Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Duke -3.5 (53.5) (-165) Open: -2.5 | 54.5
Duke 23 - Wake Forest: 17 (ACC)
Blue Devils (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (28 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Duke -9.5 (SP+ DUKE -11.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 32 - WAKE: 23 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 74 miles
Our Line: Duke -9.5 (SP+ DUKE -11.5)
Projected Score: DUKE: 32 - WAKE: 23 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 74 miles
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 6 - 1)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (63 - 61)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (27 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| Duke's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Duke vs Elon | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 26 - 3 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/6 | Duke vs Northwestern | +2.5 | 37.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Duke vs UConn | -17.5 | 46.5 | W 26 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Duke at Middle Tennessee | -14.5 | 51.0 | W 45 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Duke vs North Carolina | +1.0 | 55.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Duke at Georgia Tech | +10.0 | 52.5 | L 14 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/18 | Duke vs Florida State | -2.5 | 43.0 | W 23 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Duke vs SMU | +11.5 | 49.5 | L 27 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Duke at Miami | +21.0 | 55.5 | L 31 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Duke at NC State | +3.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 19 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Duke vs Virginia Tech | +2.5 | 45.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Duke at Wake Forest | -3.5 | 53.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Thu 1/2 | Duke vs Ole Miss | +17.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 52 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Wake Forest's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Wake Forest vs North Carolina A&T | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Wake Forest vs Virginia | +1.5 | 55.5 | L 30 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Wake Forest vs Ole Miss | +20.5 | 65.5 | L 6 - 40 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Wake Forest vs Louisiana | -3.0 | 59.5 | L 38 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Wake Forest at NC State | +4.0 | 52.5 | W 34 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Wake Forest vs Clemson | +21.0 | 63.0 | L 14 - 49 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Wake Forest at UConn | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 23 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Wake Forest at Stanford | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 27 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/8 | Wake Forest vs California | +7.5 | 54.5 | L 36 - 46 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Wake Forest at North Carolina | +10.5 | 64.5 | L 24 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Wake Forest at Miami | +23.5 | 67.0 | L 14 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Wake Forest vs Duke | +3.5 | 53.5 | L 17 - 23 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 26.3 | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 24.5 | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 |
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 25.7 | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 32.5 | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | #109 (.12) | 39% (116) | 35% (129) | 2.47 (131) | 89 | 42% (69) | 226 | 3.7 (90) | #10 (.06) | 38% (16) | 41% (51) | 34% (5) | 3.19 (17) | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | ||
| WAKE | #104 (.13) | 42% (81) | 43% (79) | 3 (79) | 131 | 41% (75) | 240 | 3.2 (121) | #118 (.27) | 51% (134) | 48% (110) | 53% (133) | 4.12 (99) | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 26.3 | 28.4 | 38.6% | 3.7 | 1.4 | 16 | 315 | 89 | 226 | 3.3 | 44% | 56% | 35% | 42% | 19% | .12 |
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 32.5 | 34.7 | 50.7% | 4.12 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 48% | 53% | 12% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 24.5 | 26 | 37.6% | 3.19 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 41% | 34% | 23% | .06 |
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 25.7 | 26.6 | 41.9% | 3.2 | 1.8 | 22 | 372 | 131 | 240 | 3.6 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 41% | 16% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 13 | 25:05 | 16.3 | 29% | 38% | 5.1 | 48.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1 | 31.2 |
| Wake Forest | 12 | 28:51 | 21.8 | 39% | 64% | 5.1 | 45.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 29 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 44% (110) | 35% (129) | 27.5 | 89.2 | 3.3 | 13 (105) | -.07 (133) | 2.47 (131) | 78% (32) | 10% (78) | 0.74 (131) |
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 44% (6) | 48% (110) | - | - | - | - | .18 (101) | 3.13 (88) | 80% (112) | 8% (110) | 0.96 (58) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 52% (81) | 41% (51) | - | - | - | - | .06 (35) | 2.74 (28) | 59% (6) | 15% (2) | 0.91 (38) |
