Duke at Georgia Tech - 2026 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsGeorgia Tech logo
Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Stadium at Historic Grant Field - Atlanta, GA

 
Blue Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 5.5 (#41)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE coming off BYE
GT coming off BYE
Our Line: Georgia Tech -5  (SP+ GT -3)
Projected Score: DUKE: 29 - GT: 34 (62)
GT Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
DUKE Travel: 345 miles
Yellow Jackets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (27 - 20)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Duke vs Tulane-9
Sat 9/12 Duke at Illinois+9
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Stanford-11.5
Sat 9/26 Duke vs William & Mary-28
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Duke at Georgia Tech+5
Sat 10/17 Duke vs North Carolina-8
Fri 10/23 Duke at Virginia+6.5
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Boston College-11.5
Fri 11/6 Duke at NC State+5.5
Sat 11/14 Duke at Miami+21.5
Sat 11/21 Duke vs Clemson+2
Sat 11/28 Duke at Wake Forest+4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Georgia Tech vs Colorado-17
Sat 9/12 Georgia Tech vs Tennessee+6.5
Sat 9/19 Georgia Tech vs Mercer-30.5
Sat 9/26 Georgia Tech at Stanford-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Georgia Tech vs Duke-5
Sat 10/17 Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech-6.5
Sat 10/24 Georgia Tech vs Boston College-14
Sat 10/31 Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh+4
Fri 11/6 Georgia Tech vs Louisville+1
Sat 11/14 Georgia Tech at Clemson+4.5
Sat 11/21 Georgia Tech vs Wake Forest-3.5
Sat 11/28 Georgia Tech at Georgia+22

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#25 (.25)46% (30)34.645% (51)2.8 (99)13847% (20)2854.32 (26)#116 (.23)44% (98)29.443% (73)46% (119)4.39 (129)62.711.7
GT#21 (.27)49% (7)32.251% (7)3.38 (8)19849% (12)2633.61 (78)#95 (.2)44% (99)2543% (81)44% (107)3.56 (58)47.21.20.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1434.63746%4.321234241382854.344%55%45%47%15%.25
GT Defense132522.543.9%3.560.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%44%14%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1429.427.543.8%4.391.7 - - - - - 48%50%43%46%17%.23
GT Offense1332.238.749.3%3.611.2234601982635.652%46%51%49%12%.27

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1429:4322.539%74%6.462.711.76.71.9331.3
Georgia Tech1329:0323.446%44%647.21.20.74.82.1028.1
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1444% (112)45% (51)32.4138.24.326 (60).08 (85)2.8 (99)69% (85)10% (79)0.97 (65)
GT Defense1350% (67)43% (81) - - - - .11 (71)2.99 (90)66% (27)9% (99)0.98 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1448% (49)43% (73) - - - - .1 (68)2.62 (19)73% (85)12% (14)1.03 (101)
GT Offense1352% (47)51% (7)35.5197.65.631 (9).19 (29)3.38 (8)71% (74)9% (41)0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1455% (21)47% (20)2436.1285.47.911.934 (14)6 (7).39 (24)1.6 (44)30% (39)33% (37).4 (30)6% (55)2.2 (13)
GT Defense1349% (73)44% (107) - - - - - - 4 (123).29 (87)1.5 (46)30% (92)29% (63).31 (74)5% (102)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1450% (86)46% (119) - - - - - - 14 (22).41 (125)1.6 (107)32% (56)34% (123).44 (128)6% (86)2 (77)
GT Offense1346% (90)49% (12)21.230.3262.58.712.416 (114)7 (7).42 (15)1.5 (99)25% (6)37% (15).44 (23)3% (7)2 (84)

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 1.91  #57
Duke's Offense Rating: 15.11  #32
Duke's Defense Rating: 18.20  #74
2026 Talent Rating: 762.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #54
Duke's 2026 Expected Record: 8.5 - 5.5
Duke's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #44
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #19
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke: 1.91   Georgia Tech: 9.36

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 6.6   Georgia Tech: 9.3




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 9.36  #46
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 14.63  #39
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 15.21  #55
2026 Talent Rating: 852.00  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #39
Georgia Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Georgia Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #35
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #34
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #57

