Georgia Tech at Duke Game Matchup
Georgia Tech logo Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC  (ACC)

 
Yellow Jackets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (18 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: Duke -1   (SP+ DUKE -0)
Projected Score: GT: 26 - DUKE: 27 (53)
DUKE Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
GT Travel: 345 miles
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (26 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.9 - 5.1 (#53)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 6) (Bad: 4)
 
Georgia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Georgia Tech at Colorado-3.557.5
Sat 9/6 Georgia Tech vs Gardner-Webb-31
Sat 9/13 Georgia Tech vs Clemson+15.5
Sat 9/20 Georgia Tech vs Temple-28
Sat 9/27 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech-4
Sat 10/18 Georgia Tech at Duke+1
Sat 10/25 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-4.5
Sat 11/1 Georgia Tech at NC State+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Georgia Tech at Boston College-2.5
Sat 11/22 Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh-5
Sat 11/29 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+17.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Duke vs Elon-29.5
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+5.5
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+0
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-2.5
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse+2
Sat 10/4 Duke at California-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+22
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn-7.5
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia-8.5
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-1.5
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-15.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 6, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Duke's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)28.945% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)25.641% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)26.335% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)24.541% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Offense1328.927.245.9%4.250.6203941722224.954%46%45%46%12%.24
DUKE Defense1324.519.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Defense1325.632.242.3%3.970.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%15%.16
DUKE Offense1326.325.738.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Tech1328:4419.841%56%4.635.60.60.85.21.3127.1
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Offense1354% (44)45% (47)35172.44.929 (18).14 (62)2.85 (100)75% (56)7% (21)1.03 (46)
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Defense1347% (30)41% (50) - - - - .05 (31)2.56 (12)59% (9)10% (73)1 (74)
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Offense1346% (90)46% (25)18.829221.87.711.814 (108)6 (10).36 (26)1.5 (110)29% (22)38% (10).44 (24)5% (34)1.9 (105)
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Defense1353% (107)44% (99) - - - - - - 5 (117).27 (85)1.5 (42)32% (75)27% (26).21 (33)5% (88)2 (50)
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 9.91 #36
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 21.89 #26
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.98 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Georgia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Georgia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #27
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #64

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 9.91   Duke: 8.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 4.7   Duke: 4.9




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 8.405 #47
Duke's Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
2025 Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Georgia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 27
Georgia Tech 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Georgia Tech24Duke14Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -10Push52.5Under
202210/08Georgia Tech23Duke20Georgia TechDuke -3.5Georgia Tech54.0Under
202110/09Duke27Georgia Tech31Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -4.5Duke60.5Under
202011/28Georgia Tech56Duke33Georgia TechDuke -1.5Georgia Tech57.0Over
201910/12Duke41Georgia Tech23DukeDuke -17.5Duke47.5Over
201810/13Georgia Tech14Duke28DukeGeorgia Tech -1.5Duke55.5Under
201711/18Duke43Georgia Tech20DukeGeorgia Tech -6.5Duke49.0Over
201610/29Georgia Tech38Duke35Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -8.5Duke50.5Over
201509/26Duke34Georgia Tech20DukeGeorgia Tech -10Duke56.0Under
201410/11Georgia Tech25Duke31DukeGeorgia Tech -6Duke0
201309/14Duke14Georgia Tech38Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -9Georgia Tech0
201211/17Georgia Tech42Duke24Georgia Tech
201111/19Duke31Georgia Tech38Georgia Tech
201011/20Georgia Tech30Duke20Georgia Tech
200911/14Duke10Georgia Tech49Georgia Tech
200810/04Georgia Tech27Duke0Georgia Tech
200711/10Duke24Georgia Tech41Georgia Tech
200611/18Georgia Tech49Duke21Georgia Tech
200510/15Duke10Georgia Tech35Georgia Tech
200410/16Georgia Tech24Duke7Georgia Tech
200311/08Duke41Georgia Tech17Duke
200211/16Georgia Tech17Duke2Georgia Tech
200110/06Duke10Georgia Tech37Georgia Tech
200010/20Georgia Tech45Duke10Georgia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke674 Overs
Georgia Tech1835 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 96 - 41 - 35 - 1
Road Teams9 - 154 - 61 - 53 - 1

(#36) Georgia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.91 #36
Offense Rating: 21.89 #26
Defense Rating: 11.98 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #64
Talent Rating: 776.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.25 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Georgia Tech Notes
(5/29) RB Haynes great, Alexander back w/ depth.
(5/29) WR lost #1 (Aub). 5 portal adds (FIU #1/2)
(5/29) OL 2/5 back. Schemed around LY, OTs huge ?
(5/29) Def struggled LY, a lot back + 13 portal adds
(5/29) Can Def elevate, find pressure w/ 3 DE adds?
(5/13) WR Eric Rivers top portal add FIU (1K, 12 TDs)
(3/24) Portal RB Hosley (Penn) great find & fit
(3/21) QB King a perfect fit, #2 Philo can play
(3/21) Key been a good coach. Lighter sched TY
(3/21) New DC Gideon 1st time DC (Texas DBs LY)
Georgia Tech     Ratings Matchup     Duke
Power #36
#47
Off #26
#77
Def #54
#21
Talent #53
#44
SP+ #43
#41
SP+ Off #27
#65
SP+ Def #64
#33

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Duke last year (24-14)
Georgia Tech beat Duke in 2022 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GT | DUKE
Depth Chart: GT | DUKE
Rosters: GT | DUKE
(#47) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.405 #47
Offense Rating: 12.74 #77
Defense Rating: 5.83 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #33
Talent Rating: 820.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 6.9 - 5.1

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Duke Notes
(5/10) Pushed out LY QB Murphy (Oreg St) for Mensah
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
(3/21) DEs Williams/Anthony 12 sacks & 23 TFL.
(3/21) Diaz a good coach, great job LY w/ 9 Ws


  
Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King19626973%21141427.9
Aaron Philo387451%565127.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Hosley (Tr)191119296.255
Jamal Haynes16894495.668
Haynes King126577114.630
Chad Alexander5828014.828
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers (Tr)6211721218.962
Malik Rutherford62702311.352
Dean Patterson (Tr)50685713.752
Rahkeem Smith (Tr)25349314.066

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Blake Gideon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford646311
Ahmari Harvey623002
Jyron Gilmore (Tr)542011
Clayton Powell-Lee532113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ronald Triplette (Tr)235420
Kyle Efford646311
Akelo Stone (Tr)142211
Jordan van den Berg235110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White (Tr)311007
Kelvin Hill (Tr)420005
Rodney Shelley195014

Duke's OC Jonathan Brewer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)17226266%25142059.6
Henry Belin IV264558%243215.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peyton Jones8231733.927
Anderson Castle (Tr)5024614.921
Darian Mensah (Tr)509111.822
Jaquez Moore328612.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Que'Sean Brown41445210.943
Sahmir Hagans4741338.865
Peyton Jones894111.840
Anderson Castle (Tr)138806.820

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Jonathan Patke
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105
Tre Freeman674132
Chandler Rivers548138
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wesley Williams4713792
Vincent Anthony25105133
Aaron Hall439462
David Anderson132110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers548138
Caleb Weaver (Tr)863016
Terry Moore717105