Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue Devils 
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Duke -5.5 (59.5) (-218) Open: -5.5
Virginia 34 - Duke: 17 (ACC)
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -3 (SP+ UVA -4.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 31 - DUKE: 28 (58)
DUKE Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Our Line: Virginia -3 (SP+ UVA -4.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 31 - DUKE: 28 (58)
DUKE Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -16.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +7.0 | 59.5 | W 46 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +6.5 | 59.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -16.5 | 56.5 | W 22 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -12.5 | 51.5 | W 17 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -7.0 | 48.5 | L 9 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | +5.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -9.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Virginia vs Duke | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Virginia vs Missouri | +4.0 | 43.5 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.0 | 57.5 | W 45 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | -4.0 | 59.5 | W 38 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | -3.5 | 54.5 | W 45 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | -3.5 | 60.5 | L 18 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +4.5 | 55.5 | W 46 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | -7.5 | 63.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | -5.5 | 59.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -6.5 | 50.5 | W 32 - 25 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -2.5 | 54.0 | W 49 - 32 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Duke vs Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 27 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 12/31 | Duke vs Arizona State | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 42 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 30.8 | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 19.6 | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 34.6 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 29.4 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| DUKE | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 40% | 3.47 | 1.6 | 19 | 362 | 133 | 229 | 3.7 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 37% | 18% | .13 |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 29.4 | 31.3 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 19.6 | 23.2 | 42.6% | 4.04 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 44% | 42% | 15% | .27 |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 34.6 | 32.2 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 12 | 29:53 | 19.3 | 34% | 52% | 5.2 | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 29.5 |
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 43% (77) | 35.9 | 132.8 | 3.7 | 14 (98) | .16 (50) | 3.29 (25) | 73% (77) | 11% (96) | 0.91 (92) |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 44% (77) | - | - | - | - | .17 (91) | 3.29 (112) | 77% (89) | 9% (104) | 0.99 (69) |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 52% (52) | 37% (113) | 20.5 | 33.4 | 229 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .11 (122) | 1.5 (86) | 33% (101) | 26% (115) | .17 (120) | 7% (100) | 1.7 (129) |
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 50% (83) | 42% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .37 (121) | 1.6 (84) | 32% (67) | 32% (84) | .43 (110) | 6% (67) | 2.1 (82) |
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 15.98 #18
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.24 #26
Virginia's Defense Rating: 4.26 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #19
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia's Power Rating: 15.98 #18
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.24 #26
Virginia's Defense Rating: 4.26 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #19
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 15.98 Duke: 10.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 11.1 Duke: 6.6
Virginia: 15.98 Duke: 10.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 11.1 Duke: 6.6
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 10.39 #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58 #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Duke's Power Rating: 10.39 #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58 #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 31
Duke 28
Projected Total Points: 58
Virginia 31
Duke 28
Projected Total Points: 58
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12/06 | Virginia | 20 | Duke | 27 | Virginia -3.5 | Duke | 58.5 | Under |
| 2025 | 11/15 | Duke | 17 | Virginia | 34 | Duke -5.5 | Virginia | 59.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Virginia | 30 | Duke | 27 | Duke -4 | Virginia | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Duke | 38 | Virginia | 17 | Duke -2 | Duke | 55.0 | Push |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | 0 | Virginia -10.5 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Virginia | 38 | Duke | 20 | Virginia -3.5 | Virginia | 44.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | 14 | Virginia -3.5 | Virginia | 45.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Duke | 14 | Virginia | 28 | Duke -6.5 | Virginia | 45.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Virginia | 28 | Duke | 21 | Duke -1.5 | Virginia | 53.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | 34 | Duke -5 | Virginia | 60.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Virginia | 42 | Duke | 34 | Virginia -2.5 | Virginia | 53.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/18 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | 13 | Duke -5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | Virginia | 22 | Duke | 35 | Virginia -4 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Duke | 42 | Virginia | 17 | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Virginia | 31 | Duke | 21 | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | Duke | 55 | Virginia | 48 | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | 28 | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | Duke | 31 | Virginia | 3 | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | Virginia | 24 | Duke | 13 | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | Duke | 0 | Virginia | 37 | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | Virginia | 38 | Duke | 7 | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Duke | 16 | Virginia | 37 | ||||
| 2003 | 08/30 | Virginia | 27 | Duke | 0 | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | Duke | 22 | Virginia | 27 | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Virginia | 31 | Duke | 10 | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | Duke | 10 | Virginia | 26 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 8 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Virginia | 18 | 9 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 10 | 8 - 5 | 6 - 5 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 10 - 16 | 5 - 8 | 0 - 2 | 5 - 6 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | DUKE |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #18 | #42 |
| SP+SP+ | #31 | #44 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #20 | #37 |
| OffenseOff | #50 | #16 |
| DefenseDef | #12 | #99 |
| Spec TeamsST | #51 | #40 |
| TalentTal | #21 | #48 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #54 |
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | DUKE Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #50 | #99 |
| SuccessSuc | #103 | #16 |
| ExplosiveExp | #105 | #22 |
| PPAPPA | #102 | #10 |
| PowerPwr | #26 | #58 |
| SP+SP+ | #56 | #86 |
| Pts POPPO | #106 | #17 |
| HavocHav | #109 | #2 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | DUKE Def | |
| Run GameRun | #52 | #62 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #77 | #51 |
| Run ExplRExp | #92 | #38 |
| PPAExp | #50 | #35 | Run BlockR Blk | #61 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #25 | #28 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #6 | #16 |
| TackleTak | - | #89 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | DUKE Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #45 | #105 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #113 | #5 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #86 | #39 |
| PPAExp | #122 | #7 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #90 | #68 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #96 | #2 |
| DB HavocDB | #100 | #28 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | UVA Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #16 | #12 |
| SuccessSuc | #116 | #80 |
| ExplosiveExp | #84 | #87 |
| PPAPPA | #109 | #116 |
| PowerPwr | #23 | #19 |
| SP+SP+ | #19 | #19 |
| Pts POPPO | #90 | #94 |
| HavocHav | #115 | #91 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| DUKE Off | UVA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #36 | #33 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #129 | #77 |
| Run ExplRExp | #131 | #69 |
| PPAExp | #133 | #91 | Run BlockR Blk | #36 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #131 | #112 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #130 | #121 |
| TackleTak | - | #37 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE Off | UVA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #13 | #10 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #69 | #77 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #56 | #84 |
| PPAExp | #55 | #121 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #24 | #31 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #78 | #104 |
| DB HavocDB | #129 | #67 |
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Duke -5.5 (59.5)
Virginia won at Duke this year (34-17)
Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke last year (34-17)
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 282 | 436 | 65% | 3000 | 16 | 9 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 30 | 52 | 58% | 339 | 1 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 222 | 1062 | 14 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 118 | 556 | 6 | 4.7 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 64 | 245 | 5 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Xavier Brown | 51 | 241 | 1 | 4.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 59 | 847 | 5 | 14.4 | 75 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 46 | 564 | 1 | 12.3 | 37 |
| Cameron Ross | 53 | 543 | 2 | 10.2 | 46 |
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 43 | 253 | 1 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| James Jackson | 66 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rickert (Tr) | 36 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 45 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jacob Holmes (Tr) | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Christian Charles (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 334 | 500 | 67% | 3973 | 34 | 6 | 7.9 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 200 | 1132 | 11 | 5.7 | 60 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 115 | 488 | 12 | 4.2 | 66 |
| Jaquez Moore | 41 | 201 | 1 | 4.9 | 32 |
| Travis Bates | 9 | 57 | 0 | 6.3 | 39 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 72 | 1106 | 7 | 15.4 | 77 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 63 | 842 | 5 | 13.4 | 69 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 44 | 512 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Hasley | 40 | 454 | 6 | 11.4 | 56 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Mergott | 91 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 89 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| DaShawn Stone | 86 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 73 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 34 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Aaron Hall | 44 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Wesley Williams | 43 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 59 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Luke Mergott | 91 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| DaShawn Stone | 86 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |