Virginia Cavaliers at Duke Blue Devils
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Wallace Wade Stadium - Durham, NC (ACC)
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -1 (SP+ UVA -2.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 33 - DUKE: 32 (64)
UVA Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Our Line: Virginia -1 (SP+ UVA -2.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 33 - DUKE: 32 (64)
UVA Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UVA Travel: 143 miles
Blue Devils (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 32 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -15.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -19 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | -1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Duke's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | Duke vs Elon | -36.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Duke vs Illinois | +2.5 | 49.0 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Duke at Tulane | +1.5 | 52.5 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Duke vs NC State | -3.0 | 58.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Duke at Syracuse | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Duke at California | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Duke vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Duke at Clemson | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Duke at UConn | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Duke vs Virginia | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Duke at North Carolina | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Duke vs Wake Forest | -5.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #10 (.47) | 51% (26) | 44.7 | 56% (17) | 3.69 (17) | 271 | 47% (45) | 289 | 4.24 (54) | #75 (.14) | 37% (51) | 19.3 | 37% (52) | 37% (48) | 4.45 (104) | 35 | 0.7 | 1 |
| DUKE | #40 (.31) | 47% (43) | 30.3 | 43% (79) | 3.15 (50) | 127 | 49% (37) | 353 | 3.54 (95) | #112 (.25) | 38% (64) | 32 | 33% (25) | 45% (102) | 5.33 (128) | 56.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 44.7 | 31 | 51.1% | 4.24 | 0.7 | 26 | 560 | 271 | 289 | 6.5 | 49% | 50% | 56% | 47% | 11% | .47 |
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 32 | 31 | 38.4% | 5.33 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 57% | 43% | 33% | 45% | 17% | .25 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 19.3 | 35 | 36.7% | 4.45 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 37% | 37% | 17% | .14 |
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 30.3 | 32 | 47.1% | 3.54 | 2.3 | 24 | 479 | 127 | 353 | 5.2 | 37% | 63% | 43% | 49% | 13% | .31 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3 | 34:31 | 25.7 | 58% | 44% | 5 | 35 | 0.7 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 33.4 |
| Duke | 3 | 25:52 | 23.7 | 45% | 40% | 6 | 56.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 9 | 2.7 | 1 | 27.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 49% (77) | 56% (17) | 42 | 271 | 6.5 | 12 (3) | .55 (2) | 3.69 (17) | 86% (22) | 6% (21) | 1.31 (17) |
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 57% (115) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .08 (73) | 2.26 (25) | 50% (19) | 15% (19) | 1.39 (128) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 55% (106) | 37% (52) | - | - | - | - | .1 (91) | 2.71 (63) | 50% (19) | 8% (99) | 1.16 (108) |
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 37% (130) | 43% (79) | 24.3 | 126.7 | 5.2 | 2 (109) | .03 (101) | 3.15 (50) | 83% (28) | 9% (71) | 0.83 (99) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 50% (62) | 47% (45) | 25 | 38 | 289.3 | 7.6 | 11.6 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .45 (34) | 1.5 (68) | 30% (62) | 46% (11) | .63 (25) | 6% (79) | 1.6 (117) |
| DUKE Defense | 3 | 43% (24) | 45% (102) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .47 (117) | 1.7 (108) | 35% (51) | 30% (79) | .41 (100) | 3% (128) | 2.1 (87) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 45% (34) | 37% (48) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .19 (62) | 1.5 (51) | 33% (68) | 19% (24) | .08 (30) | 9% (18) | 1.6 (24) |
| DUKE Offense | 3 | 63% (5) | 49% (37) | 27.3 | 41.3 | 352.7 | 8.5 | 12.9 | 8 (18) | 2 (60) | .47 (30) | 1.6 (52) | 31% (76) | 42% (23) | .51 (38) | 4% (44) | 1.9 (86) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia's Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 13.69 Duke: 7.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.8 Duke: 1.4
Virginia: 13.69 Duke: 7.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.8 Duke: 1.4
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Duke's Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Duke's Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 33
Duke 32
Total Points: 64
Virginia 33
Duke 32
Total Points: 64
Duke Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 31
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 31
Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/18 | Virginia | 30 | Duke | 27 | Virginia | Duke -4 | Virginia | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Duke | 38 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | Duke -2 | Duke | 55.0 | Push |
