Lafayette at Duke - 2023 Matchup Preview
Lafayette logo Lafayette Leopards at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Duke -42.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 42 - Lafayette: 7

 
Leopards (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (13 - 30 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Duke -9.5   (SP+ DUKE -10)

DUKE Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Lafayette's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Lafayette at Duke+42.549.0L 7 - 42UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23UN
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19OY
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%130%000%000%300%0%0000
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1324.519.344%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Defense130300%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1326.325.744.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lafayette10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Offense10%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: #NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: #NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #221
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Lafayette's 2023 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Duke: 9.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Duke: 9.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.37 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Lafayette's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 29
Lafayette 19


Projected Total Points: 47
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Duke42Lafayette7DukeDuke -42.5Lafayette49.0Push
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke100 Overs
Lafayette010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Lafayette Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #221
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






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Lafayette     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #NR
#40
Off #NR
#48
Def #NR
#59
Talent #221
#48
SP+ #N/A
#29
SP+ Off #N/A
#53
SP+ Def #N/A
#25

Rematch from Week 2
Duke -42.5 (49.0)
Duke won vs Lafayette this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Lafayette in 2023 (42-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 74°

Team Information
Injuries: LAF | DUKE
Depth Chart: LAF | DUKE
Rosters: LAF | DUKE
(#40) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.37 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Team Profile






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Lafayette's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carl Smith131031.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carl Smith15277218.542

View Lafayette's Full Roster
Lafayette's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Smallwood100001
Preston Forney70000
Neriyan Brown60000
Saiku White60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Smallwood100001
Darien Riley30000
Owen Ordonez10000
Tristen Roundtree10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe DuBois50001
Taylor Smallwood100001
Jaylon Joseph42011

Duke's OC Kevin Johns
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard26940367%28612187.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Riley Leonard184906174.950
Jordan Waters9547044.994
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Malik Bowen-Sims20203010.242
Jordan Waters15167111.124

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Jaylen Stinson674238
Michael Reese445300
Brandon Johnson425115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Ryan Smith228422
Michael Reese445300
Aeneas Peebles296333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Stinson674238
Joshua Pickett384007
Brandon Johnson425115