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 48% (86) | 43% (79) | 36.4 | 131.4 | 3.6 | 18 (78) | .05 (106) | 3 (79) | 81% (18) | 10% (70) | 0.92 (88) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Offense | 13 | 56% (24) | 42% (69) | 19.6 | 32.5 | 226.1 | 7 | 11.5 | 26 (26) | 12 (85) | .28 (55) | 1.6 (56) | 32% (73) | 29% (98) | .3 (82) | 9% (129) | 2 (78) |
| WAKE Defense | 12 | 56% (129) | 53% (133) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .36 (116) | 1.3 (2) | 26% (130) | 40% (132) | .41 (106) | 4% (131) | 1.8 (18) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE Defense | 13 | 48% (53) | 34% (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .06 (7) | 1.5 (39) | 34% (35) | 29% (41) | .27 (53) | 7% (28) | 2.1 (69) |
| WAKE Offense | 12 | 52% (50) | 41% (75) | 20.7 | 33.6 | 240.1 | 7.2 | 11.6 | 17 (79) | 13 (103) | .23 (83) | 1.5 (115) | 31% (63) | 28% (102) | .15 (125) | 7% (93) | 1.9 (103) |
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke's Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Duke's Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Duke's Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Duke's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Duke's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 2.68 Wake Forest: -5.53
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Wake Forest: -5.7
Duke: 2.68 Wake Forest: -5.53
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 5.6 Wake Forest: -5.7
Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Wake Forest's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wake Forest's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26
Duke's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 32
Wake Forest 23
Total Points: 55
Duke 32
Wake Forest 23
Total Points: 55
Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7
Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.6
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7
Wake Forest's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | Wake Forest | 17 | Duke | 23 | Duke | Duke -3.5 | Duke | 53.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/02 | Duke | 24 | Wake Forest | 21 | Duke | Duke -6.5 | Wake Forest | 41.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Duke | 34 | Wake Forest | 31 | Duke | Wake Forest -3 | Duke | 67.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Wake Forest | 45 | Duke | 7 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -16.5 | Wake Forest | 71.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/23 | Wake Forest | 39 | Duke | 27 | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -6.5 | Wake Forest | 50.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/24 | Duke | 7 | Wake Forest | 59 | Wake Forest | Duke -9.5 | Wake Forest | 61.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/25 | Wake Forest | 23 | Duke | 31 | Duke | Wake Forest -10.5 | Duke | 59.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 09/10 | Duke | 14 | Wake Forest | 24 | Wake Forest | Duke -8.5 | Wake Forest | 45.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Wake Forest | 21 | Duke | 27 | Duke | Duke -4 | Duke | 45.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Duke | 41 | Wake Forest | 21 | Duke | Duke -18 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/23 | Wake Forest | 21 | Duke | 28 | Duke | Duke -5.5 | Duke | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | Wake Forest | 27 | Duke | 34 | Duke | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Duke | 23 | Wake Forest | 24 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2010 | 09/11 | Wake Forest | 54 | Duke | 48 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2009 | 11/28 | Duke | 34 | Wake Forest | 45 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2008 | 11/01 | Wake Forest | 33 | Duke | 30 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2007 | 10/06 | Duke | 36 | Wake Forest | 41 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2006 | 09/09 | Wake Forest | 14 | Duke | 13 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Duke | 6 | Wake Forest | 44 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2004 | 10/30 | Wake Forest | 24 | Duke | 22 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Duke | 13 | Wake Forest | 42 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2002 | 10/12 | Wake Forest | 36 | Duke | 10 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2001 | 10/13 | Duke | 35 | Wake Forest | 42 | Wake Forest | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Wake Forest | 28 | Duke | 26 | Wake Forest |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 16 | 5 | 4 Overs |
| Duke | 8 | 6 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 13 | 4 - 7 | 3 - 4 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 11 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 4 - 3 |
(#50) Duke Info
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has won 2 straight
Duke has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: 2.68 #50
Offense Rating: 14.10 #113
Defense Rating: 3.83 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #71
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Duke has won 2 straight
Duke has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 1 - 1 vs Spread )
Duke Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Murphy 332 yds, 3 TD/3 Int in VT W
(11/13) Stopped bleeding w/ NC St W, Murphy good
(11/2) Def torched but QB Murphy great @ Miami
(10/27) Pumpkin time, 6-0 TOs vs SMU and still L
(10/22) Def stop rate 75% (#11) into SMU game
(10/18) Beat FSU w/ < 4 ypp. Awful Off, Def v good
(10/18) Bowl eligible. Incredible job by Diaz in 1st yr
(9/28) Big comeback vs UNC. Rgame solid, Murphy meh
(9/23) Gutty W vs N'W/UConn. Def great so far
(9/23) Murphy eff but statue. Great 4-0 start, we'll see
Duke Highlights
Duke Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Duke has a really good defense (#64)
Duke defense does not give up big plays (#126)
Duke defense is really good in red zone (#128)
Duke has a good pass defense (#102)
Duke Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#8)
Duke Defensive Line is very good (#25)
Duke Front 7 is disruptive (#19)
Duke Secondary is very good (#128)
Duke Deficiencies
Duke Can Not Run the Ball (#98)
Duke offense is really bad (#43)
Duke Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#86)
Duke run game is really bad (#79)
Duke offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WAKE | DUKE |
| OverallOver | #45 | #43 |
| OffenseOff | #56 | #73 |
| DefenseDef | #49 | #19 |
| Special TeamsST | #45 | #56 |
| PassingPass | #46 | #47 |
| RushingRush | #88 | #90 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #19 | #67 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #37 | #60 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #51 | #57 |
| TacklingTkl | #22 | #64 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #43 | #49 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #94 | #32 |
| Coverage DefCov | #44 | #8 |
Rematch from Week 14
Duke 3.5 (53.5)
Duke won at Wake Forest this year (23-17)
Previous Matchups
Duke beat Wake Forest last year (23-17)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2023 (24-21)
Duke beat Wake Forest in 2022 (34-31)
Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: DUKE | WAKE
Depth Chart: DUKE | WAKE
Rosters: DUKE | WAKE
(#102) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has lost 3 straight
Wake Forest has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)
Power Rating: -5.53 #102
Offense Rating: 16.79 #98
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #103
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Wake Forest has lost 3 straight
Wake Forest has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Wake Forest Notes
(12/16) HC Clawson stepping down after 11 years
(11/25) Off abysmal vs Miami. Def all 40+ pts per in Nov
(11/18) Run D torched by NC. 2 QBs meh, Rgame bad
(11/13) Def (pass) torched by Cal, Rgame is awful, QB OK
(10/12) Have no answers other than pray for TOs
(10/6) Def #'s are near worst in CFB. Big W @ NC St
(9/28) Even game w/ Louisiana, Bach good, Rgame good
(9/8) Bach 403 yds but bad L (UVA), Pass D awful.
(8/19) New QB Bachmeier, WR ? w/ leader gone (Neb)
(8/19) 3 OL return off great unit LY, RB mid at best
Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest defense does not give up big plays (#85)
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)
Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Wake Forest Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Wake Forest has a bad defense (#20)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maalik Murphy (Tr) | 254 | 421 | 60% | 2932 | 26 | 12 | 7.0 |
| Henry Belin IV | 26 | 45 | 58% | 243 | 2 | 1 | 5.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Thomas (Tr) | 213 | 871 | 7 | 4.1 | 44 |
| Peyton Jones | 82 | 317 | 3 | 3.9 | 27 |
| Jaquez Moore | 32 | 86 | 1 | 2.7 | 18 |
| Henry Belin IV | 11 | 39 | 0 | 3.5 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Moore | 55 | 861 | 8 | 15.7 | 58 |
| Eli Pancol | 60 | 798 | 9 | 13.3 | 86 |
| Que'Sean Brown | 41 | 445 | 2 | 10.9 | 43 |
| Sahmir Hagans | 47 | 413 | 3 | 8.8 | 65 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Nicholas (Tr) | 100 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Terry Moore | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Williams | 47 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
| Alex Howard (Tr) | 89 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| Cameron Bergeron | 84 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Vincent Anthony | 25 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Stinson | 67 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| Chandler Rivers | 54 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Joshua Pickett | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Bachmeier (Tr) | 224 | 357 | 63% | 2593 | 16 | 10 | 7.3 |
| Michael Kern | 24 | 45 | 53% | 288 | 1 | 3 | 6.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demond Claiborne | 228 | 1048 | 11 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Tate Carney | 82 | 335 | 6 | 4.1 | 18 |
| Hank Bachmeier (Tr) | 96 | 141 | 1 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Ty Clark III | 13 | 57 | 0 | 4.4 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Morin | 64 | 756 | 2 | 11.8 | 51 |
| Horatio Fields | 39 | 463 | 4 | 11.9 | 42 |
| Deuce Alexander | 36 | 400 | 2 | 11.1 | 38 |
| Donavon Greene | 23 | 380 | 3 | 16.5 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Andersen | 122 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Branson Combs (Tr) | 83 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Dylan Hazen | 78 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasheen Davis | 31 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Pointer | 33 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Bryce Ganious | 26 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Branson Combs (Tr) | 83 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C'Darius Kelley | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jamare Glasker | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Davaughn Patterson | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |