Duke at Wake Forest - 2021 Matchup Preview

Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -16.5 (71.5)
Wake Forest 45 - Duke: 7 (ACC)

Blue Devils (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Cutcliffe (76 - 89)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ WAKE -24)
Projected Score: DUKE: 28 - WAKE: 28 (56)
WAKE Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
DUKE Travel: 74 miles

Demon Deacons (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (43 - 45)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
DUKE Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Duke's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Duke at Charlotte	-6.0	60.0	L 28 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/10	Duke vs North Carolina A&T	-22.5	55.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Duke vs Northwestern	+2.5	50.0	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Duke vs Kansas	-16.5	57.5	W 52 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Duke at North Carolina	+19.5	74.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/9	Duke vs Georgia Tech	+4.5	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Duke at Virginia	+10.5	69.5	L 0 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Duke at Wake Forest	+16.5	71.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Duke vs Pittsburgh	+21.0	64.5	L 29 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/13	Duke at Virginia Tech	+13.5	50.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/18	Duke vs Louisville	+20.0	60.0	L 22 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/27	Duke vs Miami	+20.5	67.0	L 10 - 47	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Wake Forest vs Old Dominion	-32.5	61.5	W 42 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wake Forest vs Norfolk State	-43.0	58.0	W 41 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/18	Wake Forest vs Florida State	-4.5	63.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/24	Wake Forest at Virginia	+3.5	71.0	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Wake Forest vs Louisville	-7.0	64.5	W 37 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/9	Wake Forest at Syracuse	-5.5	59.0	W 40 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Wake Forest at Army	-3.0	53.5	W 70 - 56	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Wake Forest vs Duke	-16.5	71.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Wake Forest at North Carolina	+2.5	78.0	L 55 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/13	Wake Forest vs NC State	-1.0	65.0	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Wake Forest at Clemson	+3.5	57.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/27	Wake Forest at Boston College	-5.5	64.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.5	72.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Fri 12/31	Wake Forest vs Rutgers	-17.0	63.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE	.06	39%	34.6	39%	2.33	157	40%	222	2.68	.28	43%	29.4	45%	40%	4.55	50.4	3.5	1.8
WAKE	.23	42%	28.1	41%	2.76	166	42%	281	4.24	.22	47%	22.1	48%	45%	4.23	44.6	0.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
DUKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Offense	11	34.6	37	39.1%	2.68	3.5	22	379	157	222	3.9	47%	53%	39%	40%	20%	.06
WAKE Defense	9	22.1	17.3	46.7%	4.23	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	48%	45%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
DUKE Defense	11	29.4	27.5	42.8%	4.55	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	45%	40%	16%	.28
WAKE Offense	9	28.1	28.3	41.5%	4.24	0.8	24	447	166	281	3.9	50%	50%	41%	42%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Duke	11	28:29	21.5	39%	48%	5.6	50.4	3.5	1.8	6.1	2.8	1	29.3
Wake Forest	9	27:23	23.6	40%	48%	5.3	44.6	0.8	1.9	7.6	1.8	4	29.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense	11	47%	39%	39.8	156.7	3.9	19	.03	2.33	68%	13%	1.05
WAKE Defense	9	54%	48%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.65	82%	12%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense	11	53%	45%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.15	78%	11%	1.24
WAKE Offense	9	50%	41%	42	165.7	3.9	22	.06	2.76	80%	11%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense	11	53%	40%	19.9	35.5	221.9	6.3	11.2	11	19	.12	1.5	31%	33%	.28	7%	1.9
WAKE Defense	9	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.5	30%	33%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense	11	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.3	1.8	32%	35%	.51	5%	2.1
WAKE Offense	9	50%	42%	19.4	34.4	281.4	8.2	14.5	14	5	.39	1.8	34%	30%	.42	6%	2.3

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #114
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #97
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #119

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: Wake Forest: 7.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -13.5 Wake Forest: 10.1

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 7.55 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1 #39
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #10
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Duke 28
Wake Forest 28

Projected Total Points: 56

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Duke	49	Wake Forest	32	Duke -2.5	Duke	54.0	Over
2024	11/30	Wake Forest	17	Duke	23	Duke -3.5	Duke	53.5	Under
2023	11/02	Duke	24	Wake Forest	21	Duke -6.5	Wake Forest	41.0	Over
2022	11/26	Duke	34	Wake Forest	31	Wake Forest -3	Duke	67.0	Under
2021	10/30	Wake Forest	45	Duke	7	Wake Forest -16.5	Wake Forest	71.5	Under
2019	11/23	Wake Forest	39	Duke	27	Wake Forest -6.5	Wake Forest	50.0	Over
2018	11/24	Duke	7	Wake Forest	59	Duke -9.5	Wake Forest	61.5	Over
2017	11/25	Wake Forest	23	Duke	31	Wake Forest -10.5	Duke	59.0	Under
2016	09/10	Duke	14	Wake Forest	24	Duke -8.5	Wake Forest	45.5	Under
2015	11/28	Wake Forest	21	Duke	27	Duke -4	Duke	45.0	Over
2014	11/29	Duke	41	Wake Forest	21	Duke -18	Duke	0
2013	11/23	Wake Forest	21	Duke	28	Duke -5.5	Duke	0
2012	09/29	Wake Forest	27	Duke	34
2011	10/22	Duke	23	Wake Forest	24
2010	09/11	Wake Forest	54	Duke	48
2009	11/28	Duke	34	Wake Forest	45
2008	11/01	Wake Forest	33	Duke	30
2007	10/06	Duke	36	Wake Forest	41
2006	09/09	Wake Forest	14	Duke	13
2005	10/29	Duke	6	Wake Forest	44
2004	10/30	Wake Forest	24	Duke	22
2003	10/18	Duke	13	Wake Forest	42
2002	10/12	Wake Forest	36	Duke	10
2001	10/13	Duke	35	Wake Forest	42
2000	11/03	Wake Forest	28	Duke	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	16	5	5 Overs
Duke	9	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	5 - 7	4 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	7 - 5	3 - 1	4 - 4

(#) DUKE at (#) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	DUKE	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#39
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#20
OffenseOff	#96	#10
DefenseDef	#124	#54
Spec TeamsST	#24	#80
TalentTal	#60	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Duke Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Duke on Offense


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Duke Run Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#115	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

Duke Pass Game


CategoryCat	DUKE Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#96	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#74	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	DUKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#10	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	DUKE Def
Run GameRun	#61	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#126

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	DUKE Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#13	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Wake Forest -16.5 (71.5)
Wake Forest won vs Duke this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Wake Forest last year (49-32)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2024 (23-17)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2023 (24-21)

DUKE's OC Re'Quan Boyette (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Ben Albert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD