Elon at Duke - 2025 Matchup Preview
Elon logo   Elon Phoenix at Duke Blue Devils  Duke logo
Thursday, August 28th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Duke -36.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: -33.5 | 47.5
Duke 45 - Elon: 17

 
Phoenix (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 45 (17 - 45 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Duke -10.5  (SP+ DUKE -7)
DUKE Win prob: 94% | Cover: 38%
Blue Devils (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (32 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Elon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Elon at Duke+36.551.5L 17 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Elon's Schedule
Duke's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Duke vs Elon-36.551.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 9/6 Duke vs Illinois+2.549.0L 19 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Duke at Tulane+1.552.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/20 Duke vs NC State-3.057.5W 45 - 33OY
Sat 9/27 Duke at Syracuse-4.059.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 10/4 Duke at California-3.554.5W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Duke vs Georgia Tech-3.560.5L 18 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Duke at Clemson+4.555.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/8 Duke at UConn-7.563.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/15 Duke vs Virginia-5.559.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Duke at North Carolina-6.550.5W 32 - 25OY
Sat 11/29 Duke vs Wake Forest-2.554.0W 49 - 32OY
Sat 12/6 Duke vs Virginia+3.558.5W 27 - 20UY
Wed 12/31 Duke vs Arizona State-4.049.5W 42 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ELON0%170%000%000%450%0%0000
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)34.635% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)29.441% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ELON0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ELON Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Defense1329.431.337.6%3.192 - - - - - 52%48%41%34%23%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ELON Defense145450%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
DUKE Offense1334.632.238.6%3.71.416315892263.344%56%35%42%19%.12

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Elon10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Duke1325:0516.329%38%5.148.91.428.53.2131.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ELON Offense10%0%000000%0%0
DUKE Defense1352% (81)41% (51) - - - - .06 (35)2.74 (28)59% (6)15% (2)0.91 (38)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ELON Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
DUKE Offense1344% (110)35% (129)27.589.23.313 (105)-.07 (133)2.47 (131)78% (32)10% (78)0.74 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ELON Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
DUKE Defense1348% (53)34% (5) - - - - - - 12 (39).06 (7)1.5 (39)34% (35)29% (41).27 (53)7% (28)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ELON Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
DUKE Offense1356% (24)42% (69)19.632.5226.1711.526 (26)12 (85).28 (55)1.6 (56)32% (73)29% (98).3 (82)9% (129)2 (78)

Elon's Power Ratings
Elon's Power Rating: NR
Elon's Offense Rating: NR
Elon's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Elon's 2025 Expected Record: -
Elon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Elon's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Elon's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Elon:    Duke: 10.39

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Elon:    Duke: 6.6




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 10.39  #42
Duke's Offense Rating: 21.58  #23
Duke's Defense Rating: 12.40  #58
2025 Talent Rating: 816.00  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 5  #54
Duke's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Elon Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Elon's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 34
Elon 23

Projected Total Points: 57
Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Duke's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/28Duke45Elon17Duke -36.5Elon51.5Over
202408/30Duke26Elon3Duke -24.5Elon47.5Under
201408/30Duke52Elon13Duke -38Duke0
201009/04Duke41Elon27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke411 Overs
Elon021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#) ELON at (#42) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatELONDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #42
SP+SP+NR #44
Perf GradeGradeNR #37
OffenseOffNR #16
DefenseDefNR #99
Spec TeamsSTNR #40
TalentTalNR #48
Blue ChipsBC%NR #54
Duke Notes
(11/16) Duke just isn't good. 1-3 run, need 1 more to bowl
(11/2) Wild W over Clemson, 6.1% post game win exp!
(10/18) Mistakes killing Duke, Outplayed GT but Run Off bad
(9/20) Great W vs NC St, Mensah better, Def got 4 TOs
(8/16) QB Mensah feels slept on, kid is really dynamic
(7/27) S T Moore & C Weaver the top duo in ACC
(6/6) Secondary a top ACC unit, should be strength
(5/23) Duke was 6-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/2) CB Chandler Rivers/ S Terry Moore top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OT Brian Parker II a top OT via PFF
(3/22) QB Mensah a big portal+ from Tulane
(3/21) RB #1 left (Tenn). Some depth, Castle (App St)
Duke Injury Report
Elon on Offense
CategoryCat
ELON OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #99
SuccessSucNR #16
ExplosiveExpNR #22
PPAPPANR #10
PowerPwrNR #58
SP+SP+NR #86
Pts POPPONR #17
HavocHavNR #2
Elon Run Game
CategoryCat
ELON OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNR #62
Run SuccessRSucNR #51
Run ExplRExpNR #38
PPAExpNR #35
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #28
Stuff RateStuffNR #16
TackleTak -  #89
Elon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ELON OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNR #105
Pass SuccessPSucNR #5
Pass ExplPExlNR #39
PPAExpNR #7
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #68
F7 HavocF7NR #2
DB HavocDBNR #28
Duke on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatDUKE OffELON Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16NR
SuccessSuc #116NR
ExplosiveExp #84NR
PPAPPA #109NR
PowerPwr #23NR
SP+SP+ #19NR
Pts POPPO #90NR
HavocHav #115NR
Duke Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffELON Def
Run GameRun #36NR
Run SuccessRSuc #129NR
Run ExplRExp #131NR
PPAExp #133NR
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLY #131NR
Stuff RateStuff #130NR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatDUKE OffELON Def
Pass GamePass #13NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #69NR
Pass ExplPExl #56NR
PPAExp #55NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24NR
F7 HavocF7 #78NR
DB HavocDB #129NR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ELON 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Duke -36.5 (51.5)
Duke won vs Elon this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Elon last year (45-17)
Duke beat Elon in 2024 (26-3)

  
ELON's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Landen Clark15527756%23211888.4
Marco Lainez82040%113005.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jimmyll Williams10467336.545
Landen Clark189614113.286
TJ Thomas Jr.9138464.244
Daniel Frederick5124434.828
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Fuhrmann46907919.796
Landyn Backey26457417.648
Zimere Winston17309318.278
Kenaz McMillian22235010.726

View Elon's Full Roster

ELON's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DJ James-Hamilton110000
Brodie Carroll71000
Asher Cunningham50000
Ishmel Atkins50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Pardue31100
Parris Lowery31100
Jesse Powell II30000
Jake Louro10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Senquavious Alsobrooks20001
DJ James-Hamilton110000
Eric Jones30000

DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah (Tr)33450067%39733467.9
Henry Belin IV2540%22004.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard2001132115.760
Anderson Castle (Tr)115488124.266
Jaquez Moore4120114.932
Travis Bates95706.339
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cooper Barkate (Tr)721106715.477
Que'Sean Brown63842513.469
Sahmir Hagans44512611.635
Jeremiah Hasley40454611.456

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Mergott918293
Caleb Weaver (Tr)896201
DaShawn Stone862013
Jaiden Francois (Tr)738123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vincent Anthony3413742
Josiah Green (Tr)387423
Aaron Hall4411340
Wesley Williams4382161
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Rivers594018
Luke Mergott918293
DaShawn Stone862013