Duke at Boston College - 2022 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Friday, November 4th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
Duke -11.5 (47.0)
Duke 38 - Boston College: 31  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (31 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ DUKE -20)
Projected Score: DUKE: 32 - BC: 21 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
DUKE Travel: 604 miles
Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 18 - 30 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Duke vs Temple-9.551.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Duke at Northwestern+10.056.5W 31 - 23UY
Sat 9/17 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-30.553.0W 49 - 20ON
Sat 9/24 Duke at Kansas+7.566.0L 27 - 35UN
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-2.055.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Duke at Georgia Tech-3.554.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/15 Duke vs North Carolina+7.070.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Duke at Miami+10.059.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4 Duke at Boston College-11.547.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Duke vs Virginia Tech-10.050.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.549.0L 26 - 28OY
Sat 11/26 Duke vs Wake Forest+3.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Wed 12/28 Duke vs UCF-3.563.0W 30 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Boston College's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Boston College vs Rutgers-8.547.0L 21 - 22UN
Sat 9/10 Boston College at Virginia Tech+2.545.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/17 Boston College vs Maine-31.048.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/24 Boston College at Florida State+18.548.5L 14 - 44ON
Sat 10/1 Boston College vs Louisville+13.548.5W 34 - 33OY
Sat 10/8 Boston College vs Clemson+21.049.0L 3 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Boston College at Wake Forest+20.060.0L 15 - 43UN
Sat 10/29 Boston College at UConn-8.044.0L 3 - 13UN
Fri 11/4 Boston College vs Duke+11.547.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/12 Boston College at NC State+18.041.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 11/19 Boston College at Notre Dame+20.042.0L 0 - 44ON
Sat 11/26 Boston College vs Syracuse+10.547.0L 23 - 32OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.2444%32.847%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%22.144%45%3.9550.20.82.2
BC.1237%17.836%2.236438%2473.25.1942%30.344%42%4.2848.52.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1332.831.244.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24
BC Defense1230.328.842.4%4.281.3 - - - - - 51%48%44%42%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1322.126.844%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
BC Offense1217.82536.5%3.252.217311642472.137%62%36%38%25%.12

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Boston College1229:1516.833%44%648.52.21.36.82.2028.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06
BC Defense1251%44% - - - - .153.0378%13%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
BC Offense1237%36%30.3642.16-.042.2368%17%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3
BC Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 7.291.533%30%.377%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
BC Offense1262%38%21.836.7247.16.711.32114.271.738%27%.348%2.3

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2022 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #55
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #61
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Boston College: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.0   Boston College: -14.9




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -4.95 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2022 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9  #114
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #99
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Duke's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 32
Boston College 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 32
Boston College 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Duke 31
Boston College 23

Total Points: 54
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Boston College's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/04Boston College31Duke38Duke -11.5Boston College47.0Over
202009/19Duke6Boston College26Duke -3.5Boston College49.5Under
201510/03Duke9Boston College7Duke -7Boston College37.0Under
201109/17Boston College19Duke20
201011/13Duke16Boston College21
200611/11Boston College28Duke7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College331 Overs
Duke302 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 41 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#) DUKE at (#) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #114
Perf GradeGrade #49 #127
OffenseOff #53 #126
DefenseDef #55 #97
Spec TeamsST #51 #81
TalentTal #62 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBC Def
Run GameRun #50 #71
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #89
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #69 #127
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #61
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boston College on Offense
CategoryCatBC OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #126 #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #99 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boston College Run Game
CategoryCat
BC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRun #125 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #76
Boston College Pass Game
CategoryCatBC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePass #119 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 63° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Duke 11.5 (47.0)
Duke won at Boston College this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Boston College in 2022 (38-31)

  
DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BC's OC John McNulty (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD