Duke at Clemson - 2025 Matchup Preview
Duke logo   Duke Blue Devils at Clemson Tigers  Clemson logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -4.5 (55.5) (-185)  Open: -3.5 | 53.5
Duke 46 - Clemson: 45  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
DUKE coming off BYE
CLEM coming off BYE
Our Line: Clemson -6.5  (SP+ CLEM -3)

Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - CLEM: 31 (56)
CLEM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 238 miles
Tigers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (180 - 46)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (28 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Duke vs Elon-36.551.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+2.549.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+1.552.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-3.057.5W 45 - 33OY
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse-4.059.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 10/4 Duke at California-3.554.5W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech-3.560.5L 18 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+4.555.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn-7.563.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia-5.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-6.550.5W 32 - 25OY
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-2.554.0W 49 - 32OY
Sat 12/6 Duke vs Virginia+3.558.5W 27 - 20UY
Wed 12/31 Duke vs Arizona State-4.049.5W 42 - 39ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Clemson's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Clemson vs LSU-3.557.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Clemson vs Troy-31.051.5W 27 - 16UN
Sat 9/13 Clemson at Georgia Tech-2.549.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 9/20 Clemson vs Syracuse-17.553.5L 21 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Clemson at North Carolina-15.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 10/11 Clemson at Boston College-14.054.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 10/18 Clemson vs SMU-3.549.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Clemson vs Duke-4.555.5L 45 - 46ON
Sat 11/8 Clemson vs Florida State-1.556.5W 24 - 10UY
Fri 11/14 Clemson at Louisville+1.550.5W 20 - 19UY
Sat 11/22 Clemson vs Furman-41.555.5W 45 - 10UN
Sat 11/29 Clemson at South Carolina+2.545.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 12/27 Clemson vs Penn State-2.547.5L 10 - 22UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)34.635% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)29.441% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)27.250% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)20.543% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1334.63738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12
CLEM Defense1420.52440.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1329.427.537.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
CLEM Offense1427.22846.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.18  #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58  #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.18   Clemson: 14.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.6   Clemson: 9.5




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 14.54  #24
Clemson's Offense Rating: 17.99  #38
Clemson's Defense Rating: 3.41  #16
2025 Talent Rating: 988.00  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #12
Clemson's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
Clemson's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5  #34
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #65
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #24

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 31
Duke 25


Projected Total Points: 56
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Clemson's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Clemson45Duke46Clemson -4.5Duke55.5Over
202309/04Duke28Clemson7Clemson -12.5Duke54.0Under
201811/17Clemson35Duke6Clemson -29.5Duke59.0Under
201211/03Duke20Clemson56
200811/15Clemson31Duke7
200711/03Duke10Clemson47
200511/05Clemson49Duke20
200411/13Duke16Clemson13
200311/15Clemson40Duke7
200211/02Duke31Clemson34
200112/01Clemson59Duke31
200009/29Duke22Clemson52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson901 Overs
Duke332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 51 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams5 - 72 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#42) DUKE at (#24) CLEM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKECLEM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #42 #24
SP+SP+ #44 #34
Perf GradeGrade #37 #50
OffenseOff #16 #65
DefenseDef #99 #33
Spec TeamsST #40 #30
TalentTal #48 #12
Blue ChipsBC% #54 #12
Duke Notes
(11/16) Duke just isn't good. 1-3 run, need 1 more to bowl
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
Duke Injury Report
Clemson Notes
(11/2) Things are getting toxic with HC Swinney
(11/2) 1-4 at home going into FSU game. Beat Troy
(11/2) Off great, Def torched, ST's cost bad in Duke L
(10/21) Top WR Bryant Wesco out for season (back inj)
(10/19) 5 straight losses at home vs FBS after SMU loss
(10/19) QB Vizzina was good, but Run Off putrid in SMU L
(10/16) QB Klubnik apparently injured, may miss SMU
(9/20) Def torched by Cuse. Klubnik can't carry this Off
(9/18) Get LT Leigh, WR Williams, S Barnes back (Cuse)
(9/15) Off just bad, Klubnick asked to carry too much
(8/30) Run game awful, OL awful. Not an elite team
(6/6) OL returns 5/5, a top 10 unit in all CFB
Clemson Injury Report
Duke on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffCLEM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #33
SuccessSuc #116 #48
ExplosiveExp #84 #106
PPAPPA #109 #52
PowerPwr #23 #16
SP+SP+ #19 #24
Pts POPPO #90 #48
HavocHav #115 #20
Duke Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #36 #35
Run SuccessRSuc #129 #68
Run ExplRExp #131 #119
PPAExp #133 #84
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #131 #54
Stuff RateStuff #130 #44
TackleTak -  #11
Duke Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #13 #62
Pass SuccessPSuc #69 #36
Pass ExplPExl #56 #60
PPAExp #55 #28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #39
F7 HavocF7 #78 #38
DB HavocDB #129 #20
Clemson on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatCLEM OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #99
SuccessSuc #24 #16
ExplosiveExp #70 #22
PPAPPA #21 #10
PowerPwr #38 #58
SP+SP+ #65 #86
Pts POPPO #29 #17
HavocHav #25 #2
Clemson Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffDUKE Def
Run GameRun #105 #62
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #51
Run ExplRExp #69 #38
PPAExp #19 #35
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #28
Stuff RateStuff #53 #16
TackleTak -  #89
Clemson Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatCLEM OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePass #29 #105
Pass SuccessPSuc #36 #5
Pass ExplPExl #79 #39
PPAExp #38 #7
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #68
F7 HavocF7 #40 #2
DB HavocDB #21 #28
Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Clemson -4.5 (55.5)
Duke won at Clemson this year (46-45)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Clemson last year (46-45)
Duke beat Clemson in 2023 (28-7)

  
DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)33450067%39733467.9
Henry Belin IV2540%22004.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard2001132115.760
Anderson Castle (Tr)115488124.266
Jaquez Moore4120114.932
Travis Bates95706.339
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cooper Barkate (Tr)721106715.477
Que'Sean Brown63842513.469
Sahmir Hagans44512611.635
Jeremiah Hasley40454611.456

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Mergott918293
Caleb Weaver (Tr)896201
DaShawn Stone862013
Jaiden Francois (Tr)738123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vincent Anthony3413742
Josiah Green (Tr)387423
Aaron Hall4411340
Wesley Williams4382161
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers594018
Luke Mergott918293
DaShawn Stone862013

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik25739266%29431667.5
Christopher Vizzina457163%406415.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Adam Randall168814104.846
Gideon Davidson6026004.328
Chris Denson7108115.450
Cade Klubnik839441.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
T.J. Moore52837416.175
Antonio Williams55604411.064
Bryant Wesco Jr.31537617.373
Adam Randall3625437.135

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Tom Allen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sammy Brown10714665
Wade Woodaz707123
Ronan Hanafin642004
Avieon Terrell485308
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt (Tr)46156102
Sammy Brown10714665
T.J. Parker379571
Jaheim Lawson197443
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell485308
Ashton Hampton453108
Sammy Brown10714665