| 2021 | 10/16 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | 0 | Virginia | Virginia -10.5 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 09/26 | Virginia | 38 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | Virginia -3.5 | Virginia | 44.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | 14 | Virginia | Virginia -3.5 | Virginia | 45.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Duke | 14 | Virginia | 28 | Virginia | Duke -6.5 | Virginia | 45.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Virginia | 28 | Duke | 21 | Virginia | Duke -1.5 | Virginia | 53.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/01 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | 34 | Virginia | Duke -5 | Virginia | 60.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/21 | Virginia | 42 | Duke | 34 | Virginia | Virginia -2.5 | Virginia | 53.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/18 | Duke | 20 | Virginia | 13 | Duke | Duke -5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | Virginia | 22 | Duke | 35 | Duke | Virginia -4 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/06 | Duke | 42 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Virginia | 31 | Duke | 21 | Virginia | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | Duke | 55 | Virginia | 48 | Duke | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | 28 | Duke | ||||
| 2008 | 09/27 | Duke | 31 | Virginia | 3 | Duke | ||||
| 2007 | 09/08 | Virginia | 24 | Duke | 13 | Virginia | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | Duke | 0 | Virginia | 37 | Virginia | ||||
| 2005 | 09/24 | Virginia | 38 | Duke | 7 | Virginia | ||||
| 2004 | 10/23 | Duke | 16 | Virginia | 37 | Virginia | ||||
| 2003 | 08/30 | Virginia | 27 | Duke | 0 | Virginia | ||||
| 2002 | 10/05 | Duke | 22 | Virginia | 27 | Virginia | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Virginia | 31 | Duke | 10 | Virginia | ||||
| 2000 | 09/15 | Duke | 10 | Virginia | 26 | Virginia |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 7 | 3 | 4 Overs |
| Virginia | 17 | 8 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 16 - 8 | 8 - 3 | 6 - 3 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 16 | 3 - 8 | 0 - 2 | 3 - 6 |
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 7 straight
Virginia has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 7 straight
Virginia has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | DUKE | UVA |
| OverallOver | #28 | #22 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #53 | #37 |
| Special TeamsST | #21 | #6 |
| PassingPass | #5 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #28 | #21 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #29 | #40 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #43 | #56 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #40 | #29 |
| TacklingTkl | #80 | #82 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #16 | #56 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #38 | #28 |
| Coverage DefCov | #105 | #34 |
(#55) Duke Info
Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 8 straight
Duke has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)
Power Rating: 7.84 #55
Offense Rating: 14.90 #54
Defense Rating: 5.62 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 816.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #54
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.33 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has lost 8 straight
Duke has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Duke Notes
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
(3/21) WR rebuild, #3/4 back were productive
(3/21) OL 4/5 back, need to improve. Have size
(3/21) Def really good LY. New faces, look good TY
Duke Highlights
Duke offense is good on 3rd downs
Duke has a good run defense (#25)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Duke Fumbles a Lot (#136)
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Duke gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#126)
Duke has a bad red zone defense (#128)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 62 | 89 | 70% | 670 | 4 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 11 | 23 | 48% | 190 | 0 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 33 | 213 | 6 | 6.5 | 66 |
| Noah Vaughn | 22 | 170 | 0 | 7.7 | 54 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 17 | 169 | 4 | 9.9 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 9 | 113 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 14 | 176 | 0 | 12.6 | 48 |
| Cameron Ross | 12 | 164 | 1 | 13.7 | 46 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 11 | 123 | 1 | 11.2 | 18 |
| Kameron Courtney | 7 | 94 | 0 | 13.4 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Danley | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| James Jackson | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Koudelka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavon Platt (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| McKale Boley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Mensah (Tr) | 80 | 119 | 67% | 1036 | 8 | 2 | 8.7 |
| Henry Belin IV | 2 | 5 | 40% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Sheppard | 15 | 127 | 0 | 8.5 | 35 |
| Jaquez Moore | 24 | 115 | 1 | 4.8 | 32 |
| Anderson Castle (Tr) | 10 | 101 | 0 | 10.1 | 63 |
| Peyton Jones | 10 | 34 | 1 | 3.4 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Barkate (Tr) | 14 | 272 | 0 | 19.4 | 46 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 13 | 191 | 0 | 14.7 | 44 |
| Andrel Anthony Jr. | 10 | 121 | 3 | 12.1 | 35 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 9 | 116 | 3 | 12.9 | 29 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaShawn Stone | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Weaver (Tr) | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaiden Francois (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Morris Jr. | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Anthony | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Josiah Green (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Johnson | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tre Freeman | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rivers | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Luke Mergott | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |