(#19)Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue Devils
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Duke -5.5 (59.5) (-218) Open: -5.5
Virginia 34 - Duke: 17 (ACC)
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -6.5 (SP+ UVA -7.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 31 - DUKE: 25 (56)
DUKE Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Our Line: Virginia -6.5 (SP+ UVA -7.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 31 - DUKE: 25 (56)
DUKE Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -16.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +7.0 | 59.5 | W 46 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +6.5 | 59.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -16.5 | 56.5 | W 22 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -12.5 | 51.5 | W 17 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -7.0 | 48.5 | L 9 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | +5.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -9.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Virginia vs Duke | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Virginia vs Missouri | +4.0 | 43.5 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | -4.0 | 59.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | -3.5 | 54.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | -3.5 | 60.5 | L 18 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +4.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | -7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | -5.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -6.5 | 50.5 | W 32 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -2.5 | 54.0 | W 49 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Duke vs Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 12/31 | Duke vs Arizona State | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 42 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #64 (.18) | 42% (82) | 30.8 | 44% (66) | 3.04 (51) | 172 | 41% (79) | 225 | 3.49 (91) | #18 (.06) | 37% (21) | 19.6 | 39% (30) | 37% (25) | 3.01 (19) | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| DUKE | #26 (.25) | 46% (32) | 34.6 | 44% (61) | 2.77 (105) | 123 | 47% (22) | 262 | 4.28 (28) | #120 (.25) | 44% (99) | 29.4 | 43% (80) | 46% (116) | 4.45 (129) | 58.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 41.6% | 3.49 | 0.9 | 20 | 397 | 172 | 225 | 4.8 | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 14% | .18 |
| DUKE Defense | 14 | 29.4 | 31.3 | 43.9% | 4.45 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 50% | 43% | 46% | 18% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 19.6 | 23.2 | 37.4% | 3.01 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 39% | 37% | 18% | .06 |
| DUKE Offense | 14 | 34.6 | 32.2 | 45.6% | 4.28 | 0.9 | 21 | 385 | 123 | 262 | 4.1 | 45% | 54% | 44% | 47% | 15% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 14 | 29:31 | 20.3 | 49% | 46% | 5 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 30.7 |
| Duke | 14 | 27:20 | 20.8 | 39% | 76% | 6 | 58.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 50% (65) | 44% (66) | 36 | 172.1 | 4.8 | 28 (11) | .19 (34) | 3.04 (51) | 81% (13) | 8% (25) | 1.06 (33) |
| DUKE Defense | 14 | 48% (48) | 43% (80) | - | - | - | - | .12 (86) | 2.73 (36) | 76% (104) | 12% (15) | 1.03 (100) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 51% (78) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .04 (31) | 2.75 (43) | 71% (69) | 9% (75) | 0.92 (47) |
| DUKE Offense | 14 | 45% (109) | 44% (61) | 29.9 | 123.1 | 4.1 | 24 (60) | .07 (93) | 2.77 (105) | 70% (83) | 10% (89) | 0.96 (67) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 49% (73) | 41% (79) | 20.7 | 32.4 | 225 | 6.9 | 10.9 | 18 (50) | 10 (60) | .24 (74) | 1.5 (74) | 32% (84) | 33% (34) | .36 (47) | 6% (68) | 1.9 (111) |
| DUKE Defense | 14 | 50% (87) | 46% (116) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (22) | .41 (124) | 1.7 (111) | 32% (54) | 34% (122) | .46 (130) | 6% (70) | 2.1 (91) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 47% (50) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (38) | .15 (29) | 1.5 (44) | 32% (60) | 23% (3) | .11 (8) | 9% (6) | 1.9 (25) |
| DUKE Offense | 14 | 54% (23) | 47% (22) | 21.9 | 32.5 | 262 | 8.1 | 12 | 30 (14) | 5 (7) | .42 (21) | 1.6 (36) | 30% (52) | 34% (26) | .43 (24) | 5% (39) | 2.2 (20) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 17.51 Duke: 8.38
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 Duke: 4.8
Virginia: 17.51 Duke: 8.38
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 Duke: 4.8
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 8.38 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.47 #22
Duke's Defense Rating: 11.51 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #23
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #91
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Duke's Power Rating: 8.38 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.47 #22
Duke's Defense Rating: 11.51 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #53
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #23
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #91
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 31
Duke 25
Total Points: 56
Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 26
Duke 23
Total Points: 48
Based on Entire Season
Virginia 30
Duke 27
Total Points: 57
Virginia 31
Duke 25
Total Points: 56
Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 26
Duke 23
Total Points: 48
Based on Entire Season
Virginia 30
Duke 27
Total Points: 57
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12/06 | Virginia | 20 | Duke | 27 | Virginia -3.5 | Duke | 58.5 | Under |
| 2025 | 11/15 | Duke | 17 | Virginia | 34 | Duke -5.5 | Virginia | 59.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Virginia | 30 | Duke | 27 | Duke -4 | Virginia | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Duke | 38 | Virginia | 17 | Duke -2 | Duke | 55.0 | Push |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | 0 | Virginia -10.5 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Virginia | 38 | Duke | 20 | Virginia -3.5 | Virginia | 44.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | 14 | Virginia -3.5 | Virginia | 45.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Duke | 14 | Virginia | 28 | Duke -6.5 | Virginia | 45.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Virginia | 28 | Duke | 21 | Duke -1.5 | Virginia | 53.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | 34 | Duke -5 | Virginia | 60.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Virginia | 42 | Duke | 34 | Virginia -2.5 | Virginia | 53.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/18 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | 13 | Duke -5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | Virginia | 22 | Duke | 35 | Virginia -4 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Duke | 42 | Virginia | 17 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Virginia | 31 | Duke | 21 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | Duke | 55 | Virginia | 48 | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | 28 | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | Duke | 31 | Virginia | 3 | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | Virginia | 24 | Duke | 13 | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | Duke | 0 | Virginia | 37 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | Virginia | 38 | Duke | 7 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Duke | 16 | Virginia | 37 | ||||
| 2003 | 08/30 | Virginia | 27 | Duke | 0 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | Duke | 22 | Virginia | 27 | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Virginia | 31 | Duke | 10 | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | Duke | 10 | Virginia | 26 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 8 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Virginia | 18 | 9 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 10 | 8 - 5 | 6 - 5 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 16 | 5 - 8 | 0 - 2 | 5 - 6 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | DUKE |
| Power RatePwr | #25 | #50 |
| SP+SP+ | #28 | #53 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #16 | #32 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #9 |
| DefenseDef | #15 | #103 |
| Spec TeamsST | #33 | #26 |
| TalentTal | #21 | #48 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #54 |
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | DUKE Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #46 | #103 |
| SuccessSuc | #82 | #99 |
| ExplosiveExp | #45 | #118 |
| PPAPPA | #64 | #120 |
| PowerPwr | #32 | #88 |
| SP+SP+ | #49 | #91 |
| Pts POPPO | #91 | #129 |
| HavocHav | #38 | #28 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | DUKE Def | |
| Run GameRun | #58 | #60 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #66 | #80 |
| Run ExplRExp | #33 | #100 |
| PPAExp | #34 | #86 | Run BlockR Blk | #44 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #51 | #36 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #35 | #13 |
| TackleTak | - | #88 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | DUKE Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #42 | #114 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #79 | #116 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #74 | #111 |
| PPAExp | #74 | #124 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #78 | #56 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #25 | #15 |
| DB HavocDB | #68 | #70 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | UVA Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #9 | #15 |
| SuccessSuc | #32 | #21 |
| ExplosiveExp | #25 | #35 |
| PPAPPA | #26 | #18 |
| PowerPwr | #22 | #27 |
| SP+SP+ | #23 | #23 |
| Pts POPPO | #28 | #19 |
| HavocHav | #65 | #23 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | UVA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #47 | #39 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #61 | #30 |
| Run ExplRExp | #67 | #47 |
| PPAExp | #93 | #31 | Run BlockR Blk | #21 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #105 | #43 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #113 | #70 |
| TackleTak | - | #39 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | UVA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #6 | #18 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #22 | #25 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #36 | #44 |
| PPAExp | #21 | #29 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #29 | #32 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #89 | #75 |
| DB HavocDB | #39 | #6 |
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 12 mph
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 12 mph
Duke -5.5 (59.5)
Virginia won at Duke this year (34-17)
Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 282 | 436 | 65% | 3000 | 16 | 9 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 30 | 52 | 58% | 339 | 1 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 222 | 1062 | 14 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 118 | 556 | 6 | 4.7 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 64 | 245 | 5 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Xavier Brown | 51 | 241 | 1 | 4.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 59 | 847 | 5 | 14.4 | 75 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 46 | 564 | 1 | 12.3 | 37 |
| Cameron Ross | 53 | 543 | 2 | 10.2 | 46 |
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 43 | 253 | 1 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| James Jackson | 66 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rickert (Tr) | 36 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 45 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jacob Holmes (Tr) | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Christian Charles (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 305 | 449 | 68% | 3646 | 30 | 5 | 8.1 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 178 | 962 | 10 | 5.4 | 49 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 110 | 470 | 11 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jaquez Moore | 39 | 192 | 1 | 4.9 | 32 |
| Travis Bates | 9 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | 39 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 68 | 1069 | 6 | 15.7 | 77 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 53 | 664 | 3 | 12.5 | 44 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 38 | 467 | 6 | 12.3 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Hasley | 34 | 404 | 5 | 11.9 | 56 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 81 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Luke Mergott | 81 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| DaShawn Stone | 77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 70 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 34 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Hall | 39 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Elliott Schaper | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| DaShawn Stone | 77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 70 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |