NC State Wolfpack at Duke Blue Devils 
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Duke -3 (57.5) (-155) Open: -3.0
Duke 45 - NC State: 33 (ACC)
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -5.5 (SP+ DUKE -2)
Projected Score: NCST: 27 - DUKE: 33 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -5.5 (SP+ DUKE -2)
Projected Score: NCST: 27 - DUKE: 33 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 57.5 | L 33 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 57.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 36 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 48 - 36 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +16.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 41 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +7.0 | 58.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 42 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/19 | NC State vs Memphis | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | -4.0 | 59.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | -3.5 | 54.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | -3.5 | 60.5 | L 18 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +4.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | -7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | -5.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -6.5 | 50.5 | W 32 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -2.5 | 54.0 | W 49 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Duke vs Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 12/31 | Duke vs Arizona State | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 42 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 30.2 | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 27.2 | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 34.6 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 29.4 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| DUKE | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 13 | 30.2 | 23 | 45.1% | 3.97 | 1.7 | 19 | 345 | 130 | 215 | 4.4 | 47% | 52% | 44% | 47% | 19% | .25 |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 29.4 | 31.3 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 13 | 27.2 | 39.8 | 40.9% | 3.78 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 20% | .19 |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 34.6 | 32.2 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 13 | 29:10 | 18.6 | 37% | 56% | 4.8 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 28.9 |
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (89) | 44% (68) | 29.6 | 130.3 | 4.4 | 21 (59) | .15 (56) | 3.24 (36) | 69% (92) | 13% (127) | 0.98 (59) |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 13 | 47% (33) | 39% (31) | - | - | - | - | .2 (111) | 3.07 (83) | 76% (86) | 12% (24) | 1.28 (134) |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 13 | 52% (48) | 47% (20) | 18.2 | 28.1 | 214.8 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 18 (68) | 12 (85) | .36 (24) | 1.6 (45) | 30% (35) | 36% (24) | .57 (5) | 6% (83) | 2.2 (19) |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 13 | 53% (106) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .19 (47) | 1.5 (22) | 33% (49) | 30% (65) | .33 (83) | 8% (16) | 2.3 (120) |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.70 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.37 #36
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.67 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State's Power Rating: 4.70 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.37 #36
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.67 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 4.70 Duke: 10.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 4.8 Duke: 6.6
NC State: 4.70 Duke: 10.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 4.8 Duke: 6.6
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 10.39 #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58 #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Duke's Power Rating: 10.39 #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58 #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 33
NC State 27
Projected Total Points: 60
Duke 33
NC State 27
Projected Total Points: 60
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/20 | Duke | 45 | NC State | 33 | Duke -3 | Duke | 57.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 11/09 | NC State | 19 | Duke | 29 | NC State -3.5 | Duke | 51.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Duke | 24 | NC State | 3 | Duke -3.5 | Duke | 44.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/17 | NC State | 31 | Duke | 20 | NC State -3.5 | NC State | 59.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Duke | 38 | NC State | 20 | Duke -9 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2009 | 10/10 | NC State | 28 | Duke | 49 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Duke | 17 | NC State | 27 | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Duke | 21 | NC State | 28 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | NC State | 24 | Duke | 22 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Duke | 31 | NC State | 55 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | NC State | 35 | Duke | 31 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 5 | 4 | 1 Overs |
| NC State | 6 | 1 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 5 | 4 - 1 | 4 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 6 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 4 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST | DUKE |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #52 | #42 |
| SP+SP+ | #55 | #44 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #75 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #52 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #89 | #99 |
| Spec TeamsST | #91 | #40 |
| TalentTal | #43 | #48 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #39 | #54 |
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | DUKE Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #52 | #99 |
| SuccessSuc | #36 | #16 |
| ExplosiveExp | #32 | #22 |
| PPAPPA | #26 | #10 |
| PowerPwr | #36 | #58 |
| SP+SP+ | #45 | #86 |
| Pts POPPO | #61 | #17 |
| HavocHav | #122 | #2 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | DUKE Def | |
| Run GameRun | #61 | #62 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #68 | #51 |
| Run ExplRExp | #59 | #38 |
| PPAExp | #56 | #35 | Run BlockR Blk | #52 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #36 | #28 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #37 | #16 |
| TackleTak | - | #89 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | DUKE Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #95 | #105 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #20 | #5 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #45 | #39 |
| PPAExp | #24 | #7 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #46 | #68 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #127 | #2 |
| DB HavocDB | #83 | #28 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | NCST Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #16 | #89 |
| SuccessSuc | #116 | #59 |
| ExplosiveExp | #84 | #113 |
| PPAPPA | #109 | #86 |
| PowerPwr | #23 | #67 |
| SP+SP+ | #19 | #64 |
| Pts POPPO | #90 | #67 |
| HavocHav | #115 | #16 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | NCST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #36 | #70 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #129 | #31 |
| Run ExplRExp | #131 | #134 |
| PPAExp | #133 | #111 | Run BlockR Blk | #36 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #131 | #83 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #130 | #105 |
| TackleTak | - | #74 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | NCST Def |
| Pass GamePass | #13 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #69 | #87 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #56 | #22 |
| PPAExp | #55 | #47 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #24 | #65 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #78 | #24 |
| DB HavocDB | #129 | #16 |
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Duke -3.0 (57.5)
Duke won vs NC State this year (45-33)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat NC State last year (45-33)
Duke beat NC State in 2024 (29-19)
Duke beat NC State in 2023 (24-3)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 273 | 397 | 69% | 3105 | 25 | 9 | 7.8 |
| Lex Thomas | 2 | 7 | 29% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 160 | 939 | 6 | 5.9 | 65 |
| Jayden Scott | 106 | 595 | 4 | 5.6 | 69 |
| CJ Bailey | 89 | 215 | 6 | 2.4 | 30 |
| Will Wilson | 43 | 146 | 10 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Anderson | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 75 |
| Justin Joly | 49 | 489 | 7 | 10.0 | 59 |
| Wesley Grimes | 31 | 458 | 3 | 14.8 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 31 | 413 | 2 | 13.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr) | 80 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Asaad Brown Jr. | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 62 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tra Thomas (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Travali Price | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 41 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Jackson Vick | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Brian Nelson II (Tr) | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 334 | 500 | 67% | 3973 | 34 | 6 | 7.9 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 200 | 1132 | 11 | 5.7 | 60 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 115 | 488 | 12 | 4.2 | 66 |
| Jaquez Moore | 41 | 201 | 1 | 4.9 | 32 |
| Travis Bates | 9 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | 39 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 72 | 1106 | 7 | 15.4 | 77 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 63 | 842 | 5 | 13.4 | 69 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 44 | 512 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Hasley | 40 | 454 | 6 | 11.4 | 56 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Mergott | 91 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 89 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DaShawn Stone | 86 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 73 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 34 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Hall | 44 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Wesley Williams | 43 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Luke Mergott | 91 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| DaShawn Stone | 86 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |