Virginia at Duke - 2022 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue Devils  Duke logo
Saturday, October 1st 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Duke -2 (55.0)
Duke 38 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Road Game
DUKE is playing their 5th straight game
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ DUKE -14)
Projected Score: UVA: 30 - DUKE: 27 (57)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs Richmond-22.562.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Illinois+4.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Virginia vs Old Dominion-8.052.5W 16 - 14UN
Fri 9/23 Virginia at Syracuse+9.553.5L 20 - 22UY
Sat 10/1 Virginia at Duke+2.055.0L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Virginia vs Louisville-1.547.5L 17 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/20 Virginia at Georgia Tech+3.548.0W 16 - 9UY
Sat 10/29 Virginia vs Miami+3.048.5L 12 - 14UY
Sat 11/5 Virginia vs North Carolina+7.061.5L 28 - 31UY
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Pittsburgh+5.541.5L 7 - 37ON
Sat 11/19 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-2.044.5
Sat 11/26 Virginia at Virginia Tech+1.540.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Duke's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Duke vs Temple-9.551.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Duke at Northwestern+10.056.5W 31 - 23UY
Sat 9/17 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-30.553.0W 49 - 20ON
Sat 9/24 Duke at Kansas+7.566.0L 27 - 35UN
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-2.055.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Duke at Georgia Tech-3.554.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/15 Duke vs North Carolina+7.070.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Duke at Miami+10.059.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4 Duke at Boston College-11.547.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Duke vs Virginia Tech-10.050.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.549.0L 26 - 28OY
Sat 11/26 Duke vs Wake Forest+3.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Wed 12/28 Duke vs UCF-3.563.0W 30 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.3250%30.851%3.4912450%3924.33.3447%19.649%46%3.856.81.51.2
DUKE.1843%34.643%3.1518043%2383.07.3847%29.448%47%4.7761.71.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.650.3%4.331.5275161243924.432%67%51%50%18%.32
DUKE Defense1229.431.346.7%4.771.2 - - - - - 49%49%48%47%16%.38
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.247%3.81.2 - - - - - 53%46%49%46%14%.34
DUKE Offense1234.632.242.8%3.071.8224181802384.153%46%43%43%16%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1230:4226.546%40%6.456.81.51.24.51.6025.7
Duke1229:1821.842%38%6.561.71.81.251.8228.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1232%51%28.3123.64.421.263.4983%10%0.98
DUKE Defense1249%48% - - - - .253.2878%10%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1253%49% - - - - .33.5778%8%1.03
DUKE Offense1253%43%43.7180.34.122.133.1576%11%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1267%50%29.346.2392.28.513.43112.381.530%41%.598%2
DUKE Defense1249%47% - - - - - - 8.561.933%40%.647%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 8.441.629%35%.576%2.2
DUKE Offense1246%43%22.134.2237.9710.899.281.532%29%.255%1.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0  #96
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #117
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Duke: 5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -9.0   Duke: 5.0




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2022 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #55
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #61
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 30
Duke 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Virginia20Duke27Virginia -3.5Duke58.5Under
202511/15Duke17Virginia34Duke -5.5Virginia59.5Under
202311/18Virginia30Duke27Duke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17Duke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0Virginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20Virginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14Virginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28Duke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21Duke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34Duke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34Virginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13Duke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35Virginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17
201111/12Virginia31Duke21
201011/06Duke55Virginia48
200910/31Virginia17Duke28
200809/27Duke31Virginia3
200709/08Virginia24Duke13
200609/30Duke0Virginia37
200509/24Virginia38Duke7
200410/23Duke16Virginia37
200308/30Virginia27Duke0
200210/05Duke22Virginia27
200109/29Virginia31Duke10
200009/15Duke10Virginia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke844 Overs
Virginia1896 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 56 - 52 - 0
Road Teams10 - 165 - 80 - 25 - 6

(#) UVA at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVADUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #55
Perf GradeGrade #124 #49
OffenseOff #127 #53
DefenseDef #70 #55
Spec TeamsST #120 #51
TalentTal #59 #62
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Run GameRun #124 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #76
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePass #110 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #132 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #50 #98
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #19
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #69 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #109
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Duke -2.0 (55.0)
Duke won vs Virginia this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke last year (34-17)
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)

  
UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD