Wake Forest at Duke - 2022 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo   Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils  Duke logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Wake Forest -3 (67.0)
Duke 34 - Wake Forest: 31  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (51 - 48)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE is playing their 4th straight game
WAKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ WAKE -3)

Projected Score: WAKE: 29 - DUKE: 29 (58)
WAKE Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WAKE Travel: 74 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wake Forest's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Wake Forest vs VMI-33.566.5W 44 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Wake Forest at Vanderbilt-13.565.5W 45 - 25OY
Sat 9/17 Wake Forest vs Liberty-17.564.0W 37 - 36ON
Sat 9/24 Wake Forest vs Clemson+7.558.0L 45 - 51OY
Sat 10/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+6.067.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/8 Wake Forest vs Army-16.065.5W 45 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Wake Forest vs Boston College-20.060.0W 43 - 15UY
Sat 10/29 Wake Forest at Louisville-3.066.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 11/5 Wake Forest at NC State-3.054.0L 21 - 30UN
Sat 11/12 Wake Forest vs North Carolina-4.579.0L 34 - 36UN
Sat 11/19 Wake Forest vs Syracuse-9.558.5W 45 - 35OY
Sat 11/26 Wake Forest at Duke-3.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Fri 12/23 Wake Forest vs Missouri-3.059.0W 27 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Duke's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Duke vs Temple-9.551.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Duke at Northwestern+10.056.5W 31 - 23UY
Sat 9/17 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-30.553.0W 49 - 20ON
Sat 9/24 Duke at Kansas+7.566.0L 27 - 35UN
Sat 10/1 Duke vs Virginia-2.055.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Duke at Georgia Tech-3.554.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/15 Duke vs North Carolina+7.070.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 10/22 Duke at Miami+10.059.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4 Duke at Boston College-11.547.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Duke vs Virginia Tech-10.050.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/19 Duke at Pittsburgh+6.549.0L 26 - 28OY
Sat 11/26 Duke vs Wake Forest+3.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Wed 12/28 Duke vs UCF-3.563.0W 30 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE.345%28.144%3.0816147%3074.88.2647%22.150%43%3.8852.61.42.2
DUKE.1843%34.643%3.1518043%2383.07.3847%29.448%47%4.7761.71.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1428.124.845.4%4.881.425468161307446%54%44%47%16%.3
DUKE Defense1229.431.346.7%4.771.2 - - - - - 49%49%48%47%16%.38
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1422.127.446.8%3.882.2 - - - - - 54%46%50%43%20%.26
DUKE Offense1234.632.242.8%3.071.8224181802384.153%46%43%43%16%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1428:4225.350%60%5.852.61.42.26.92.7230.5
Duke1229:1821.842%38%6.561.71.81.251.8228.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1446%44%40.4160.5431.163.0873%8%0.94
DUKE Defense1249%48% - - - - .253.2878%10%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1454%50% - - - - .293.3771%14%1.09
DUKE Offense1253%43%43.7180.34.122.133.1576%11%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1454%47%21.637.1307.48.314.33915.431.731%38%.528%2
DUKE Defense1249%47% - - - - - - 8.561.933%40%.647%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1446%43% - - - - - - 15.221.630%37%.436%2
DUKE Offense1246%43%22.134.2237.9710.899.281.532%29%.255%1.8

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wake Forest's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2  #43
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3  #6
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest:    Duke: 5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 8.2   Duke: 5.0




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2022 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0  #55
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #61
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Wake Forest 29
Duke 29


Projected Total Points: 58
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Duke49Wake Forest32Duke -2.5Duke54.0Over
202411/30Wake Forest17Duke23Duke -3.5Duke53.5Under
202311/02Duke24Wake Forest21Duke -6.5Wake Forest41.0Over
202211/26Duke34Wake Forest31Wake Forest -3Duke67.0Under
202110/30Wake Forest45Duke7Wake Forest -16.5Wake Forest71.5Under
201911/23Wake Forest39Duke27Wake Forest -6.5Wake Forest50.0Over
201811/24Duke7Wake Forest59Duke -9.5Wake Forest61.5Over
201711/25Wake Forest23Duke31Wake Forest -10.5Duke59.0Under
201609/10Duke14Wake Forest24Duke -8.5Wake Forest45.5Under
201511/28Wake Forest21Duke27Duke -4Duke45.0Over
201411/29Duke41Wake Forest21Duke -18Duke0
201311/23Wake Forest21Duke28Duke -5.5Duke0
201209/29Wake Forest27Duke34
201110/22Duke23Wake Forest24
201009/11Wake Forest54Duke48
200911/28Duke34Wake Forest45
200811/01Wake Forest33Duke30
200710/06Duke36Wake Forest41
200609/09Wake Forest14Duke13
200510/29Duke6Wake Forest44
200410/30Wake Forest24Duke22
200310/18Duke13Wake Forest42
200210/12Wake Forest36Duke10
200110/13Duke35Wake Forest42
200011/03Wake Forest28Duke26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke975 Overs
Wake Forest1655 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 135 - 74 - 41 - 3
Road Teams13 - 127 - 53 - 14 - 4

(#) WAKE at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAKEDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #55
Perf GradeGrade #7 #49
OffenseOff #11 #53
DefenseDef #11 #55
Spec TeamsST #86 #51
TalentTal #68 #62
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Wake Forest on Offense
CategoryCat
WAKE OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #11 #55
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #50
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wake Forest Run Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffDUKE Def
Run GameRun #104 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #50 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #76
Wake Forest Pass Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePass #4 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #41 #31
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffWAKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #11
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffWAKE Def
Run GameRun #50 #7
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #37
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePass #69 #54
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Wake Forest 3.0 (67.0)
Duke won vs Wake Forest this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Wake Forest last year (49-32)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2024 (23-17)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2023 (24-21)

  
WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD