Elon at Duke - 2024 Matchup Preview
Elon logo Elon Phoenix at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Friday, August 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Duke -24.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 26 - Elon: 3

 
Phoenix (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 26 (3 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Duke -6.5   (SP+ DUKE -6)
DUKE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Elon's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Elon at Duke+24.547.5L 3 - 26UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Elon's Schedule
Duke's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Duke vs Elon-24.547.5W 26 - 3UN
Fri 9/6 Duke vs Northwestern+2.537.5W 26 - 20OY
Sat 9/14 Duke vs UConn-17.546.5W 26 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Duke at Middle Tennessee-14.551.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 Duke vs North Carolina+1.055.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Duke at Georgia Tech+10.052.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Duke vs Florida State-2.543.0W 23 - 16UY
Sat 10/26 Duke vs SMU+11.549.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 11/2 Duke at Miami+21.055.5L 31 - 53ON
Sat 11/9 Duke at NC State+3.551.5W 29 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Duke vs Virginia Tech+2.545.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Duke at Wake Forest-3.553.5W 23 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ELON0%30%000%000%260%0%0000
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)24.541% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ELON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ELON Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1324.519.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ELON Defense126260%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1326.325.738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Elon10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ELON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ELON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ELON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ELON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)

Elon's Power Ratings
Elon's Power Rating: #NR
Elon's Offense Rating: #NR
Elon's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Elon's 2024 Expected Record: -
Elon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Elon's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Elon's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Elon:    Duke: 6.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Elon:    Duke: 5.6




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 6.64 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Elon Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Elon's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 25
Elon 18


Total Points: 43

Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28Duke45Elon17DukeDuke -36.5Elon51.5Over
202408/30Duke26Elon3DukeDuke -24.5Elon47.5Under
201408/30Duke52Elon13DukeDuke -38Duke0
201009/04Duke41Elon27Duke
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke411 Overs
Elon021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#NR) Elon Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Elon Highlights
Elon is Undefeated vs Spread


Elon Deficiencies
Elon has a really bad Offense

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatDUKEELON
OverallOver#43
OffenseOff#73
DefenseDef#19
Special TeamsST#56
PassingPass#47
RushingRush#90
Run BlockRBLK#67
Pass BlockPBLK#60
Route RunningWR Rt#57
TacklingTkl#64
Run DefenseR Def#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#32
Coverage DefCov#8

Rematch from Week 1
Duke -24.5 (47.5)
Duke won vs Elon this year (26-3)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Elon last year (26-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ELON | DUKE
Depth Chart: ELON | DUKE
Rosters: ELON | DUKE
(#50) Duke Info
Power Rating: 6.64 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see

Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)

Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Elon's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Elon's Full Roster
Elon's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Baker100002
Dj Hamilton90000
Caleb Curtain60003
Cazeem Moore62000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalil Baker100002
Josh Johnson21000
Senquavious Alsobrooks10000
Ethan Grace10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Curtain60003
Khalil Baker100002
Chuck Nnaeto20000

Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Henry Belin IV113903.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ozzie Nicholas (Tr)1004142
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Terry Moore717105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Vincent Anthony25105133
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Stinson674238
Chandler Rivers548138
Joshua Pickett384007