Duke at Clemson - 2025 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Clemson, SC  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
DUKE coming off BYE
CLEM coming off BYE
Our Line: Clemson -13   (SP+ CLEM -10)

Projected Score: DUKE: 18 - CLEM: 31 (49)
CLEM Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
DUKE Travel: 238 miles
Tigers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 19 - 19 (19 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 4.6 (#52)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Duke vs Elon-36.551.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+2.549.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+1.552.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-3.058.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/4 Duke at California+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+13
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn+1
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia+1
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU-3.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-31.051.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-2.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-17.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-11.5
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-6
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-13
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State+1.5
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville+3
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-39.5
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina-0.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#40 (.31)47% (43)30.343% (79)3.15 (50)12749% (37)3533.54 (95)#112 (.25)38% (64)3233% (25)45% (102)5.33 (128)56.32.30.3
CLEM#100 (.11)42% (84)19.346% (58)3.02 (65)10838% (99)2113.4 (101)#55 (.1)41% (78)1941% (80)41% (78)2.22 (20)37.31.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense330.32747.1%3.542.3244791273535.237%63%43%49%13%.31
CLEM Defense31916.540.8%2.221.7 - - - - - 50%49%41%41%14%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense3323438.4%5.330.3 - - - - - 57%43%33%45%17%.25
CLEM Offense319.318.542%3.41.7163191082113.848%52%46%38%14%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke325:5223.745%40%656.32.30.392.7127.2
Clemson325:5415.741%50%3.737.31.71.74.72029.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense337% (130)43% (79)24.3126.75.22 (109).03 (101)3.15 (50)83% (28)9% (71)0.83 (99)
CLEM Defense350% (71)41% (80) - - - - .01 (49)2.51 (44)76% (96)9% (85)0.89 (56)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense357% (115)33% (25) - - - - .08 (73)2.26 (25)50% (19)15% (19)1.39 (128)
CLEM Offense348% (86)46% (58)28.7108.33.84 (79).1 (85)3.02 (65)77% (45)6% (16)0.72 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense363% (5)49% (37)27.341.3352.78.512.98 (18)2 (60).47 (30)1.6 (52)31% (76)42% (23).51 (38)4% (44)1.9 (86)
CLEM Defense349% (67)41% (78) - - - - - - 3 (28).19 (60)1.5 (69)34% (58)34% (100).31 (80)6% (76)1.9 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense343% (24)45% (102) - - - - - - 0.47 (117)1.7 (108)35% (51)30% (79).41 (100)3% (128)2.1 (87)
CLEM Offense352% (50)38% (99)17.329.32117.212.23 (90)3 (92).12 (112)1.6 (51)26% (33)26% (103).17 (106)8% (122)1.9 (80)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.28   Clemson: 18.365

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 1.4   Clemson: 11.4




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 18.365 #29
Clemson's Offense Rating: 17.75 #39
Clemson's Defense Rating: -2.58 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #38
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Duke Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 31
Duke 18


Total Points: 49

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/04Duke28Clemson7DukeClemson -12.5Duke54.0Under
201811/17Clemson35Duke6ClemsonClemson -29.5Duke59.0Under
201211/03Duke20Clemson56Clemson
200811/15Clemson31Duke7Clemson
200711/03Duke10Clemson47Clemson
200511/05Clemson49Duke20Clemson
200411/13Duke16Clemson13Duke
200311/15Clemson40Duke7Clemson
200211/02Duke31Clemson34Clemson
200112/01Clemson59Duke31Clemson
200009/29Duke22Clemson52Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson900 Overs
Duke222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 41 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 71 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#55) Duke Info
Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Duke has lost 6 straight
Duke has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY

Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCLEMDUKE
OverallOver#54#28
OffenseOff#72#21
DefenseDef#45#53
Special TeamsST#36#21
PassingPass#39#5
RushingRush#76#28
Run BlockRBLK#72#29
Pass BlockPBLK#75#43
Route RunningWR Rt#79#40
TacklingTkl#22#80
Run DefenseR Def#24#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#38
Coverage DefCov#70#105

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Clemson in 2023 (28-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | CLEM
Depth Chart: DUKE | CLEM
Rosters: DUKE | CLEM
(#29) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 18.365 #29
Offense Rating: 17.75 #39
Defense Rating: -2.58 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #30
Talent Rating: 988.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #12
Expected Record: 7.4 - 4.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.4 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 41%
Great in Scoring Position 2.22 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Clemson has lost 5 straight
Clemson has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Clemson Notes
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
(6/4) Can OC Riley & OL Matt Luke fix the run game?
(6/4) OL has #2 most exp in P4, OL coach Luke year 2
(5/23) CB duo of Terrelll & Hampton a top unit in CFB
(4/7) DL Parker, Woods PFF top 10, +Heldt (Pur) CFB best
(4/7) Clemson clear ACC #1, nat'l title contender
(4/5) RB biggest ? Sr WR Randall moved to RB TY
(4/5) HC Swinney one of the best. Portaling now
(4/4) OT Blake Miller a top OT via PFF

Clemson Highlights
Clemson defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Clemson Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#29)
Clemson commits very few Penalties (#16)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson has a really bad Offense
Clemson has a really bad Offense at Home
Clemson has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Clemson Can Not Run the Ball (#118)
Clemson offense is not Explosive (#101)
Clemson offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#101)


  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)8011967%1036828.7
Henry Belin IV2540%22004.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard1512708.535
Jaquez Moore2411514.832
Anderson Castle (Tr)10101010.163
Peyton Jones103413.48
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cooper Barkate (Tr)14272019.446
Que'Sean Brown13191014.744
Andrel Anthony Jr.10121312.135
Sahmir Hagans9116312.929

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DaShawn Stone201000
Caleb Weaver (Tr)191001
Jaiden Francois (Tr)181100
Nick Morris Jr.174020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vincent Anthony126511
Josiah Green (Tr)32100
Kendall Johnson163110
Tre Freeman133110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers102012
Vincent Anthony126511
Luke Mergott41001

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik528859%633337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Randall4120835.130
Cade Klubnik305912.013
Tyler Brown333011.013
Gideon Davidson31103.76
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryant Wesco Jr.18310317.273
Tyler Brown109509.523
T.J. Moore772010.326
Josh Sapp238019.031

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronan Hanafin281002
Wade Woodaz252000
Sammy Brown193110
Avieon Terrell163101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt (Tr)125200
Sammy Brown193110
Avieon Terrell163101
T.J. Parker101111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronan Hanafin281002
Ashton Hampton70002
Jaheim Lawson41001