Lafayette at Duke - 2023 Matchup Preview
Lafayette logo Lafayette Leopards at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Duke -42.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 42 - Lafayette: 7

 
Leopards (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 42 (7 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Duke -9.5  (SP+ DUKE -10)
DUKE Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 27 - 19 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Lafayette's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Lafayette at Duke+42.549.0L 7 - 42UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23UN
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19OY
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%70%000%000%420%0%0000
DUKE#64 (.2)42% (69)26.942% (77)3.1 (70)16742% (66)1814.27 (31)#52 (.16)43% (86)1943% (69)44% (101)3.47 (43)461.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense131913.143.3%3.471.2 - - - - - 49%50%43%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Defense142420%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1326.928.642%4.271.2193481671814.852%47%42%42%13%.2

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lafayette10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke1328:5918.736%60%5.6461.21.25.52.1131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Offense10%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (39)10% (82)0.96 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (114)8% (20)1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #221
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lafayette's 2023 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Duke: 9.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Duke: 9.5




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.37  #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55  #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88  #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5  #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Lafayette's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 29
Lafayette 20

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 34
Lafayette 16

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Duke 35
Lafayette 12

Total Points: 47
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.1

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Duke42Lafayette7Duke -42.5Lafayette49.0Push
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke100 Overs
Lafayette010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) LAF at (#40) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLAFDUKE
Power RatePwrNR #40
SP+SP+NR #29
Perf GradeGradeNR #61
OffenseOffNR #81
DefenseDefNR #43
Spec TeamsSTNR #49
TalentTal #221 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #69
Lafayette on Offense
CategoryCat
LAF OffDUKE Def
Perf GradePerfNR #43
SuccessSucNR #86
ExplosiveExpNR #12
PPAPPANR #52
PowerPwrNR #59
SP+SP+NR #25
Pts POPPONR #43
HavocHavNR #71
Lafayette Run Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNR #71
Run SuccessRSucNR #69
Run ExplRExpNR #43
PPAExpNR #46
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #90
Stuff RateStuffNR #65
TackleTak -  #89
Lafayette Pass Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNR #26
Pass SuccessPSucNR #101
Pass ExplPExlNR #3
PPAExpNR #42
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #51
F7 HavocF7NR #82
DB HavocDBNR #56
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffLAF Def
Perf GradePerf #81NR
SuccessSuc #69NR
ExplosiveExp #93NR
PPAPPA #64NR
PowerPwr #48NR
SP+SP+ #53NR
Pts POPPO #31NR
HavocHav #22NR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffLAF Def
Run GameRun #61NR
Run SuccessRSuc #77NR
Run ExplRExp #30NR
PPAExp #56NR
Run BlockR Blk #78 -
OL YdsOLY #70NR
Stuff RateStuff #99NR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffLAF Def
Pass GamePass #64NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #66NR
Pass ExplPExl #122NR
PPAExp #79NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62NR
F7 HavocF7 #20NR
DB HavocDB #62NR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

LAF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 74°
Rematch from Week 2
Duke -42.5 (49.0)
Duke won vs Lafayette this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Lafayette in 2023 (42-7)

  
LAF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carl Smith131031.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carl Smith15277218.542

View Lafayette's Full Roster

LAF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Smallwood100001
Preston Forney70000
Neriyan Brown60000
Saiku White60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Smallwood100001
Darien Riley30000
Ian Langan10000
Owen Ordonez10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe DuBois50001
Taylor Smallwood100001
Jaylon Joseph42011

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard9516558%1102336.7
Grayson Loftis9116356%1006846.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Waters153819125.483
Jaquez Moore11667465.858
Riley Leonard5835246.144
Jaylen Coleman4616513.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore62835813.549
Jalon Calhoun50666413.369
Sahmir Hagans3026008.723
Nicky Dalmolin1514709.821

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Freeman955263
Jaylen Stinson793106
Nick Morris Jr.572100
Dorian Mausi564112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aeneas Peebles429542
R.J. Oben156551
Terry Moore424322
Brandon Johnson498234
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Al Blades Jr. (Tr)431019
Chandler Rivers473017
Jaylen Stinson793106