Duke at Louisville Game Matchup
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -5 (47.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 23 - Duke: 0  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (12 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#61)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
LOU coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisville -6   (SP+ LOU -1)
Projected Score: DUKE: 23 - LOU: 29 (56)
LOU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 405 miles
Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Duke at UConn-22.045.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23UN
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47OY
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19OY
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Louisville's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-7.049.5W 39 - 34ON
Thu 9/7 Louisville vs Murray State-43.555.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Indiana-10.051.0W 21 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Boston College-14.053.0W 56 - 28OY
Fri 9/29 Louisville at NC State-3.556.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 10/7 Louisville vs Notre Dame+6.553.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 10/14 Louisville at Pittsburgh-7.544.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Louisville vs Duke-5.047.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Louisville vs Virginia Tech-9.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Thu 11/9 Louisville vs Virginia-20.549.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 Louisville at Miami+1.546.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisville vs Kentucky-7.547.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/2 Louisville vs Florida State+3.551.0L 6 - 16UN
Wed 12/27 Louisville vs USC-4.558.0L 28 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.2444%26.347%3.4518442%2324.1.1844%24.544%45%3.9550.20.82.2
LOU.1941%36.543%3.1820141%2063.74.0740%24.143%38%2.85661.82.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.328.444.1%4.10.822416184232551%48%47%42%14%.24
LOU Defense1324.121.340.3%2.852.6 - - - - - 51%48%43%38%20%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1324.52644%3.952.2 - - - - - 43%56%44%45%20%.18
LOU Offense1336.541.841.3%3.741.820407201206555%44%43%41%15%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1333:0521.742%58%5.250.20.82.25.22.8231.8
Louisville1329:5420.338%40%6.9661.82.67.23.7330
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1351%47%37.2184.2531.263.4580%7%1.06
LOU Defense1351%43% - - - - .042.9760%14%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1343%44% - - - - .073.1179%12%0.83
LOU Offense1355%43%39.9201525.213.1869%10%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1348%42%19.630.7231.57.511.8206.271.531%33%.487%2.3
LOU Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 15.161.633%26%.146%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1356%45% - - - - - - 10.31.531%38%.498%1.9
LOU Offense1344%41%16.828.3205.57.312.31312.221.634%31%.375%2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Duke's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Duke's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Duke's 2023 Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 4.24   Louisville: 13.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5   Louisville: 10.8




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.06 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 29
Duke 23

Projected Total Points: 56
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Louisville23Duke0LouisvilleLouisville -5Louisville47.0Under
202111/18Duke22Louisville62LouisvilleLouisville -20Louisville60.0Over
201610/14Louisville24Duke14LouisvilleLouisville -27.5Duke69.5Under
200209/07Duke3Louisville40Louisville
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville421 Overs
Duke012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#40) Duke Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.24 #40
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #25
Talent Rating: 702.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 7.00 - 6.00

Team Profile






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Duke     Ratings Matchup     Louisville
Power #40
#21
Off #48
#44
Def #59
#16
Talent #48
#46
SP+ #29
#24
SP+ Off #53
#40
SP+ Def #25
#26

Rematch from Week 9
Louisville -5.0 (47.0)
Louisville won vs Duke this year (23-0)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Duke in 2023 (23-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | LOU
Depth Chart: DUKE | LOU
Rosters: DUKE | LOU
(#21) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.06 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50

Team Profile






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Duke's OC Kevin Johns
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard26940367%28612187.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Riley Leonard184906174.950
Jordan Waters9547044.994
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore55861815.758
Eli Pancol60798913.386
Jordan Waters15167111.124
Nicky Dalmolin11166215.171

View Duke's Full Roster
Duke's DC Tyler Santucci
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Jaylen Stinson674238
Michael Reese445300
Brandon Johnson425115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Bergeron8410572
Ryan Smith228422
Michael Reese445300
Aeneas Peebles296333
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Stinson674238
Joshua Pickett384007
Brandon Johnson425115

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Duane Martin31615.314
Kevin Coleman Jr.41102.89
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.69844512.280
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce17230013.558
William Fowles229014.519
Duane Martin21708.511

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Griffin632102
Ryheem Craig496210
Josh Minkins452004
Ashton Gillotte43105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Gillotte43105100
Ramon Puryear344360
Ryheem Craig496210
Kameron Wilson103220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Riley333009
Josh Minkins452004
M.J. Griffin632102