Pittsburgh at Duke - 2021 Matchup Preview
Pittsburgh logo   Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils  Duke logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -21 (64.5)
Pittsburgh 54 - Duke: 29  (ACC)

 
Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13  (SP+ PITT -31)
Projected Score: PITT: 32 - DUKE: 29 (61)
PITT Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
PITT Travel: 313 miles
Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts-38.056.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Pittsburgh at Tennessee-3.556.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan-14.059.0L 41 - 44ON
Sat 9/25 Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire-29.053.0W 77 - 7OY
Sat 10/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-3.057.5W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-6.055.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Pittsburgh vs Clemson-3.547.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Pittsburgh vs Miami-9.561.0L 34 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Pittsburgh at Duke-21.064.5W 54 - 29OY
Thu 11/11 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-6.572.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 11/20 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-12.569.0W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/27 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-12.058.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 12/4 Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest-3.572.5W 45 - 21UY
Thu 12/30 Pittsburgh vs Michigan State+3.555.0L 21 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Duke's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Duke at Charlotte-6.060.0L 28 - 31UN
Fri 9/10 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-22.555.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/18 Duke vs Northwestern+2.550.0W 30 - 23OY
Sat 9/25 Duke vs Kansas-16.557.5W 52 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Duke at North Carolina+19.574.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 10/9 Duke vs Georgia Tech+4.560.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 10/16 Duke at Virginia+10.569.5L 0 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Duke at Wake Forest+16.571.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 11/6 Duke vs Pittsburgh+21.064.5L 29 - 54ON
Sat 11/13 Duke at Virginia Tech+13.550.5L 17 - 48ON
Thu 11/18 Duke vs Louisville+20.060.0L 22 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 Duke vs Miami+20.567.0L 10 - 47UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT.1441%33.742%2.2912240%2603.41.1337%24.837%38%3.1668.51.51.7
DUKE.0639%34.639%2.3315740%2222.68.2843%29.445%40%4.5550.43.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Offense1133.73340.6%3.411.5213821222603.544%55%42%40%20%.14
DUKE Defense1129.431.342.8%4.551.8 - - - - - 53%47%45%40%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PITT Defense1124.824.637.3%3.161.7 - - - - - 44%56%37%38%23%.13
DUKE Offense1134.632.239.1%2.683.5223791572223.947%53%39%40%20%.06

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Pittsburgh1131:0820.536%50%7.868.51.51.7104.1229.9
Duke1128:2921.539%48%5.650.43.51.86.12.8129.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Offense1144%42%35.3122.13.520.032.2969%13%0.91
DUKE Defense1153%45% - - - - .263.1578%11%1.24
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PITT Defense1144%37% - - - - .012.2669%16%0.94
DUKE Offense1147%39%39.8156.73.919.032.3368%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Offense1155%40%22.438.7259.76.711.61412.251.634%31%.297%1.9
DUKE Defense1147%40% - - - - - - 9.31.832%35%.515%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PITT Defense1156%38% - - - - - - 14.221.837%30%.337%2.2
DUKE Offense1153%40%19.935.5221.96.311.21119.121.531%33%.287%1.9

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6  #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh:    Duke: -4.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 17.6   Duke: -13.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -4.25 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5  #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 32
Duke 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Duke30Pittsburgh19Duke -4.5Duke40.5Over
202211/19Pittsburgh28Duke26Pittsburgh -6.5Duke49.0Over
202111/06Duke29Pittsburgh54Pittsburgh -21Pittsburgh64.5Over
201910/05Duke30Pittsburgh33Duke -3.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201810/27Pittsburgh54Duke45Duke -3Pittsburgh46.0Over
201710/21Duke17Pittsburgh24Duke -9Pittsburgh49.5Under
201611/19Pittsburgh56Duke14Pittsburgh -6.5Pittsburgh61.5Over
201511/14Duke13Pittsburgh31Duke -4Pittsburgh49.0Under
201411/01Pittsburgh48Duke51Pittsburgh -2.5Duke0
201309/21Duke55Pittsburgh58Pittsburgh -6Duke0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke246 Overs
Pittsburgh862 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 64 - 62 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 46 - 41 - 25 - 2

(#) PITT at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPITTDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #114
Perf GradeGrade #29 #117
OffenseOff #21 #96
DefenseDef #50 #124
Spec TeamsST #38 #24
TalentTal #37 #60
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #124
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #119
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRun #24 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #126
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePass #1 #123
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #38 #113
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #115 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #47
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #96 #75
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #65
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Pittsburgh 21.0 (64.5)
Pittsburgh won at Duke this year (54-29)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Pittsburgh in 2023 (30-19)

  
PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD