NC State Wolfpack at Duke Blue Devils
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Duke -3 (57.5) (-155) Open: -3.0
Duke 45 - NC State: 33 (ACC)
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -3.5 (SP+ DUKE -2)
Projected Score: NCST: 28 - DUKE: 32 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -3.5 (SP+ DUKE -2)
Projected Score: NCST: 28 - DUKE: 32 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 57.5 | L 33 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 57.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 36 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 48 - 36 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +16.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 41 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +7.0 | 58.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 42 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/19 | NC State vs Memphis | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | -4.0 | 59.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | -3.5 | 54.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | -3.5 | 60.5 | L 18 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +4.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | -7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | -5.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -6.5 | 50.5 | W 32 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -2.5 | 54.0 | W 49 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Duke vs Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 12/31 | Duke vs Arizona State | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 42 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #20 (.28) | 44% (52) | 30.2 | 44% (64) | 2.94 (68) | 147 | 44% (43) | 246 | 4.69 (10) | #102 (.21) | 39% (41) | 27.2 | 38% (22) | 40% (55) | 3.7 (73) | 53.8 | 1 | 1.2 |
| DUKE | #26 (.25) | 46% (32) | 34.6 | 44% (61) | 2.77 (105) | 123 | 47% (22) | 262 | 4.28 (28) | #120 (.25) | 44% (99) | 29.4 | 43% (80) | 46% (116) | 4.45 (129) | 58.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | ||
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 13 | 30.2 | 23 | 43.8% | 4.69 | 1 | 20 | 393 | 147 | 246 | 4.5 | 47% | 51% | 44% | 44% | 16% | .28 |
| DUKE Defense | 14 | 29.4 | 31.3 | 43.9% | 4.45 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 50% | 43% | 46% | 18% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 13 | 27.2 | 39.8 | 39.3% | 3.7 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 56% | 38% | 40% | 15% | .21 |
| DUKE Offense | 14 | 34.6 | 32.2 | 45.6% | 4.28 | 0.9 | 21 | 385 | 123 | 262 | 4.1 | 45% | 54% | 44% | 47% | 15% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 13 | 29:47 | 20.4 | 41% | 50% | 5.5 | 53.8 | 1 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 27.9 |
| Duke | 14 | 27:20 | 20.8 | 39% | 76% | 6 | 58.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 44% (64) | 32.5 | 147.1 | 4.5 | 27 (40) | .19 (32) | 2.94 (68) | 73% (63) | 10% (98) | 1.1 (19) |
| DUKE Defense | 14 | 48% (48) | 43% (80) | - | - | - | - | .12 (86) | 2.73 (36) | 76% (104) | 12% (15) | 1.03 (100) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 13 | 43% (4) | 38% (22) | - | - | - | - | .12 (78) | 2.87 (64) | 65% (26) | 8% (108) | 1.09 (122) |
| DUKE Offense | 14 | 45% (109) | 44% (61) | 29.9 | 123.1 | 4.1 | 24 (60) | .07 (93) | 2.77 (105) | 70% (83) | 10% (89) | 0.96 (67) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 13 | 51% (49) | 44% (43) | 21.5 | 31.8 | 245.7 | 7.7 | 11.4 | 26 (33) | 10 (119) | .39 (25) | 1.6 (31) | 31% (67) | 32% (48) | .4 (34) | 6% (54) | 2.1 (53) |
| DUKE Defense | 14 | 50% (87) | 46% (116) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (22) | .41 (124) | 1.7 (111) | 32% (54) | 34% (122) | .46 (130) | 6% (70) | 2.1 (91) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 13 | 56% (132) | 40% (55) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (75) | .3 (91) | 1.7 (118) | 35% (21) | 31% (90) | .38 (112) | 7% (46) | 2.1 (83) |
| DUKE Offense | 14 | 54% (23) | 47% (22) | 21.9 | 32.5 | 262 | 8.1 | 12 | 30 (14) | 5 (7) | .42 (21) | 1.6 (36) | 30% (52) | 34% (26) | .43 (24) | 5% (39) | 2.2 (20) |
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 6.88 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State's Power Rating: 6.88 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 6.88 Duke: 8.38
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 2.9 Duke: 4.8
NC State: 6.88 Duke: 8.38
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 2.9 Duke: 4.8
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 8.38 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.47 #22
Duke's Defense Rating: 11.51 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #23
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #91
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Duke's Power Rating: 8.38 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.47 #22
Duke's Defense Rating: 11.51 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #23
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #91
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 32
NC State 28
Total Points: 60
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 32
Duke 27
Total Points: 60
Based on Entire Season
Duke 34
NC State 29
Total Points: 63
Duke 32
NC State 28
Total Points: 60
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 32
Duke 27
Total Points: 60
Based on Entire Season
Duke 34
NC State 29
Total Points: 63
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/20 | Duke | 45 | NC State | 33 | Duke -3 | Duke | 57.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/09 | NC State | 19 | Duke | 29 | NC State -3.5 | Duke | 51.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Duke | 24 | NC State | 3 | Duke -3.5 | Duke | 44.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/17 | NC State | 31 | Duke | 20 | NC State -3.5 | NC State | 59.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Duke | 38 | NC State | 20 | Duke -9 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2009 | 10/10 | NC State | 28 | Duke | 49 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Duke | 17 | NC State | 27 | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Duke | 21 | NC State | 28 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | NC State | 24 | Duke | 22 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Duke | 31 | NC State | 55 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | NC State | 35 | Duke | 31 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 5 | 4 | 1 Overs |
| NC State | 6 | 1 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 5 | 4 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 6 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | DUKE |
| Power RatePwr | #51 | #50 |
| SP+SP+ | #61 | #53 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #73 | #32 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #9 |
| DefenseDef | #90 | #103 |
| Spec TeamsST | #78 | #26 |
| TalentTal | #43 | #48 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #39 | #54 |
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | DUKE Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #51 | #103 |
| SuccessSuc | #52 | #99 |
| ExplosiveExp | #12 | #118 |
| PPAPPA | #20 | #120 |
| PowerPwr | #28 | #88 |
| SP+SP+ | #47 | #91 |
| Pts POPPO | #10 | #129 |
| HavocHav | #73 | #28 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | DUKE Def | |
| Run GameRun | #57 | #60 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #64 | #80 |
| Run ExplRExp | #19 | #100 |
| PPAExp | #32 | #86 | Run BlockR Blk | #67 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #68 | #36 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #112 | #13 |
| TackleTak | - | #88 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | DUKE Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #79 | #114 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #43 | #116 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #31 | #111 |
| PPAExp | #25 | #124 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #56 | #56 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #98 | #15 |
| DB HavocDB | #54 | #70 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | NCST Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #9 | #90 |
| SuccessSuc | #32 | #41 |
| ExplosiveExp | #25 | #134 |
| PPAPPA | #26 | #102 |
| PowerPwr | #22 | #80 |
| SP+SP+ | #23 | #73 |
| Pts POPPO | #28 | #73 |
| HavocHav | #65 | #84 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | NCST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #47 | #61 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #61 | #22 |
| Run ExplRExp | #67 | #122 |
| PPAExp | #93 | #78 | Run BlockR Blk | #21 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #105 | #64 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #113 | #65 |
| TackleTak | - | #56 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | NCST Def |
| Pass GamePass | #6 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #22 | #55 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #36 | #118 |
| PPAExp | #21 | #91 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #29 | #68 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #89 | #108 |
| DB HavocDB | #39 | #46 |
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph
Duke -3.0 (57.5)
Duke won vs NC State this year (45-33)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat NC State last year (29-19)
Duke beat NC State in 2023 (24-3)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 273 | 397 | 69% | 3105 | 25 | 9 | 7.8 |
| Lex Thomas | 2 | 7 | 29% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 160 | 939 | 6 | 5.9 | 65 |
| Jayden Scott | 106 | 595 | 4 | 5.6 | 69 |
| CJ Bailey | 89 | 215 | 6 | 2.4 | 30 |
| Will Wilson | 43 | 146 | 10 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Anderson | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 75 |
| Justin Joly | 49 | 489 | 7 | 10.0 | 59 |
| Wesley Grimes | 31 | 458 | 3 | 14.8 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 31 | 413 | 2 | 13.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr) | 80 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Asaad Brown Jr. | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 62 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tra Thomas (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Travali Price | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 41 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Jackson Vick | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Brian Nelson II (Tr) | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 305 | 449 | 68% | 3646 | 30 | 5 | 8.1 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 178 | 962 | 10 | 5.4 | 49 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 110 | 470 | 11 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jaquez Moore | 39 | 192 | 1 | 4.9 | 32 |
| Travis Bates | 9 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | 39 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 68 | 1069 | 6 | 15.7 | 77 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 53 | 664 | 3 | 12.5 | 44 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 38 | 467 | 6 | 12.3 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Hasley | 34 | 404 | 5 | 11.9 | 56 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 81 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Luke Mergott | 81 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| DaShawn Stone | 77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 70 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 34 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Hall | 39 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Elliott Schaper | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| DaShawn Stone | 77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 70 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |