Duke at Tulane - 2025 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -1.5 (52.5) (-120)  Open: 0.0
Tulane 34 - Duke: 27

 
Blue Devils (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Tulane -1.5   (SP+ TULN -6)
Projected Score: DUKE: 26 - TULN: 27 (53)
TULN Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
DUKE Travel: 770 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Green Wave (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (29 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 3.2 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
 
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Duke vs Elon-36.551.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+2.549.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+1.552.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-3.058.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+3.5
Sat 10/4 Duke at California+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+13
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn+1
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia+1
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Tulane's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulane vs Northwestern-6.547.5W 23 - 3UY
Sat 9/6 Tulane at South Alabama-13.551.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 9/13 Tulane vs Duke-1.552.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/20 Tulane at Ole Miss+11.561.5
Sat 9/27 Tulane at Tulsa-13
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9 Tulane vs East Carolina-5.5
Sat 10/18 Tulane vs Army-13.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Tulane at UTSA-1.5
Fri 11/7 Tulane at Memphis+13.5
Sat 11/15 Tulane vs Florida Atlantic-15.5
Sat 11/22 Tulane at Temple-3.5
Sat 11/29 Tulane vs Charlotte-24

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#40 (.31)47% (43)30.343% (79)3.15 (50)12749% (37)3533.54 (95)#112 (.25)38% (64)3233% (25)45% (102)5.33 (128)56.32.30.3
TULN#71 (.2)44% (63)3043% (80)3.03 (64)22245% (58)1964.2 (57)#61 (.11)43% (96)20.347% (109)41% (71)3.21 (59)80.70.72.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense330.32747.1%3.542.3244791273535.237%63%43%49%13%.31
TULN Defense320.31543.2%3.212.7 - - - - - 44%55%47%41%15%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense3323438.4%5.330.3 - - - - - 57%43%33%45%17%.25
TULN Offense33028.544%4.20.7234182221965.358%42%43%45%12%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke325:5223.745%40%656.32.30.392.7127.2
Tulane333:4222.744%75%880.70.72.73.71.3035.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense337% (130)43% (79)24.3126.75.22 (109).03 (101)3.15 (50)83% (28)9% (71)0.83 (99)
TULN Defense344% (33)47% (109) - - - - .1 (82)3.19 (110)69% (66)7% (106)0.87 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense357% (115)33% (25) - - - - .08 (73)2.26 (25)50% (19)15% (19)1.39 (128)
TULN Offense358% (25)43% (80)41.72225.38 (26).15 (66)3.03 (64)64% (99)8% (63)1.09 (43)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense363% (5)49% (37)27.341.3352.78.512.98 (18)2 (60).47 (30)1.6 (52)31% (76)42% (23).51 (38)4% (44)1.9 (86)
TULN Defense355% (105)41% (71) - - - - - - 5 (6).17 (55)1.5 (52)27% (124)27% (52).28 (74)8% (24)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense343% (24)45% (102) - - - - - - 0.47 (117)1.7 (108)35% (51)30% (79).41 (100)3% (128)2.1 (87)
TULN Offense342% (110)45% (58)1728195.7711.52 (102)0 (1).27 (74)1.3 (114)33% (99)36% (38).31 (75)3% (33)1.5 (118)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.28   Tulane: 6.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 1.4   Tulane: 7.6




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.99 #77
Tulane's Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Tulane's Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
2025 Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulane's 2025 Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2
Tulane's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Duke Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 27
Duke 26


Total Points: 53

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

Tulane's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulane34Duke27TulaneTulane -1.5Tulane52.5Over
201509/03Tulane7Duke37DukeDuke -13.5Duke51.5Under
201409/20Duke47Tulane13DukeDuke -17.5Duke0
201109/24Duke48Tulane27Duke
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane111 Overs
Duke321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 31 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#55) Duke Info
Power Rating: 9.28 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Duke has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY

Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTULNDUKE
OverallOver#64#28
OffenseOff#78#21
DefenseDef#57#53
Special TeamsST#74#21
PassingPass#44#5
RushingRush#54#28
Run BlockRBLK#100#29
Pass BlockPBLK#81#43
Route RunningWR Rt#79#40
TacklingTkl#74#80
Run DefenseR Def#96#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#31#38
Coverage DefCov#15#105

Rematch from Week 3
Tulane -1.5 (52.5)
Tulane won vs Duke this year (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | TULN
Depth Chart: DUKE | TULN
Rosters: DUKE | TULN
(#77) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 6.99 #77
Offense Rating: 10.44 #80
Defense Rating: 9.06 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.6 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #61
Talent Rating: 704.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 8.8 - 3.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.21 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has won 2 straight
Tulane has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulane Notes
(9/2) Def amazing vs NW, Run Off good, G5 contender
(8/30) QBs J Retzlaff (BYU) will start opener vs NW
(8/30) Impressive Run Off vs NW, Retzlaff meh
(7/28) Schedule is sneaky rough, Oct - Nov 7 run
(7/27) DL may dominate the AAC. DT loaded w/ depth
(7/21) QBs Sullivan (IA), Retzlaff (BYU) post spring adds
(7/21) QB battle Sullivan, Semonza, Retzlaff in fall
(5/29) Off added 19 portals, 3 QB, 2RB, 4 WR, 6 OL
(5/29) WR rebuild. 4 portals. Hayes (FAU) good one
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. 2 portal starters + 4 more.

Tulane Highlights
Tulane in Undefeated
Tulane is Undefeated at Home
Tulane is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane has a great TO Margin (#28)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)
Tulane Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#109)
Tulane Does Not Stuff Runs (#129)
Tulane has a bad defensive line (#110)


  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)8011967%1036828.7
Henry Belin IV2540%22004.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard1512708.535
Jaquez Moore2411514.832
Anderson Castle (Tr)10101010.163
Peyton Jones103413.48
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cooper Barkate (Tr)14272019.446
Que'Sean Brown13191014.744
Andrel Anthony Jr.10121312.135
Sahmir Hagans9116312.929

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DaShawn Stone201000
Caleb Weaver (Tr)191001
Jaiden Francois (Tr)181100
Nick Morris Jr.174020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vincent Anthony126511
Josiah Green (Tr)32100
Kendall Johnson163110
Tre Freeman133110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers102012
Vincent Anthony126511
Luke Mergott41001

Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff467859%522206.7
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)55100%650013.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Retzlaff4028867.269
Javin Gordon2712204.522
Zuberi Mobley (Tr)2110725.128
Maurice Turner (Tr)148606.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes (Tr)13143011.026
Shazz Preston5113022.663
Bryce Bohanon890011.320
Justyn Reid (Tr)452113.033

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dickson Agu262001
Jack Tchienchou222101
Bailey Despanie151000
Chris Rodgers141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Santana Hopper (Tr)72100
Kameron Hamilton21110
Jack Tchienchou222101
Gerrod Henderson81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Johnson70004
E'zaiah Shine110002
Dickson Agu262001