Duke at Georgia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsGeorgia Tech logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia Tech -10 (52.5) (-375)  Open: -8.0
Georgia Tech 24 - Duke: 14  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
GT coming off BYE
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Tech -3   (SP+ DUKE -3.5)

Projected Score: DUKE: 25 - GT: 28 (53)
GT Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
DUKE Travel: 345 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Key (11 - 10)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (35 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Duke vs Elon-24.547.5W 26 - 3UN
Fri 9/6 Duke vs Northwestern+2.537.5W 26 - 20OY
Sat 9/14 Duke vs UConn-17.546.5W 26 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Duke at Middle Tennessee-14.551.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 Duke vs North Carolina+1.055.5W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Duke at Georgia Tech+10.052.5L 14 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 Duke vs Florida State-2.543.0W 23 - 16UY
Sat 10/26 Duke vs SMU+11.549.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 11/2 Duke at Miami+21.055.5L 31 - 53ON
Sat 11/9 Duke at NC State+3.551.5W 29 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Duke vs Virginia Tech+2.545.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 Duke at Wake Forest-3.553.5W 23 - 17UY
Thu 1/2 Duke vs Ole Miss+17.550.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 Georgia Tech vs Florida State+10.054.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 8/31 Georgia Tech vs Georgia State-20.557.0W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Tech at Syracuse-2.560.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia Tech vs VMI-42.553.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Tech at Louisville+9.556.0L 19 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Georgia Tech vs Duke-10.052.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia Tech at North Carolina-3.560.5W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/19 Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame+14.049.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 10/26 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech+11.052.0L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Georgia Tech vs Miami+9.564.5W 28 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/21 Georgia Tech vs NC State-7.551.5W 30 - 29ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia Tech at Georgia+17.548.5L 42 - 44OY
Fri 12/27 Georgia Tech vs Vanderbilt-3.049.0L 27 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#64 (.2)42% (69)26.342% (77)3.1 (70)16742% (66)1814.27 (31)#52 (.16)43% (86)24.543% (69)44% (101)3.47 (43)461.21.2
GT#32 (.28)45% (36)28.949% (19)3.53 (6)20442% (62)2214.27 (31)#100 (.23)46% (119)25.648% (120)44% (100)3.83 (72)44.81.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.442%4.271.2193481671814.852%47%42%42%13%.2
GT Defense1325.61745.7%3.831.9 - - - - - 57%42%48%44%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52643.3%3.471.2 - - - - - 49%50%43%44%16%.16
GT Offense1328.935.245.1%4.271.6224252042215.455%43%49%42%17%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1328:5918.736%60%5.6461.21.25.52.1131.2
Georgia Tech1328:3922.243%52%5.244.81.61.94.41.7031.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (114)8% (20)1.08 (30)
GT Defense1357% (128)48% (120) - - - - .24 (116)3.49 (128)87% (129)10% (81)0.97 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (39)10% (82)0.96 (43)
GT Offense1355% (30)49% (19)37.8203.85.424 (41).27 (12)3.53 (6)75% (52)11% (78)1.03 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)
GT Defense1342% (5)44% (100) - - - - - - 15 (15).29 (86)1.5 (41)29% (124)31% (88).32 (73)8% (8)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)
GT Offense1343% (107)42% (62)17.829.2220.87.612.427 (25)17 (127).37 (31)1.8 (10)30% (40)32% (58).43 (36)7% (102)2.3 (8)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68   Georgia Tech: 6.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6   Georgia Tech: 1.9




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
2024 Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Georgia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Georgia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 28
Duke 25


Projected Total Points: 53
Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Georgia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Georgia Tech24Duke14Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -10Push52.5Under
202210/08Georgia Tech23Duke20Georgia TechDuke -3.5Georgia Tech54.0Under
202110/09Duke27Georgia Tech31Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -4.5Duke60.5Under
202011/28Georgia Tech56Duke33Georgia TechDuke -1.5Georgia Tech57.0Over
201910/12Duke41Georgia Tech23DukeDuke -17.5Duke47.5Over
201810/13Georgia Tech14Duke28DukeGeorgia Tech -1.5Duke55.5Under
201711/18Duke43Georgia Tech20DukeGeorgia Tech -6.5Duke49.0Over
201610/29Georgia Tech38Duke35Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -8.5Duke50.5Over
201509/26Duke34Georgia Tech20DukeGeorgia Tech -10Duke56.0Under
201410/11Georgia Tech25Duke31DukeGeorgia Tech -6Duke0
201309/14Duke14Georgia Tech38Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -9Georgia Tech0
201211/17Georgia Tech42Duke24Georgia Tech
201111/19Duke31Georgia Tech38Georgia Tech
201011/20Georgia Tech30Duke20Georgia Tech
200911/14Duke10Georgia Tech49Georgia Tech
200810/04Georgia Tech27Duke0Georgia Tech
200711/10Duke24Georgia Tech41Georgia Tech
200611/18Georgia Tech49Duke21Georgia Tech
200510/15Duke10Georgia Tech35Georgia Tech
200410/16Georgia Tech24Duke7Georgia Tech
200311/08Duke41Georgia Tech17Duke
200211/16Georgia Tech17Duke2Georgia Tech
200110/06Duke10Georgia Tech37Georgia Tech
200010/20Georgia Tech45Duke10Georgia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech1834 Overs
Duke675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 96 - 41 - 35 - 1
Road Teams9 - 154 - 61 - 53 - 1

(#50) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 716.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke     Ratings Matchup     Georgia Tech
Power #50
#38
Off #113
#14
Def #17
#79
Talent #56
#52
SP+ #44
#66
SP+ Off #71
#42
SP+ Def #31
#79

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia Tech -10.0 (52.5)
Georgia Tech won vs Duke this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Duke last year (24-14)
Georgia Tech beat Duke in 2022 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | GT
Depth Chart: DUKE | GT
Rosters: DUKE | GT
(#38) Georgia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.93 #38
Offense Rating: 26.04 #14
Defense Rating: 11.07 #79
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.9 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #79
Talent Rating: 728.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Georgia Tech Notes
(11/25) Survived NC St, Rgame bad, Fr QB Philo good
(11/13) Rgame torched Miami, King ran hard, RDef great
(10/19) No Rgame w/o Haynes, 64 yds, 2.2 ypc vs ND
(10/18) QB King out vs Notre Dame. SO Pyron start
(10/13) Run Def torched by NC. Rgame 371 yds (7.7 ypc)
(9/21) Run Def great vs L'ville. Rgame had awful night
(9/8) Def torched by Cuse, 520 yds, 381 passing
(8/24) DL much better than expected vs FSU
(8/19) Huge gap between Off & Def, new DC TY
(8/19) Over bet watch. Faulkner's Off good, Def bad


  
Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)25442160%293226127.0
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas (Tr)21387174.144
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Henry Belin IV113903.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Star Thomas (Tr)2015317.729
Javon Harvey (Tr)1110119.216

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ozzie Nicholas (Tr)1004142
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Alex Howard (Tr)8915761
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Terry Moore717105
Kimari Robinson235014

Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Eric Singleton Jr.2113116.235
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.56754313.557
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Bailey Stockton17206112.127
Jackson Hawes (Tr)16195012.233

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
Omar Daniels513003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Romello Height (Tr)347340
Syeed Gibbs (Tr)224101
Jordan van den Berg (Tr)235110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Warren Burrell (Tr)270004
Rodney Shelley195014
Clayton Powell-Lee532113