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 34
Duke 29

Projected Total Points: 62
Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Georgia Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Duke18Georgia Tech27Duke -3.5Georgia Tech60.5Under
202410/05Georgia Tech24Duke14Georgia Tech -10Push52.5Under
202210/08Georgia Tech23Duke20Duke -3.5Georgia Tech54.0Under
202110/09Duke27Georgia Tech31Georgia Tech -4.5Duke60.5Under
202011/28Georgia Tech56Duke33Duke -1.5Georgia Tech57.0Over
201910/12Duke41Georgia Tech23Duke -17.5Duke47.5Over
201810/13Georgia Tech14Duke28Georgia Tech -1.5Duke55.5Under
201711/18Duke43Georgia Tech20Georgia Tech -6.5Duke49.0Over
201610/29Georgia Tech38Duke35Georgia Tech -8.5Duke50.5Over
201509/26Duke34Georgia Tech20Georgia Tech -10Duke56.0Under
201410/11Georgia Tech25Duke31Georgia Tech -6Duke0
201309/14Duke14Georgia Tech38Georgia Tech -9Georgia Tech0
201211/17Georgia Tech42Duke24
201111/19Duke31Georgia Tech38
201011/20Georgia Tech30Duke20
200911/14Duke10Georgia Tech49
200810/04Georgia Tech27Duke0
200711/10Duke24Georgia Tech41
200611/18Georgia Tech49Duke21
200510/15Duke10Georgia Tech35
200410/16Georgia Tech24Duke7
200311/08Duke41Georgia Tech17
200211/16Georgia Tech17Duke2
200110/06Duke10Georgia Tech37
200010/20Georgia Tech45Duke10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech1944 Overs
Duke676 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 106 - 51 - 45 - 1
Road Teams10 - 155 - 61 - 54 - 1

(#57) DUKE at (#46) GT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEGT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #57 #46
SP+SP+ #44 #35
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #62 #36
Blue ChipsBC% #54 #39
Duke on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffGT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #30 #99
ExplosiveExp #30 #64
PPAPPA #25 #95
PowerPwr #32 #55
SP+SP+ #19 #57
Pts POPPO #26 #58
HavocHav #67 #108
Duke Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffGT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #51 #81
Run ExplRExp #65 #84
PPAExp #85 #71
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #99 #90
Stuff RateStuff #115 #69
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
DUKE OffGT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #20 #107
Pass ExplPExl #44 #46
PPAExp #24 #87
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #79 #99
DB HavocDB #55 #102
Georgia Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatGT OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #7 #98
ExplosiveExp #122 #120
PPAPPA #21 #116
PowerPwr #39 #74
SP+SP+ #34 #86
Pts POPPO #78 #129
HavocHav #10 #36
Georgia Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
GT OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #7 #73
Run ExplRExp #109 #101
PPAExp #29 #68
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #8 #19
Stuff RateStuff #33 #11
TackleTak - NR
Georgia Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatGT OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #12 #119
Pass ExplPExl #99 #107
PPAExp #15 #125
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #41 #14
DB HavocDB #7 #86
Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stadium at Historic Grant Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Duke last year (27-18)
Georgia Tech beat Duke in 2024 (24-14)

  
DUKE's OC Jonathan Brewer (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Walker Eget (Tr)23239359%30581797.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Sheppard2001132115.760
CJ Campbell2211905.422
Walker Eget (Tr)339602.913
Travis Bates95706.339
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javen Nicholas (Tr)60740512.364
Jeremiah Hasley40454611.456
Nate Sheppard3728617.720
Nate Kurisky (Tr)2015727.937

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC Jonathan Patke (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Mergott918293
DaShawn Stone862013
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003
Landan Callahan420002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliott Schaper162200
Luke Mergott918293
Kendall Johnson373142
Preston Watson153121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Flowers (Tr)331004
Luke Mergott918293
Patrick Smith-Young (Tr)701003

GT's OC George Godsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alberto Mendoza (Tr)182475%2865111.9
Graham Knowles11100%841084.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Haynes (Tr)121857107.175
Malachi Hosley9869777.155
Alberto Mendoza (Tr)13190114.658
Jordan Allen685114.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Fuhrmann (Tr)46907919.796
Chris Corbo (Tr)45516411.535
Gavin Harris (Tr)36514114.334
Jordan Allen22304013.878

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford772212
E.J. Lightsey761011
Cayman Spaulding413301
Jyron Gilmore353113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brayden Manley173351
Cayman Spaulding413301
Amontrae Bradford196331
Taje Mccoy (Tr)214211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Duclona (Tr)353104
Jyron Gilmore353113
Kyle Efford772212