NC State Wolfpack at Duke Blue Devils
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (4:00 PM EDT)
Duke -3.5 (59.5) (-162) Open: -3.0
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC (ACC)
Wolfpack (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: NC State -1 (SP+ NCST -3.5)
Projected Score: NCST: 30 - DUKE: 29 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: NC State -1 (SP+ NCST -3.5)
Projected Score: NCST: 30 - DUKE: 29 (60)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
Blue Devils (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -32 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +12.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +19.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -9.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.5 | 59.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -5.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #56 (.23) | 44% (67) | 31 | 40% (95) | 2.53 (108) | 177 | 48% (39) | 240 | 4.39 (48) | #96 (.19) | 35% (35) | 24 | 30% (13) | 39% (63) | 3.19 (58) | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| DUKE | #40 (.31) | 47% (43) | 30.3 | 43% (79) | 3.15 (50) | 127 | 49% (37) | 353 | 3.54 (95) | #112 (.25) | 38% (64) | 32 | 33% (25) | 45% (102) | 5.33 (128) | 56.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | ||
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 3 | 31 | 34 | 43.8% | 4.39 | 0.3 | 22 | 416 | 177 | 240 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 40% | 48% | 18% | .23 |
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 32 | 31 | 38.4% | 5.33 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 43% | 33% | 45% | 17% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 3 | 24 | 24 | 35% | 3.19 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 60% | 30% | 39% | 14% | .19 |
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 30.3 | 32 | 47.1% | 3.54 | 2.3 | 24 | 479 | 127 | 353 | 5.2 | 37% | 63% | 43% | 49% | 13% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 3 | 32:35 | 22.3 | 38% | 100% | 6 | 57.3 | 0.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 28.9 |
| Duke | 3 | 25:52 | 23.7 | 45% | 40% | 6 | 56.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 9 | 2.7 | 1 | 27.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 3 | 55% (44) | 40% (95) | 37.7 | 176.7 | 4.7 | 6 (49) | .08 (89) | 2.53 (108) | 60% (103) | 12% (117) | 1.08 (45) |
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 57% (115) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .08 (73) | 2.26 (25) | 50% (19) | 15% (19) | 1.39 (128) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 3 | 39% (8) | 30% (13) | - | - | - | - | .15 (103) | 2.2 (21) | 64% (51) | 8% (94) | 1.57 (133) |
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 37% (130) | 43% (79) | 24.3 | 126.7 | 5.2 | 2 (109) | .03 (101) | 3.15 (50) | 83% (28) | 9% (71) | 0.83 (99) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Offense | 3 | 45% (91) | 48% (39) | 21 | 29.7 | 239.7 | 8.1 | 11.4 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .42 (39) | 1.5 (67) | 33% (93) | 32% (66) | .24 (92) | 5% (76) | 1.8 (92) |
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 43% (24) | 45% (102) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .47 (117) | 1.7 (108) | 35% (51) | 30% (79) | .41 (100) | 3% (128) | 2.1 (87) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCST Defense | 3 | 60% (131) | 39% (63) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .25 (78) | 1.6 (79) | 37% (26) | 32% (92) | .43 (103) | 5% (80) | 2.1 (84) |
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 63% (5) | 49% (37) | 27.3 | 41.3 | 352.7 | 8.5 | 12.9 | 8 (18) | 2 (60) | .47 (30) | 1.6 (52) | 31% (76) | 42% (23) | .51 (38) | 4% (44) | 1.9 (86) |
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 12.30 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State's Power Rating: 12.30 #46
NC State's Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
NC State's Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 12.30 Duke: 7.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.1 Duke: 1.4
NC State: 12.30 Duke: 7.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.1 Duke: 1.4
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Duke's Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
NC State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 30
Duke 29
Total Points: 60
NC State 30
Duke 29
Total Points: 60
Duke Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 31
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 31
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | NC State | 19 | Duke | 29 | Duke | NC State -3.5 | Duke | 51.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Duke | 24 | NC State | 3 | Duke | Duke -3.5 | Duke | 44.0 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/17 | NC State | 31 | Duke | 20 | NC State | NC State -3.5 | NC State | 59.5 | Under |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Duke | 38 | NC State | 20 | Duke | Duke -9 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2009 | 10/10 | NC State | 28 | Duke | 49 | Duke | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Duke | 17 | NC State | 27 | NC State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/25 | Duke | 21 | NC State | 28 | NC State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/19 | NC State | 24 | Duke | 22 | NC State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Duke | 31 | NC State | 55 | NC State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/10 | NC State | 35 | Duke | 31 | NC State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 4 | 3 | 0 Overs |
| NC State | 6 | 1 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 5 | 3 - 1 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 5 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 3 |
(#46) NC State Info
Power Rating: 12.30 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has won 3 straight
NC State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
Power Rating: 12.30 #46
Offense Rating: 17.47 #42
Defense Rating: 5.17 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #56
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #65
Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #39
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.39 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 48%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Great Run Def Success 30%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
NC State has won 3 straight
NC State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
NC State Notes
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
(5/29) Same 3-3-5 Def, added 4 DE's (G5) for rush
(5/29) DB exp is mostly portal adds, LBs OK but depth?
(5/29) Tons of close lines, lots of variance in '25
(5/29) New OC is Kurt Roper, on staff since '19. Meh
(5/29) QB Bailey a good find as Fr in a bad '24 season
(5/29) WRs meh LY, some depth. TE Joly a weapon.
NC State Highlights
NC State in Undefeated
NC State has a good run defense (#13)
NC State Defensive Line is very good (#21)
NC State has a great TO Margin (#11)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
NC State Deficiencies
NC State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#133)
NC State does not Sack the QB (#122)
NC State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#127)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE | NCST |
| OverallOver | #28 | #18 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #28 |
| DefenseDef | #53 | #28 |
| Special TeamsST | #21 | #57 |
| PassingPass | #5 | #11 |
| RushingRush | #28 | #27 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #29 | #73 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #43 | #64 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #40 | #23 |
| TacklingTkl | #80 | #48 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #16 | #36 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #38 | #28 |
| Coverage DefCov | #105 | #25 |
(#55) Duke Info
Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 2 straight
Duke has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)
Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 2 straight
Duke has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 63 | 89 | 71% | 719 | 5 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 63 | 380 | 3 | 6.0 | 57 |
| CJ Bailey | 21 | 84 | 3 | 4.0 | 30 |
| Jayden Scott | 19 | 66 | 0 | 3.5 | 13 |
| Will Wilson | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Grimes | 9 | 173 | 1 | 19.2 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 8 | 109 | 1 | 13.6 | 27 |
| Terrell Anderson | 9 | 107 | 0 | 11.9 | 30 |
| Teddy Hoffmann | 6 | 99 | 0 | 16.5 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Brody Barnhardt | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Travali Price | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Coleson Fields | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sean Brown | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 80 | 119 | 67% | 1036 | 8 | 2 | 8.7 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 15 | 127 | 0 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Jaquez Moore | 24 | 115 | 1 | 4.8 | 32 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 10 | 101 | 0 | 10.1 | 63 |
| Peyton Jones | 10 | 34 | 1 | 3.4 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 14 | 272 | 0 | 19.4 | 46 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 13 | 191 | 0 | 14.7 | 44 |
| Andrel Anthony Jr. | 10 | 121 | 3 | 12.1 | 35 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 9 | 116 | 3 | 12.9 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaShawn Stone | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Morris Jr. | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Johnson | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tre Freeman | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Mergott | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |