William & Mary at Duke - 2026 Matchup Preview
William & Mary logo William & Mary Tribe at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC

 
Tribe (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 55 (16 - 55 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Home Game
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -7  (SP+ DUKE -7)
DUKE Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
William & Mary's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 William & Mary at Duke+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for William & Mary's Schedule
Duke's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Duke vs Tulane-9
Sat 9/12 Duke at Illinois+9
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Stanford-11.5
Sat 9/26 Duke vs William & Mary-28
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Duke at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 10/17 Duke vs North Carolina-8
Fri 10/23 Duke at Virginia+6.5
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Boston College-11.5
Fri 11/6 Duke at NC State+5.5
Sat 11/14 Duke at Miami+21.5
Sat 11/21 Duke vs Clemson+2
Sat 11/28 Duke at Wake Forest+4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
W&M0%160%000%000%550%0%0000
DUKE#25 (.25)46% (30)34.645% (51)2.8 (99)13847% (20)2854.32 (26)#116 (.23)44% (98)29.443% (73)46% (119)4.39 (129)62.711.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
W&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
W&M Offense116160%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1429.431.343.8%4.391.7 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
W&M Defense155550%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1434.632.246%4.321234241382854.344%55%45%47%15%.25

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
William & Mary10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke1429:4322.539%74%6.462.711.76.71.9331.3
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
W&M Offense10%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense1448% (49)43% (73) - - - - .1 (68)2.62 (19)73% (85)12% (14)1.03 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
W&M Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense1444% (112)45% (51)32.4138.24.326 (60).08 (85)2.8 (99)69% (85)10% (79)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
W&M Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense1450% (86)46% (119) - - - - - - 14 (22).41 (125)1.6 (107)32% (56)34% (123).44 (128)6% (86)2 (77)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
W&M Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense1455% (21)47% (20)2436.1285.47.911.934 (14)6 (7).39 (24)1.6 (44)30% (39)33% (37).4 (30)6% (55)2.2 (13)

William & Mary's Power Ratings
William & Mary's Power Rating: NR
William & Mary's Offense Rating: NR
William & Mary's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
William & Mary's 2026 Expected Record: -
William & Mary's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
William & Mary's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
William & Mary's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
William & Mary:    Duke: 6.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
William & Mary:    Duke: 6.6




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.755  #57
Duke's Offense Rating: 15.11  #32
Duke's Defense Rating: 18.20  #74
2026 Talent Rating: 762.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #54
Duke's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


William & Mary Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

William & Mary's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 37
William & Mary 30

Projected Total Points: 67
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke000 Overs
William & Mary000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) W&M at (#57) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatW&MDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #57
SP+SP+NR #44
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #62
Blue ChipsBC%NR #54
William & Mary on Offense
CategoryCat
W&M OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #98
ExplosiveExpNR #120
PPAPPANR #116
PowerPwrNR #74
SP+SP+NR #86
Pts POPPONR #129
HavocHavNR #36
William & Mary Run Game
CategoryCat
W&M OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #73
Run ExplRExpNR #101
PPAExpNR #68
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #19
Stuff RateStuffNR #11
TackleTak - NR
William & Mary Pass Game
CategoryCat
W&M OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #119
Pass ExplPExlNR #107
PPAExpNR #125
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #14
DB HavocDBNR #86
Duke on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatDUKE OffW&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #30NR
ExplosiveExp #30NR
PPAPPA #25NR
PowerPwr #32NR
SP+SP+ #19NR
Pts POPPO #26NR
HavocHav #67NR
Duke Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffW&M Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #51NR
Run ExplRExp #65NR
PPAExp #85NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #99NR
Stuff RateStuff #115NR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatDUKE OffW&M Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #20NR
Pass ExplPExl #44NR
PPAExp #24NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79NR
DB HavocDB #55NR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

W&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
W&M's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tariq Sims6322303.535
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tariq Sims2321339.343

View William & Mary's Full Roster

W&M's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jorden McDonald31020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jorden McDonald31020
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jorden McDonald31020

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget (Tr)23239359%30581797.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard2001132115.760
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Walker Eget (Tr)339602.913
Travis Bates95706.339
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)60740512.364
Jeremiah Hasley40454611.456
Nate Sheppard3728617.720
Nate Kurisky (Tr)2015727.937

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Mergott918293
DaShawn Stone862013
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003
Landan Callahan420002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliott Schaper162200
Luke Mergott918293
Kendall Johnson373142
Preston Watson153121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Flowers (Tr)331004
Luke Mergott918293
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003