miami -21 | Miami | 55.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/22 | Miami | 21 | Duke | 45 | Duke | Miami -10 | Duke | 59.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Duke | 10 | Miami | 47 | Miami | Miami -20.5 | Miami | 67.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/05 | Duke | 0 | Miami | 48 | Miami | Miami -14.5 | Miami | 62.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Duke | 27 | Miami | 17 | Duke | Miami -9.5 | Duke | 44.0 | Push |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Miami | 12 | Duke | 20 | Duke | Miami -9.5 | Duke | 51.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 09/29 | Duke | 6 | Miami | 31 | Miami | Miami -5.5 | Miami | 55.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Miami | 40 | Duke | 21 | Miami | Miami -14 | Miami | 55.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/31 | Duke | 27 | Miami | 30 | Miami | Duke -8 | Miami | 51.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/27 | Miami | 22 | Duke | 10 | Miami | Miami -5.5 | Miami | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Duke | 48 | Miami | 30 | Duke | Miami -3 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/24 | Duke | 45 | Miami | 52 | Miami | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | Miami | 49 | Duke | 14 | Miami | ||||
| 2010 | 10/16 | Duke | 13 | Miami | 28 | Miami | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Miami | 34 | Duke | 16 | Miami | ||||
| 2008 | 10/18 | Duke | 31 | Miami | 49 | Miami | ||||
| 2007 | 09/29 | Miami | 24 | Duke | 14 | Miami | ||||
| 2006 | 10/21 | Duke | 15 | Miami | 20 | Miami | ||||
| 2005 | 10/08 | Miami | 52 | Duke | 7 | Miami |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 15 | 7 | 4 Overs |
| Duke | 4 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 9 - 10 | 5 - 6 | 3 - 3 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 9 | 6 - 5 | 3 - 2 | 3 - 3 |
(#50) Duke Info
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 1 straight
Duke has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 1 straight
Duke has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MIAMI | DUKE |
| OverallOver | #3 | #43 |
| OffenseOff | #3 | #73 |
| DefenseDef | #11 | #19 |
| Special TeamsST | #80 | #56 |
| PassingPass | #2 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #2 | #90 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #53 | #67 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #27 | #60 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #3 | #57 |
| TacklingTkl | #85 | #64 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #8 | #49 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #14 | #32 |
| Coverage DefCov | #47 | #8 |
Rematch from Week 10
Miami -21.0 (55.5)
Miami won vs Duke this year (53-31)
Previous Matchups
Miami beat Duke last year (53-31)
Duke beat Miami in 2022 (45-21)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | MIAMI
Depth Chart: DUKE | MIAMI
Rosters: DUKE | MIAMI
(#8) Miami Info
Power Rating: 22.865 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Miami has won 8 straight
Miami has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Miami Highlights
Miami is Undefeated at Home
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is explosive (#96)
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#34)
Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Miami has a really good defense (#33)
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Miami Deficiencies
Miami gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#81)
Power Rating: 22.865 #8
Offense Rating: 31.60 #1
Defense Rating: 7.71 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 21.6 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.2 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 43 #13
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.96 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Miami has won 8 straight
Miami has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Miami Highlights
Miami is Undefeated at Home
Miami offense is efficent (#15)
Miami offense is explosive (#96)
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami offense is good in red zone (#13)
Miami offense is good on 3rd downs
Miami does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#34)
Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Miami has a really good defense (#33)
Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami has a great TO Margin (#28)
Miami defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Miami Deficiencies
Miami gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#81)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 254 | 421 | 60% | 2932 | 26 | 12 | 7.0 |
| Henry Belin IV | 26 | 45 | 58% | 243 | 2 | 1 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 213 | 871 | 7 | 4.1 | 44 |
| Peyton Jones | 82 | 317 | 3 | 3.9 | 27 |
| Jaquez Moore | 32 | 86 | 1 | 2.7 | 18 |
| Henry Belin IV | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3.5 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Moore | 55 | 861 | 8 | 15.7 | 58 |
| Eli Pancol | 60 | 798 | 9 | 13.3 | 86 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 41 | 445 | 2 | 10.9 | 43 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 47 | 413 | 3 | 8.8 | 65 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Nicholas (Tr) | 100 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Terry Moore | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Williams | 47 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 25 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Stinson | 67 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Chandler Rivers | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Joshua Pickett | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Ward | 305 | 454 | 67% | 4313 | 39 | 7 | 9.5 |
| Emory Williams | 16 | 26 | 62% | 187 | 1 | 1 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Martinez (Tr) | 159 | 1002 | 10 | 6.3 | 75 |
| Mark Fletcher Jr. | 112 | 607 | 9 | 5.4 | 30 |
| Jordan Lyle | 54 | 400 | 4 | 7.4 | 91 |
| Cameron Ward | 60 | 204 | 4 | 3.4 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Restrepo | 69 | 1127 | 11 | 16.3 | 77 |
| Jacolby George | 53 | 752 | 8 | 14.2 | 49 |
| Isaiah Horton | 56 | 616 | 5 | 11.0 | 30 |
| Elijah Arroyo | 35 | 590 | 7 | 16.9 | 74 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mauigoa | 96 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| Wesley Bissainthe | 59 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Harris | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Mishael Powell (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akheem Mesidor | 32 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyler Baron (Tr) | 38 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Simeon Barrow Jr. (Tr) | 30 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Rueben Bain Jr. | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Porter Jr. | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| OJ Frederique Jr. | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Mishael Powell (Tr) | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |