Elon at Duke - 2024 Matchup Preview
Elon logo Elon Phoenix at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Friday, August 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Duke -24.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 26 - Elon: 3

 
Phoenix (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 26 (3 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
Our Line: Duke -6.5  (SP+ DUKE -6)
DUKE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Elon's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Elon at Duke+24.547.5L 3 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Elon's Schedule
Duke's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Duke vs Elon-24.547.5W 26 - 3UN
Fri 9/6 Duke vs Northwestern+2.537.5W 26 - 20OY
Sat 9/14 Duke vs UConn-17.546.5W 26 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Duke at Middle Tennessee-14.551.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 Duke vs North Carolina+1.055.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Duke at Georgia Tech+10.052.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Duke vs Florida State-2.543.0W 23 - 16UY
Sat 10/26 Duke vs SMU+11.549.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 11/2 Duke at Miami+21.055.5L 31 - 53ON
Sat 11/9 Duke at NC State+3.551.5W 29 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Duke vs Virginia Tech+2.545.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Duke at Wake Forest-3.553.5W 23 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ELON0%30%000%000%260%0%0000
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)24.541% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ELON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ELON Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1324.519.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ELON Defense126260%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1326.325.738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Elon10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ELON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ELON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ELON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ELON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)

Elon's Power Ratings
Elon's Power Rating: NR
Elon's Offense Rating: NR
Elon's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Elon's 2024 Expected Record: -
Elon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Elon's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Elon's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Elon:    Duke: 6.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Elon:    Duke: 5.6




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.64  #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10  #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83  #17
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6  #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Elon Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Elon's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 27
Elon 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 36
Elon 20

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Duke 26
Elon 13

Total Points: 39
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28Duke45Elon17Duke -36.5Elon51.5Over
202408/30Duke26Elon3Duke -24.5Elon47.5Under
201408/30Duke52Elon13Duke -38Duke0
201009/04Duke41Elon27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke411 Overs
Elon021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#NR) ELON at (#50) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatELONDUKE
Power RatePwrNR #50
SP+SP+NR #44
Perf GradeGradeNR #59
OffenseOffNR #90
DefenseDefNR #25
Spec TeamsSTNR #68
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #65
Duke Notes
(12/11) Signed QB Mensah (Tulane QB '24)
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
(8/19) New QB Maalik Murphy (Tex), WR Moore good
Duke Injury Report
Elon on Offense
CategoryCat
ELON OffDUKE Def
Perf GradePerfNR #25
SuccessSucNR #16
ExplosiveExpNR #22
PPAPPANR #10
PowerPwrNR #17
SP+SP+NR #31
Pts POPPONR #17
HavocHavNR #2
Elon Run Game
CategoryCat
ELON OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNR #63
Run SuccessRSucNR #51
Run ExplRExpNR #38
PPAExpNR #35
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #28
Stuff RateStuffNR #16
TackleTak -  #73
Elon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ELON OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNR #8
Pass SuccessPSucNR #5
Pass ExplPExlNR #39
PPAExpNR #7
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #37
F7 HavocF7NR #2
DB HavocDBNR #28
Duke on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatDUKE OffELON Def
Perf GradePerf #90NR
SuccessSuc #116NR
ExplosiveExp #84NR
PPAPPA #109NR
PowerPwr #113NR
SP+SP+ #71NR
Pts POPPO #90NR
HavocHav #115NR
Duke Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffELON Def
Run GameRun #122NR
Run SuccessRSuc #129NR
Run ExplRExp #131NR
PPAExp #133NR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLY #131NR
Stuff RateStuff #130NR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatDUKE OffELON Def
Pass GamePass #59NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #69NR
Pass ExplPExl #56NR
PPAExp #55NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #68NR
F7 HavocF7 #78NR
DB HavocDB #129NR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ELON 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 82°
Rematch from Week 1
Duke -24.5 (47.5)
Duke won vs Elon this year (26-3)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Elon last year (26-3)

  
ELON's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Elon's Full Roster

ELON's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Baker100002
Dj Hamilton90000
Caleb Curtain60003
Cazeem Moore62000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Baker100002
Josh Johnson21000
Senquavious Alsobrooks10000
Ethan Grace10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Curtain60003
Khalil Baker100002
Chuck Nnaeto20000

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Henry Belin IV113903.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ozzie Nicholas (Tr)1004142
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Terry Moore717105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Vincent Anthony25105133
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Stinson674238
Chandler Rivers548138
Joshua Pickett384007